Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 129.2% as of Jan 19th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 7.1ppt week-on-week, led by financials, materials, health care and offset by information technology.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Haier Smart H, ICBC, China Vanke, ZTE, China Rail Gr, China Com Cons, SMIC, China Longyuan.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 129.2% as of Jan 19th.
The average A-H premium changed by 7.1ppt week-on-week, led by financials, materials, health care and offset by information technology.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Haier Smart H, ICBC, China Vanke, ZTE, China Rail Gr, China Com Cons, SMIC, China Longyuan.


A-H Premium Weekly (Jan 19th): Haier Smart, ICBC, China Vanke, ZTE, CR Group, CCCC

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

China Everbright Bank Co A / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Based on the close of 8 January, there could be two changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-ftse-a50-china-index-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:249:1" rel="noopener">iShares A50 China (2823 HK)</a>/ <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csop-ftse-china-a50-etf-26e3b671-fa47-4165-a12e-bf841640c5a3" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23664:1" rel="noopener">CSOP A50 (HKD) (2822 HK)</a> in March.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shaanxi-coal-industry-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11254:1" rel="noopener">Shaanxi Coal Industry (601225 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-everbright-bank-co-ltd-675cb9b4-f4fb-4317-9df7-75e3849a2f5a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:885:1" rel="noopener">China Everbright Bank Co A (601818 CH)</a> could replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-of-ningbo-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4452:1" rel="noopener">Bank Of Ningbo Co Ltd A (002142 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aier-eye-hospital-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1103:1" rel="noopener">Aier Eye Hospital Group (300015 CH)</a>. </li>
<li>The impact of passive trading will be higher on the inclusions compared to the deletions. Then there are cash and carry positions that will be rebalanced, adding to flow.</li>
</ul>


Based on the close of 8 January, there could be two changes for the iShares A50 China (2823 HK)/ CSOP A50 (HKD) (2822 HK) in March.

Shaanxi Coal Industry (601225 CH) and China Everbright Bank Co A (601818 CH) could replace Bank Of Ningbo Co Ltd A (002142 CH) and Aier Eye Hospital Group (300015 CH). 
The impact of passive trading will be higher on the inclusions compared to the deletions. Then there are cash and carry positions that will be rebalanced, adding to flow.


Offshore China ETFs Rebalance Preview: Two Changes Expected in March

Financial sector veteran, KT Capital Group

Fern Wang

Financial sector veteran

KT Capital Group

Principal investments and advisory firm that focuses on connecting the CIS countries with East Asia.

Principal investments and advisory firm

Equity Bottom-Up

China Minsheng Banking H / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>NII decline has slowed but the overall profitability is lacklustre</li>
<li>Asset quality stabilized for now, real estate exposure remains a concern</li>
<li>We believe the turnaround of the bank is still pretty far off. </li>
</ul>


NII decline has slowed but the overall profitability is lacklustre
Asset quality stabilized for now, real estate exposure remains a concern
We believe the turnaround of the bank is still pretty far off. 


China Minsheng Bank's NII Decline Has Slowed for 3Q23, Asset Quality Stabilized For Now

Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>In this China banks screen, we focus on the credit quality headwinds going forward, as well as the returns trends that can absorb potentially worsening cost of risk charges</li>
<li>China bank shares continue to be poor performers; yet we see selective contrarian buy opportunities, for those banks with deeply discounted valuations and strong balance sheets including credit quality metrics</li>
<li>We stick with Industrial Bank and CCB as buys, adding Ping An Bank to the buys both of which have attractive valuations; Minsheng remains our fundamental sell</li>
</ul>


In this China banks screen, we focus on the credit quality headwinds going forward, as well as the returns trends that can absorb potentially worsening cost of risk charges
China bank shares continue to be poor performers; yet we see selective contrarian buy opportunities, for those banks with deeply discounted valuations and strong balance sheets including credit quality metrics
We stick with Industrial Bank and CCB as buys, adding Ping An Bank to the buys both of which have attractive valuations; Minsheng remains our fundamental sell


China Banks; Deep Value Despite the Rising Credit Quality Risks

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

<ul>
<li>Fund exposure to China &amp; HK Banks closes in on lowest levels on record</li>
<li>Asia Ex-Japan investors prefer Indian and Indonesian Banks, whilst Tech/Internet industry groups dominate portfolios.</li>
<li>China &amp; HK Banks stand as the largest industry underweight, with 87% of funds positioned below the benchmark. Underperformance is expected.</li>
</ul>


Fund exposure to China &amp; HK Banks closes in on lowest levels on record
Asia Ex-Japan investors prefer Indian and Indonesian Banks, whilst Tech/Internet industry groups dominate portfolios.
China &amp; HK Banks stand as the largest industry underweight, with 87% of funds positioned below the benchmark. Underperformance is expected.


China

China Minsheng Banking Corp., Ltd. operates in commercial banking businesses. The Bank provides deposit, loan, settlement, discount, financial bond issuance, government bond underwriting and trading, letter of credit, bank guarantee, and other related financial services.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

China Minsheng Banking A (600016 CH)

A-H Premium Weekly (Jan 19th): Haier Smart, ICBC, China Vanke, ZTE, CR Group, CCCC

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Haier Smart H, ICBC, China Vanke, ZTE, China Rail Gr, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Offshore China ETFs Rebalance Preview: Two Changes Expected in March

There could be two changes for the 2823HK/2822HK ETFs in March. There is bunching among some of the adds; that needs to be monitored. Impact on one...

Brian Freitas

China Minsheng Bank's NII Decline Has Slowed for 3Q23, Asset Quality Stabilized For Now

China Minsheng Bank's income decline has slowed and asset quality deterioration has stabilized but a turnaround still seems very far off.

Fern Wang

China Banks; Deep Value Despite the Rising Credit Quality Risks

China banks face credit quality hurdles, yet there are opportunities with discounted valuations and strong balance sheets; Industrial Bank, CCB...

Victor Galliano

China Banks: Depressed Positioning

China and HK Banks stand as the largest industry underweight, with 87% of Asia Ex-Japan funds positioned below the benchmark. Underperformance is...

Steven Holden

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

A-H Premium Weekly (Jan 19th): Haier Smart, ICBC, China Vanke, ZTE, CR Group, CCCC

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Haier Smart H, ICBC, China Vanke, ZTE, China Rail Gr, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Offshore China ETFs Rebalance Preview: Two Changes Expected in March

There could be two changes for the 2823HK/2822HK ETFs in March. There is bunching among some of the adds; that needs to be monitored. Impact on one...

Brian Freitas

China Minsheng Bank's NII Decline Has Slowed for 3Q23, Asset Quality Stabilized For Now

China Minsheng Bank's income decline has slowed and asset quality deterioration has stabilized but a turnaround still seems very far off.

Fern Wang

China Banks; Deep Value Despite the Rising Credit Quality Risks

​China banks face credit quality hurdles, yet there are opportunities with discounted valuations and strong balance sheets; Industrial Bank, CCB...

Victor Galliano

China Banks: Depressed Positioning

China and HK Banks stand as the largest industry underweight, with 87% of Asia Ex-Japan funds positioned below the benchmark. Underperformance is...

Steven Holden

China banks face credit quality hurdles, yet there are opportunities with discounted valuations and strong balance sheets; Industrial Bank, CCB...