Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Apple and Microsoft are pressing on pivotal supports that would weigh on the US equity cycle after the April 26 red flag for defensives and resource stocks to sell off.</li>
<li>Mounting to break AAPL and MSFT key supports at 150 and 270 that would inflection the SPX cycle further given the SPX is flirting with a key break below 4,100/4,030.</li>
<li>AAPL and MSFT support breaks target AAPL 120 and MSFT 220.</li>
</ul>


Apple and Microsoft are pressing on pivotal supports that would weigh on the US equity cycle after the April 26 red flag for defensives and resource stocks to sell off.
Mounting to break AAPL and MSFT key supports at 150 and 270 that would inflection the SPX cycle further given the SPX is flirting with a key break below 4,100/4,030.
AAPL and MSFT support breaks target AAPL 120 and MSFT 220.


AAPL and MSFT Support Breaks that Would Implode the US Cycle

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>In Depth: How the war in Ukraine is rattling China’s energy transition</li><li>Regional bank under corruption probe faces more trouble after online savings accounts frozen</li><li>China’s services sector slumps further as Covid battle intensifies, Caixin PMI shows</li></ul>

In Depth: How the war in Ukraine is rattling China’s energy transitionRegional bank under corruption probe faces more trouble after online savings accounts frozenChina’s services sector slumps further as Covid battle intensifies, Caixin PMI shows

CX Daily: How the War in Ukraine Is Rattling China’s Energy Transition

<ul><li>Food / Cover Story: Global food crisis stalks the starving as war, Covid choke supplies</li><li>Covid-19 / Shanghai eases restrictions in six districts</li><li>PMI / China manufacturing slump deepens as Covid curbs bite, Caixin PMI shows</li></ul>

Food / Cover Story: Global food crisis stalks the starving as war, Covid choke suppliesCovid-19 / Shanghai eases restrictions in six districtsPMI / China manufacturing slump deepens as Covid curbs bite, Caixin PMI shows

CX Daily: Global Food Crisis Stalks the Starving as War, Covid Choke Supplies

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst, Obex Capital Research

Aaron Gabin

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research

Obex Capital Research

“Obex” is Latin for Barriers to Entry. Obex Capital Management’s investment philosophy is driven by an intense focus on which business model’s Barriers to Entry are able to withstand the ever increasing competitive disruption in the TMT and Consumer Sectors.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Promised operating leverage is pushed out until likely 3Q22, but only higher employee RSUs is a permanent inflationary impact.</li>
<li>Overcapacity is almost certainly transitory, as long as the retail business grows, this will be soaked up in a quarter or two.</li>
<li>AWS backlog is booming again. Amazon's current valuation = 12x forward AWS sales.</li>
</ul>


Promised operating leverage is pushed out until likely 3Q22, but only higher employee RSUs is a permanent inflationary impact.
Overcapacity is almost certainly transitory, as long as the retail business grows, this will be soaked up in a quarter or two.
AWS backlog is booming again. Amazon's current valuation = 12x forward AWS sales.


Amazon 1Q22: (Some) Cost Inflation Is Transitory, The Moat Is Not

<ul>
<li>Like Netflix, Spotify is increasing spend on proprietary content... at the same time rivals are, which makes the ROI on this spend worth less.</li>
<li>Promised margin inflection no where in sight. Have to wait for Analyst Day for more clarity. </li>
<li>While we could justify a share price in the $70s, we no longer think Spotify is as compelling a risk reward short as it has for the past two years.</li>
</ul>


Like Netflix, Spotify is increasing spend on proprietary content... at the same time rivals are, which makes the ROI on this spend worth less.
Promised margin inflection no where in sight. Have to wait for Analyst Day for more clarity. 
While we could justify a share price in the $70s, we no longer think Spotify is as compelling a risk reward short as it has for the past two years.


United States

Apple Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables and accessories, and sells a variety of related accessories. The Company also offers payment, digital content, cloud and advertising services. Apple Inc.'s customers are primarily in consumer, small & mid-sized business, education, enterprise and government markets worldwide.

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Apple (AAPL US)

AAPL and MSFT Support Breaks that Would Implode the US Cycle

Apple and Microsoft are pressing on pivotal supports that would weigh on the US equity cycle after the April 26 red flag for defensives and...

Thomas Schroeder

CX Daily: How the War in Ukraine Is Rattling China’s Energy Transition

In Depth: How the war in Ukraine is rattling China’s energy transition. Regional bank under corruption probe faces more trouble after online...

Caixin Global

CX Daily: Global Food Crisis Stalks the Starving as War, Covid Choke Supplies

Food / Cover Story: Global food crisis stalks the starving as war, Covid choke supplies. Covid-19 / Shanghai eases restrictions in six districts

Caixin Global

Amazon 1Q22: (Some) Cost Inflation Is Transitory, The Moat Is Not

Current 2023E has AWS @ $104B and Advertising at $48B in revenues. Both are 45%+ EBITDA margin businesses. Today you are paying 16x forward EBITDA...

Aaron Gabin

Spotify 1Q22 Earnings: Netflix Like?

The more Daniel Ek said that Spotify is not like Netflix, the more we thought...hes right! Netflix has a less competition, more pricing power, and...

Aaron Gabin

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