Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

<ul>
<li>In the US, September personal spending came in above estimates at 0.5% m-o-m (0.4% e / 0.3% revised p), while personal income edged up 0.3% m-o-m (0.3% e / 0.2% p).</li>
<li>Separately, the September PCE price index edged down to 2.1% y-o-y (2.1% e / 2.3% revised p), and was up 0.2% m-o-m (0.2% e / 0.1% p).</li>
<li>The core PCE price index rose 2.7% y-o-y (2.6% e / 2.7% p) and 0.3% m-o-m (0.3% e / 0.2% revised p). </li>
</ul>


In the US, September personal spending came in above estimates at 0.5% m-o-m (0.4% e / 0.3% revised p), while personal income edged up 0.3% m-o-m (0.3% e / 0.2% p).
Separately, the September PCE price index edged down to 2.1% y-o-y (2.1% e / 2.3% revised p), and was up 0.2% m-o-m (0.2% e / 0.1% p).
The core PCE price index rose 2.7% y-o-y (2.6% e / 2.7% p) and 0.3% m-o-m (0.3% e / 0.2% revised p). 


Mostly Borrowed Ideas Deep Dives, MBI Deep Dives

MBI Deep Dives

Mostly Borrowed Ideas Deep Dives

MBI is the abbreviation for “Mostly Borrowed Ideas”. Why “Mostly Borrowed Ideas?” As a generalist, I do not have a background in any particular sector. I enjoy navigating across industries, businesses, and countries to learn, understand, and connect the dots. In any case, most ideas and innovations are incremental in nature. Very few of us are smart enough to come up with truly original or groundbreaking ideas. I am Abdullah Al-Rezwan. I was born and brought up in Bangladesh. I went to University of Dhaka for my undergrad and majored in Finance. After working three and half years in Equity Research (Sell-side) covering Financial Sector in Bangladesh, I left Bangladesh to pursue my MBA in the US. I graduated within top 10% of the class from Cornell University's two-year MBA program and worked on the buy-side following my graduation. During my time at Cornell, I won two stock pitch competitions and also became finalists in four other competitions. I thoroughly enjoyed my stint as a generalist in the US large cap team at Madison Investments and covered a wide range of companies from UnitedHealth to Amazon and Boeing before US immigration reality paused my career in investment management. As my work authorization expired, I moved to Canada in January, 2021. Then in early 2022, I was able to return to the US.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Daily Active People (DAP) across its Family of Apps (FOA) decelerated to 20 mn QoQ in 3Q’24.</li><li>Even though easy comp ended in 1Q’24 and 3Q’24 faced a fairly difficult comp, Meta posted quite strong YoY growth rates across regions in 3Q’24.</li><li>Meta’s Family of Apps (FOA) ads revenue growth is comfortably ahead of both Google Search and YouTube ads in each of the last 1-yr, 2-yr, and 3-yr timeframe.</li></ul>

Daily Active People (DAP) across its Family of Apps (FOA) decelerated to 20 mn QoQ in 3Q’24.Even though easy comp ended in 1Q’24 and 3Q’24 faced a fairly difficult comp, Meta posted quite strong YoY growth rates across regions in 3Q’24.Meta’s Family of Apps (FOA) ads revenue growth is comfortably ahead of both Google Search and YouTube ads in each of the last 1-yr, 2-yr, and 3-yr timeframe.

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

<ul>
<li>3Q24 Performance Signals Advanced Products Making Major Progress; 20% Topline Growth &amp; Improved China Market Conditions</li>
<li>Flagship Mobile Revenue Leading the Charge in China and Emerging Markets</li>
<li>ASIC and AI Accelerator Progress: Estimate 2025E/2026E Initial Mass Production; Maintain Structural Long Rating.</li>
</ul>


3Q24 Performance Signals Advanced Products Making Major Progress; 20% Topline Growth &amp; Improved China Market Conditions
Flagship Mobile Revenue Leading the Charge in China and Emerging Markets
ASIC and AI Accelerator Progress: Estimate 2025E/2026E Initial Mass Production; Maintain Structural Long Rating.


Mediatek's Advanced Product Strategy Showing Major Progress; Maintain Structural Long

Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

<ul>
<li>Companies exude confidence and unanimously explain that AI is the fastest growing revenue segment ever.  AI leads to revenue growth, increase in volume, higher pricing, higher engagement. </li>
<li>Companies also explain that AI today only reflects a small part of long-term planning. AI is a decade long transformation of how we work, search for information or buy products.  </li>
<li>Meta and Microsoft see equipment delays and are capacity constrained in 2024. Capex will increase in 2025. </li>
</ul>


Companies exude confidence and unanimously explain that AI is the fastest growing revenue segment ever.  AI leads to revenue growth, increase in volume, higher pricing, higher engagement. 
Companies also explain that AI today only reflects a small part of long-term planning. AI is a decade long transformation of how we work, search for information or buy products.  
Meta and Microsoft see equipment delays and are capacity constrained in 2024. Capex will increase in 2025. 


Google, Meta, Microsoft: What Did They Say About AI, Capex and Revenues?

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>TSMC Plans 2025E Price Hike of Up to 10% for Advanced Nodes—Exceeding Expectations</li>
<li>MediaTek Poised to Benefit from the ARM and Qualcomm Dispute</li>
<li>Is Splitting Intel Key for Its Survival? Intel Ex-Directors Pen Op-Ed Piece</li>
</ul>


TSMC Plans 2025E Price Hike of Up to 10% for Advanced Nodes—Exceeding Expectations
MediaTek Poised to Benefit from the ARM and Qualcomm Dispute
Is Splitting Intel Key for Its Survival? Intel Ex-Directors Pen Op-Ed Piece


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Wave of Earnings Imminent; New TSMC Price Hike; Mediatek Winner of QCOM/ARM Spat

United States

Meta Platforms Inc. operates as a social technology company. The Company builds applications and technologies that help people connect, find communities, and grow businesses. meta Platform is also involved in advertisements, augmented and virtual reality.

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Meta (META US)

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In the US, September personal spending came in above estimates at 0.5% m-o-m (0.4% e / 0.3% revised p), while personal income edged up 0.3% m-o-m...

Lucror Analytics

Meta 3Q'24 Update

Even though easy comp ended in 1Q’24 and 3Q’24 faced a fairly difficult comp, Meta posted quite strong YoY growth rates across regions in 3Q’24.

MBI Deep Dives

Mediatek's Advanced Product Strategy Showing Major Progress; Maintain Structural Long

Advanced products at 3Q24 are showing strong performance with 20% topline growth, driven by flagship mobile revenue in China and emerging markets.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Google, Meta, Microsoft: What Did They Say About AI, Capex and Revenues?

Is AI really increasing revenues, profitability? There is still considerable doubt within the investors community on the "reality" of AI, or its...

Nicolas Baratte

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Wave of Earnings Imminent; New TSMC Price Hike; Mediatek Winner of QCOM/ARM Spat

TSMC to raise prices even higher, MediaTek to benefit from ARM and Qualcomm dispute, former Intel directors suggest splitting Intel for survival.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

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Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In the US, September personal spending came in above estimates at 0.5% m-o-m (0.4% e / 0.3% revised p), while personal income edged up 0.3% m-o-m...

Lucror Analytics

Meta 3Q'24 Update

Even though easy comp ended in 1Q’24 and 3Q’24 faced a fairly difficult comp, Meta posted quite strong YoY growth rates across regions in 3Q’24.

MBI Deep Dives

Mediatek's Advanced Product Strategy Showing Major Progress; Maintain Structural Long

​Advanced products at 3Q24 are showing strong performance with 20% topline growth, driven by flagship mobile revenue in China and emerging markets.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Google, Meta, Microsoft: What Did They Say About AI, Capex and Revenues?

Is AI really increasing revenues, profitability? There is still considerable doubt within the investors community on the "reality" of AI, or its...

Nicolas Baratte

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Wave of Earnings Imminent; New TSMC Price Hike; Mediatek Winner of QCOM/ARM Spat

​TSMC to raise prices even higher, MediaTek to benefit from ARM and Qualcomm dispute, former Intel directors suggest splitting Intel for survival.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Advanced products at 3Q24 are showing strong performance with 20% topline growth, driven by flagship mobile revenue in China and emerging markets.

TSMC to raise prices even higher, MediaTek to benefit from ARM and Qualcomm dispute, former Intel directors suggest splitting Intel for survival.