Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>4Q25 seasonal outlook? Silergy expects flat to slightly up QoQ, similar to past years.</li>
<li>Silergy does see consolidation, and given its stronger financials, product breadth, and R&amp;D capabilities, the company remains a top supplier and will continue to gain share.</li>
<li>Will 1H next year be better than 2H this year?Hard to say because of Chinese New Year seasonality.We expect YoY growth, but not strong yet.</li>
</ul>


4Q25 seasonal outlook? Silergy expects flat to slightly up QoQ, similar to past years.
Silergy does see consolidation, and given its stronger financials, product breadth, and R&amp;D capabilities, the company remains a top supplier and will continue to gain share.
Will 1H next year be better than 2H this year?Hard to say because of Chinese New Year seasonality.We expect YoY growth, but not strong yet.


Silergy (6415.TT): 4Q25 Flat or Slightly Upside; Early Gen4 Yields Remain Non-Comparable.

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) / Equity Bottom-Up

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC)

<ul>
<li>Revenue in 3Q25 was 7.8% higher than in 2Q25, in line with stronger seasonal demand. GM: 22.0% in 3Q25, compared with 20.4% in 2Q25 and 20.5% in 3Q24.</li>
<li>The Company expects: Revenue Flat to up 2% quarter-over-quarter (QoQ). Gross Margin: Between 18% and 20%.</li>
<li>SMIC’s stock price has risen 160.7% year-to-date in 2025, outperforming <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-sp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8587:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)</a> at 44.2% and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-microelectron-sp-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11540:1" rel="noopener">United Microelectron Sp Adr (UMC US)</a> at 10.8%.</li>
</ul>


Revenue in 3Q25 was 7.8% higher than in 2Q25, in line with stronger seasonal demand. GM: 22.0% in 3Q25, compared with 20.4% in 2Q25 and 20.5% in 3Q24.
The Company expects: Revenue Flat to up 2% quarter-over-quarter (QoQ). Gross Margin: Between 18% and 20%.
SMIC’s stock price has risen 160.7% year-to-date in 2025, outperforming Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US) at 44.2% and United Microelectron Sp Adr (UMC US) at 10.8%.


SMIC (981.HK): Although GM May Decline Slightly, Revenue Is Expected to Continue Growing in 4Q25.

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Nov 7th. The aggregated holding was USD1,377.2bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD2,766mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Delta Electronics, MediaTek, Fubon Financial, Nanya Technology, Fubon Financial, TSMC, Delta Electronics, Mediatek, Nanya Technology.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Nov 7th. The aggregated holding was USD1,377.2bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD2,766mln. We tabulate the league tables for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in TSMC, Delta Electronics, MediaTek, Fubon Financial, Nanya Technology, Fubon Financial, TSMC, Delta Electronics, Mediatek, Nanya Technology.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 7th): TSMC, Delta Electronics, MediaTek, Fubon Financial

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Nov 7th. The aggregated short interest was USD27.6bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Yageo, Macronix Intl, WT Microelectronics, TSMC, Unimicron Technology, Yageo, Macronix Intl, WT Microelectronics, TSMC, Unimicron Technology.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Nov 7th. The aggregated short interest was USD27.6bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Yageo, Macronix Intl, WT Microelectronics, TSMC, Unimicron Technology, Yageo, Macronix Intl, WT Microelectronics, TSMC, Unimicron Technology.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Nov 7th): Yageo, Macronix Intl, WT Microelectronics, TSMC

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>TSMC: +21.8% Premium; Wait for Lower Premium Before Fresh Long</li>
<li>UMC: +2.2% Premium; Good Level to Short the ADR Premium</li>
<li>CHT: -2.0% Discount; Near Level to Go Long the ADR Spread</li>
</ul>


TSMC: +21.8% Premium; Wait for Lower Premium Before Fresh Long
UMC: +2.2% Premium; Good Level to Short the ADR Premium
CHT: -2.0% Discount; Near Level to Go Long the ADR Spread


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Eases Down; UMC & CHT Opportunity Levels

Taiwan

United Microelectronics Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets integrated circuits (ICs) and related electronic products.  The Company's main products are consumer electronic ICs, memory ICs, personal computer peripheral ICs, and communication ICs.

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United Microelectronics Corp (2303 TT)

Silergy (6415.TT): 4Q25 Flat or Slightly Upside; Early Gen4 Yields Remain Non-Comparable.

Silergy anticipates flat to slightly up 4Q25, remains top supplier with strong financials and R&D capabilities, uncertain if 1H next year will...

Patrick Liao

SMIC (981.HK): Although GM May Decline Slightly, Revenue Is Expected to Continue Growing in 4Q25.

SMIC's 3Q25 revenue up 7.8% from 2Q25, GM at 22.0%. Expects flat to 2% revenue growth QoQ, GM between 18% and 20%. Stock price up 160.7% YTD,...

Patrick Liao

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 7th): TSMC, Delta Electronics, MediaTek, Fubon Financial

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC (2330 TT), Delta Electronics (2308 TT),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Nov 7th): Yageo, Macronix Intl, WT Microelectronics, TSMC

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Yageo (2327 TT), Macronix Intl (2337 TT), WT...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Eases Down; UMC & CHT Opportunity Levels

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

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52-week Range

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Silergy (6415.TT): 4Q25 Flat or Slightly Upside; Early Gen4 Yields Remain Non-Comparable.

​Silergy anticipates flat to slightly up 4Q25, remains top supplier with strong financials and R&D capabilities, uncertain if 1H next year will...

Patrick Liao

SMIC (981.HK): Although GM May Decline Slightly, Revenue Is Expected to Continue Growing in 4Q25.

​SMIC's 3Q25 revenue up 7.8% from 2Q25, GM at 22.0%. Expects flat to 2% revenue growth QoQ, GM between 18% and 20%. Stock price up 160.7% YTD,...

Patrick Liao

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Nov 7th): TSMC, Delta Electronics, MediaTek, Fubon Financial

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC (2330 TT), Delta Electronics (2308 TT),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Nov 7th): Yageo, Macronix Intl, WT Microelectronics, TSMC

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Yageo (2327 TT), Macronix Intl (2337 TT), WT...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Eases Down; UMC & CHT Opportunity Levels

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Silergy anticipates flat to slightly up 4Q25, remains top supplier with strong financials and R&D capabilities, uncertain if 1H next year will...

SMIC's 3Q25 revenue up 7.8% from 2Q25, GM at 22.0%. Expects flat to 2% revenue growth QoQ, GM between 18% and 20%. Stock price up 160.7% YTD,...