Financial sector veteran, KT Capital Group

Fern Wang

Financial sector veteran

KT Capital Group

Principal investments and advisory firm that focuses on connecting the CIS countries with East Asia.

Principal investments and advisory firm

Equity Bottom-Up

Destiny Tech100 Inc. operates as a closed-end management investment company. The Company invests in a portfolio of venture-backed private technology companies, as well a provides everyday investors access to private market institutional investors. Destiny Tech100 serves customers in the United States.

<ul>
<li>
Market Euphoria and Investment Challenges: Trump’s re-election has fueled excitement in the stock market, especially for Elon Musk-linked companies, but investing in SpaceX remains difficult due to its private status.  </li>
<li>
Proxy Stocks: Investors can access SpaceX indirectly through proxy stocks like Rocket Lab (RKLB) or funds such as Destiny Tech100 Inc. (DXYZ) and the ARK Venture Fund (ARKVX). </li>
<li>
Valuation Concerns on DXYZ: Despite DXYZ’s significant outperformance compared to other proxies, its rapidly expanded market cap/fair value multiple raises concerns about overvaluation and stock price sustainability.</li>
</ul>



Market Euphoria and Investment Challenges: Trump’s re-election has fueled excitement in the stock market, especially for Elon Musk-linked companies, but investing in SpaceX remains difficult due to its private status.  

Proxy Stocks: Investors can access SpaceX indirectly through proxy stocks like Rocket Lab (RKLB) or funds such as Destiny Tech100 Inc. (DXYZ) and the ARK Venture Fund (ARKVX). 

Valuation Concerns on DXYZ: Despite DXYZ’s significant outperformance compared to other proxies, its rapidly expanded market cap/fair value multiple raises concerns about overvaluation and stock price sustainability.


China Vanke is a prominent real estate developer primarily focused on residential property sales, and is among the top three in China. The company has expanded its business to include investment properties such as commercial retail complexes, long-term leasing apartments, and logistical assets, alongside property management services. Founded in 1984, China Vanke is headquartered in Shenzhen, Guangdong, China.

<ul>
<li>China Vanke has caused jitters as it was reported to be closely watched by some insurers as it seeks to rollover some of its debt with insurers.</li>
<li>It is reported that it has sufficient funding to repay its bond due on March 11th and is lining up a HK$1.5 billion syndication loan. </li>
<li>Vanke warrants close monitoring as there is no sign of turning in its reducing contract sales, deteriorating cash position, shrinking financing ability. </li>
</ul>


China Vanke has caused jitters as it was reported to be closely watched by some insurers as it seeks to rollover some of its debt with insurers.
It is reported that it has sufficient funding to repay its bond due on March 11th and is lining up a HK$1.5 billion syndication loan. 
Vanke warrants close monitoring as there is no sign of turning in its reducing contract sales, deteriorating cash position, shrinking financing ability. 


China Vanke: Should Investors Be Worried?

Standard Chartered is a British multinational banking and financial services company that offers corporate, institutional, wealth, and retail banking services. It provides global markets trading, lending and financial solutions, transaction services, and wealth solutions. The company is headquartered in London, England, and was founded in 1853.

<ul>
<li>StandChart may need to take further impairment hit on China Bohai Bank</li>
<li>VIU model is used to justify the higher carrying value compared to fair value of the holdings.  There is zero headroom between the VIU model and the carrying amount.</li>
<li>We looked at VIU model assumptions for HSBC and StandChart. A declining NIM is likely put further pressure on the VIU model output for StandChart.  </li>
</ul>


StandChart may need to take further impairment hit on China Bohai Bank
VIU model is used to justify the higher carrying value compared to fair value of the holdings.  There is zero headroom between the VIU model and the carrying amount.
We looked at VIU model assumptions for HSBC and StandChart. A declining NIM is likely put further pressure on the VIU model output for StandChart.  


StandChart Is Likely to Have More China Bohai Impairment

China Evergrande Group was a major Chinese property developer, known for large-scale residential projects and diversified operations in property management, new energy vehicles, cultural tourism, and health industries. The company was founded in 1996 and was headquartered in Shenzhen, China.

<ul>
<li>Temporary implications of Evergrande's court ruling on property sector sentiment and other troubled property developers' restructuring plans</li>
<li>Evergrande's situation is more complicated than that of other troubled developers, as its founder is still under arrest and the company is unable to issue new debts.</li>
<li>Cross-Border bankruptcy cases for Chinese companies are still relatively rare, making the recognition and enforcement of Hong Kong bankruptcy judgments by the PRC court uncertain</li>
</ul>


Temporary implications of Evergrande's court ruling on property sector sentiment and other troubled property developers' restructuring plans
Evergrande's situation is more complicated than that of other troubled developers, as its founder is still under arrest and the company is unable to issue new debts.
Cross-Border bankruptcy cases for Chinese companies are still relatively rare, making the recognition and enforcement of Hong Kong bankruptcy judgments by the PRC court uncertain


Alibaba Group Holding Limited is a Chinese multinational technology company specializing in e-commerce, retail, internet, and technology, offering C2C, B2C, and B2B sales services through various marketplaces. It also provides digital media and entertainment, logistics, and cloud computing services. The company was founded in Hangzhou, China, in 1999.

<ul>
<li>Investor confidence toward the Chinese tech sector remains fragile after the government crackdown, and Alibaba Group was particularly hard hit due to Jack Ma's previous conflicts with Chinese regulators.</li>
<li>Growth of its main eCommerce business is in question given the softening Chinese economy and intense competitions. Additionally, the growth of its cloud computing unit is also slowing down. </li>
<li>China's stock market stabilization fund is not likely to benefit Alibaba directly as it will be used to buy onshore stocks only. </li>
</ul>


Investor confidence toward the Chinese tech sector remains fragile after the government crackdown, and Alibaba Group was particularly hard hit due to Jack Ma's previous conflicts with Chinese regulators.
Growth of its main eCommerce business is in question given the softening Chinese economy and intense competitions. Additionally, the growth of its cloud computing unit is also slowing down. 
China's stock market stabilization fund is not likely to benefit Alibaba directly as it will be used to buy onshore stocks only. 


Alibaba's Share Prices Are Lacking Further Catalysts After Jack Ma and Joe Tsai's Stock Acquisition

Extensive experience in the financial market covering multiple sectors and products in banks, rating agencies and a fintech company in China. Work experiences covered Hong Kong, Shanghai and New York.

Fern Wang
Financial sector veteran
• KT Capital Group

Destiny XYZ Is Destined to Crash

Investors excited about SpaceX's potential through proxy stocks like RKLB and DXYZ, but valuation concerns linger over DXYZ's market cap.

Fern Wang

China Vanke: Should Investors Be Worried?

China Vanke jitters as insurers raised concerns for the company. Vanke warrants close monitoring due to declining contract sales, cash position,...

Fern Wang

StandChart Is Likely to Have More China Bohai Impairment

StandChart is likely to take more impairment hit on China Bohai with continue NIM decline of the latter. We reviewed both of HSBC and StandChart's...

Fern Wang

Evergrande's Wind-Up Ruling Implications

Evergrande's wind-up ruling offers limited relief to investors. It will not, however, preclude other developers to reach a deal with their creditors.

Fern Wang

Destiny XYZ Is Destined to Crash

​Investors excited about SpaceX's potential through proxy stocks like RKLB and DXYZ, but valuation concerns linger over DXYZ's market cap.

Fern Wang

China Vanke: Should Investors Be Worried?

China Vanke jitters as insurers raised concerns for the company. Vanke warrants close monitoring due to declining contract sales, cash position,...

Fern Wang

StandChart Is Likely to Have More China Bohai Impairment

StandChart is likely to take more impairment hit on China Bohai with continue NIM decline of the latter. We reviewed both of HSBC and StandChart's...

Fern Wang

Evergrande's Wind-Up Ruling Implications

Evergrande's wind-up ruling offers limited relief to investors. It will not, however, preclude other developers to reach a deal with their creditors.

Fern Wang

Alibaba's Share Prices Are Lacking Further Catalysts After Jack Ma and Joe Tsai's Stock Acquisition

For Alibaba to unlock its value, China needs to provide clear and consistent support to its tech sector. At the same time, Alibaba also need to...

Fern Wang

Investors excited about SpaceX's potential through proxy stocks like RKLB and DXYZ, but valuation concerns linger over DXYZ's market cap.