Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>This insight recommends a basket of Asian-listed base metal producers.</li>
<li>Base metals, especially Copper, have a high probability of moving much higher as the AI race continues</li>
<li>We prefer to invest in the materials needed for the  building out of AI infrastructure  </li>
</ul>


This insight recommends a basket of Asian-listed base metal producers.
Base metals, especially Copper, have a high probability of moving much higher as the AI race continues
We prefer to invest in the materials needed for the  building out of AI infrastructure  


2026 High Conviction Idea: Our Basket of Commodity Equities Will Outperform Broad Equity Indices # 2

Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>In December FIIs sold US$2.1bn in Asia-6, far lower than the US$21.8bn they sold in November. Primarily India (US$2.5bn) and Taiwan ($1.9bn) were sold, counterbalanced by buying in Korea (US$2.4bn).</li>
<li>There are some nascent signs of FII buying recovering in ASEAN - particularly in Indonesia (US$1.46bn bought in Q4 2025) and lately in Thailand ($196m bought in December).</li>
<li>FIIs sold US$45.3 bn in 2025, the second highest after US$52.1bn selling in 2022. Asian equity performance is getting uncorrelated with FII activity, as MXASJ's stupendous 29.6% appreciation shows.</li>
</ul>


In December FIIs sold US$2.1bn in Asia-6, far lower than the US$21.8bn they sold in November. Primarily India (US$2.5bn) and Taiwan ($1.9bn) were sold, counterbalanced by buying in Korea (US$2.4bn).
There are some nascent signs of FII buying recovering in ASEAN - particularly in Indonesia (US$1.46bn bought in Q4 2025) and lately in Thailand ($196m bought in December).
FIIs sold US$45.3 bn in 2025, the second highest after US$52.1bn selling in 2022. Asian equity performance is getting uncorrelated with FII activity, as MXASJ's stupendous 29.6% appreciation shows.


Asian Equities: FII Selling Slowed in Dec but Continued Nonetheless; 2025 Saw Near-Peak FII Outflow

Global Materials | Industrials | Commodities

Rahul Jain

<ul>
<li>Precious and energy-transition metals lead as structural scarcity, central-bank demand, and electrification support gold, silver, copper, aluminium, zinc, and rare earths into 2026.</li>
<li>Bulks and hydrocarbons lag with weak China demand, oversupply, and compressed margins across iron ore, nickel, steel, coal, and crude, keeping the segment firmly underweight.</li>
<li>Top Asia exposures include Zijin, Korea Zinc, Hindustan Zinc, Vedanta, CMOC, JXAM, SMM, Mitsui, Jiangxi Copper, NALCO, Hongqiao, Hindalco, Shenghe, and CNRE.</li>
</ul>


Precious and energy-transition metals lead as structural scarcity, central-bank demand, and electrification support gold, silver, copper, aluminium, zinc, and rare earths into 2026.
Bulks and hydrocarbons lag with weak China demand, oversupply, and compressed margins across iron ore, nickel, steel, coal, and crude, keeping the segment firmly underweight.
Top Asia exposures include Zijin, Korea Zinc, Hindustan Zinc, Vedanta, CMOC, JXAM, SMM, Mitsui, Jiangxi Copper, NALCO, Hongqiao, Hindalco, Shenghe, and CNRE.


Asia Metals Outlook 2026: Scarcity Favours Gold, Copper, Aluminium

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven), MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven)

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) / Equity Derivatives

Contemporary Amperex Technology (CATL) (300750 CH)

<ul>
<li>WEEKLY tactical global macro recap/analysis for several markets and stocks we track, grouped by sector.</li>
<li>We apply our quantitative models to each instrument's trend, to determine which stocks/markets are just starting a trend, are in the middle of it, or are about to end it.</li>
<li>
<strong>Most overbought: </strong>KS200, META, Samsung Electronics, Tokyo Electron, SK Hynix, Komatsu, Nikkei 225, Hitachi <strong>Most oversold: </strong>Contemporary Amperex Technology, S&amp;P/ASX200, Bharti Airtel, ICICI Bank, Zijin Mining Group Company </li>
</ul>


WEEKLY tactical global macro recap/analysis for several markets and stocks we track, grouped by sector.
We apply our quantitative models to each instrument's trend, to determine which stocks/markets are just starting a trend, are in the middle of it, or are about to end it.

Most overbought: KS200, META, Samsung Electronics, Tokyo Electron, SK Hynix, Komatsu, Nikkei 225, Hitachi Most oversold: Contemporary Amperex Technology, S&amp;P/ASX200, Bharti Airtel, ICICI Bank, Zijin Mining Group Company 


WEEKLY Tactical Recap | Asymmetric Setup: KS200, CATL, Samsung Electronics, Tokyo Electron, SK Hynix

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 18th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.</li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Lenovo, Knowledge Atlas, ABC, AIA, HKEx, China Resources Land, Trip.Com, Bidu, Cicc.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 18th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.
We highlight short changes in Lenovo, Knowledge Atlas, ABC, AIA, HKEx, China Resources Land, Trip.Com, Bidu, Cicc.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Lenovo, Knowledge Atlas, ABC, AIA, HKEx, China Resources Land, Trip.Com

China

Zijin Mining Group is a large global mining company primarily engaged in the exploration, extraction, and refining of metallic mineral resources. Its key products include copper, gold, zinc, lithium, silver, and molybdenum. The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Longyan, Fujian, China.

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Zijin Mining (2899 HK)

2026 High Conviction Idea: Our Basket of Commodity Equities Will Outperform Broad Equity Indices # 2

Copper trading above $6/lb - a new ALL TIME HIGH. As we wrote here, $5 is the new floor. Spec positioning in futures close to levels signalling...

Rikki Malik

Asian Equities: FII Selling Slowed in Dec but Continued Nonetheless; 2025 Saw Near-Peak FII Outflow

FIIs sold significantly less in Asia-6 in December compared to November, with signs of recovery in select ASEAN markets. Asian equity performance...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Asia Metals Outlook 2026: Scarcity Favours Gold, Copper, Aluminium

Precious and energy-transition metals set to outperform bulks and hydrocarbons through 2026, with top Asia exposures including Zijin, Korea Zinc,...

Rahul Jain

WEEKLY Tactical Recap | Asymmetric Setup: KS200, CATL, Samsung Electronics, Tokyo Electron, SK Hynix

Weekly Macro Tactical Recap | Asymmetric Setups - Quantitative models tracking momentum extremes across Asian/Global equities and commodities to...

Nico Rosti

HK Short Interest Weekly: Lenovo, Knowledge Atlas, ABC, AIA, HKEx, China Resources Land, Trip.Com

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 18th and highlight short interest changes in Lenovo (992 HK), Knowledge...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

2026 High Conviction Idea: Our Basket of Commodity Equities Will Outperform Broad Equity Indices # 2

Copper trading above $6/lb - a new ALL TIME HIGH. As we wrote here, $5 is the new floor. Spec positioning in futures close to levels signalling...

Rikki Malik

Asian Equities: FII Selling Slowed in Dec but Continued Nonetheless; 2025 Saw Near-Peak FII Outflow

​FIIs sold significantly less in Asia-6 in December compared to November, with signs of recovery in select ASEAN markets. Asian equity performance...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Asia Metals Outlook 2026: Scarcity Favours Gold, Copper, Aluminium

​Precious and energy-transition metals set to outperform bulks and hydrocarbons through 2026, with top Asia exposures including Zijin, Korea Zinc,...

Rahul Jain

WEEKLY Tactical Recap | Asymmetric Setup: KS200, CATL, Samsung Electronics, Tokyo Electron, SK Hynix

Weekly Macro Tactical Recap | Asymmetric Setups - Quantitative models tracking momentum extremes across Asian/Global equities and commodities to...

Nico Rosti

HK Short Interest Weekly: Lenovo, Knowledge Atlas, ABC, AIA, HKEx, China Resources Land, Trip.Com

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 18th and highlight short interest changes in Lenovo (992 HK), Knowledge...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

FIIs sold significantly less in Asia-6 in December compared to November, with signs of recovery in select ASEAN markets. Asian equity performance...

Precious and energy-transition metals set to outperform bulks and hydrocarbons through 2026, with top Asia exposures including Zijin, Korea Zinc,...