TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst, Obex Capital Research

Aaron Gabin

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research

Obex Capital Research

“Obex” is Latin for Barriers to Entry. Obex Capital Management’s investment philosophy is driven by an intense focus on which business model’s Barriers to Entry are able to withstand the ever increasing competitive disruption in the TMT and Consumer Sectors.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Meta now trades at 14x P/E and 6x fwd EV/EBITDA...valuation inline with Paramount and Warner Brothers Discovery. This is nuts!</li>
<li>While the drumbeat of competitive concerns and self inflicted wounds has piled up in the past month, even core Facebook is not in a death spiral of engagement.</li>
<li>META is investing in new ad tech and ad formats, and has the ability to cut significant opex from its budget that could yield 10-20% upside to current 2023 consensus.</li>
</ul>


Meta now trades at 14x P/E and 6x fwd EV/EBITDA...valuation inline with Paramount and Warner Brothers Discovery. This is nuts!
While the drumbeat of competitive concerns and self inflicted wounds has piled up in the past month, even core Facebook is not in a death spiral of engagement.
META is investing in new ad tech and ad formats, and has the ability to cut significant opex from its budget that could yield 10-20% upside to current 2023 consensus.


What Are the Prospects for a Meta Rebound?

SPAC Deep Dive, subSPAC

subSPAC

SPAC Deep Dive

Each week we’ll identify and break down for you SPACs that are capturing market share and making an impact.

<ul><li>Direct to Consumer and E-commerce brands benefited massively from the demand during the pandemic but have struggled in recent months due to the recent slump in demand.</li><li>Furthermore, Privacy focused changes instituted by both Apple and Google have led to poor conversion rates and soaring customer acquisition costs whiles also lowering conversion rates.</li><li>System1, which went public through a SPAC, aims to solve all these issues by matching high-intent customers with advertisers at scales, effectively sidestepping the recent changes.</li></ul>

Direct to Consumer and E-commerce brands benefited massively from the demand during the pandemic but have struggled in recent months due to the recent slump in demand.Furthermore, Privacy focused changes instituted by both Apple and Google have led to poor conversion rates and soaring customer acquisition costs whiles also lowering conversion rates.System1, which went public through a SPAC, aims to solve all these issues by matching high-intent customers with advertisers at scales, effectively sidestepping the recent changes.

US Tech Company Research, MT Capital

MT Capital

US Tech Company Research

I demystify the world's most interesting tech companies, providing in-depth, no-nonsense, un-biased analysis on the most interesting Tech Companies available for investment today. I am a Mechanical Engineer by education, Software Engineer by trade and a self-trained Financial Analyst.

<ul><li>The technology sector is full of polarizing personalities, many of whom stand at the helm of some of the largest companies in the world.</li><li>Whether that be with the brash antics and lofty ambitions of Elon Musk, the undoubtable brilliance tainted by Bitcoin Maximalism exhibited by Jack Dorsey, the SEC-challenging twitter threads blasted by Brain Armstrong, or the naivety potentially falsely portrayed by Vlad Tenev, there is no shortage of individuals that, love or hate, you can’t help but pay attention to.</li><li>Mark Zuckerburg is one of those people. The man that steers the ship of of Metaverse has clear technical aptitude, a far-cry away from the resume full of consulting experience and MBAs possessed by a lot of modern c-suite executives.</li></ul>

The technology sector is full of polarizing personalities, many of whom stand at the helm of some of the largest companies in the world.Whether that be with the brash antics and lofty ambitions of Elon Musk, the undoubtable brilliance tainted by Bitcoin Maximalism exhibited by Jack Dorsey, the SEC-challenging twitter threads blasted by Brain Armstrong, or the naivety potentially falsely portrayed by Vlad Tenev, there is no shortage of individuals that, love or hate, you can’t help but pay attention to.Mark Zuckerburg is one of those people. The man that steers the ship of of Metaverse has clear technical aptitude, a far-cry away from the resume full of consulting experience and MBAs possessed by a lot of modern c-suite executives.

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tdcx-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34187:1" rel="noopener">TDCX (TDCX US)</a> offers digital customer experience solutions for innovative technology and blue-chip companies and has global client base including <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meta-platforms-inc-class-a-facebook" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:665:1" rel="noopener">Meta Platforms (Facebook) (META US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/airbnb-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:431:1" rel="noopener">Airbnb Inc (ABNB US)</a> .</li>
<li>The company’s share price has dropped more than 40% since its IPO as its largest clients were negatively impacted due to the Covid-19 outbreak.</li>
<li>TDCX’s 2Q2022 earnings were strong and the company’s client acquisition strategy is paying off and the share price has moved up 60% since then.</li>
</ul>



TDCX (TDCX US) offers digital customer experience solutions for innovative technology and blue-chip companies and has global client base including Meta Platforms (Facebook) (META US) and Airbnb Inc (ABNB US) .
The company’s share price has dropped more than 40% since its IPO as its largest clients were negatively impacted due to the Covid-19 outbreak.
TDCX’s 2Q2022 earnings were strong and the company’s client acquisition strategy is paying off and the share price has moved up 60% since then.


TDCX: Attractive Growth Profile; Drop in Multiples Offer a Good Entry Point

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Communication Services allocations among active Global managers are at their lowest levels on record.</li>
<li>Average weights stand at an all-time low of 7.12%, having broken out of a decade long range of between 8% - 10% towards the end of 2021.</li>
<li>Activision Blizzard suffered the worst of the position closures, alongside Meta Platforms, Tencent and Nintendo Co Ltd.</li>
</ul>


Communication Services allocations among active Global managers are at their lowest levels on record.
Average weights stand at an all-time low of 7.12%, having broken out of a decade long range of between 8% - 10% towards the end of 2021.
Activision Blizzard suffered the worst of the position closures, alongside Meta Platforms, Tencent and Nintendo Co Ltd.


Global Communication Services: Lowest Exposure on Record

United States

Meta Platforms Inc. operates as a social technology company. The Company builds applications and technologies that help people connect, find communities, and grow businesses. meta Platform is also involved in advertisements, augmented and virtual reality.

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Meta (META US)

What Are the Prospects for a Meta Rebound?

Meta has seen its valuation converge with structurally impaired cable network / streamers with margins 50% lower. We think it can boost EPS through...

Aaron Gabin

Advertisement Apocalypse

Direct to Consumer and E-commerce brands benefited massively from the demand during the pandemic but have struggled in recent months due to the...

subSPAC

Meta Platforms ($META)

The technology sector is full of polarizing personalities, many of whom stand at the helm of some of the largest companies in the world.

MT Capital

TDCX: Attractive Growth Profile; Drop in Multiples Offer a Good Entry Point

Though TDCX's share price has moved up over the last three weeks, there is further upside as the company's client acquisition has started paying...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Global Communication Services: Lowest Exposure on Record

Selling in Activision Blizzard, Meta Platforms, Tencent and Nintendo Co Ltd force Communication Services allocations to their lowest levels on record.

Steven Holden

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