Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Since the last reshuffle (August 11), our Model Portfolio has appreciated 1.18%, against MXASJ's 0.92% advance. Since inception on May 15, 2025, our portfolio is up 44.9%, against MXASJ's 45.8%.</li>
<li>The main drivers of our portfolio were Korea (contributed 2.77% return) and Taiwan (0.34%). The returns were dragged down by China (-1.14%) and India (-0.66%).</li>
<li>We exclude Reliance Industries and include Hitachi Energy, reaffirming our preference for Indian industrials. Our overweight on HK/China, Korea, India and underweight on Taiwan (but preference for Taiwan technology) continues.</li>
</ul>


Since the last reshuffle (August 11), our Model Portfolio has appreciated 1.18%, against MXASJ's 0.92% advance. Since inception on May 15, 2025, our portfolio is up 44.9%, against MXASJ's 45.8%.
The main drivers of our portfolio were Korea (contributed 2.77% return) and Taiwan (0.34%). The returns were dragged down by China (-1.14%) and India (-0.66%).
We exclude Reliance Industries and include Hitachi Energy, reaffirming our preference for Indian industrials. Our overweight on HK/China, Korea, India and underweight on Taiwan (but preference for Taiwan technology) continues.


Asian Equities: Model Portfolio Outperformed Marginally; Focus More on Indian Industrials

Partner at Exencial Research, Exencial Research

Viral Kishorchandra Shah

Partner at Exencial Research

Exencial Research

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>
Project completions rose to Rs.1.5 trillion in March 2025, surpassing Rs.1.3 trillion in December 2024, but yearly performance lags behind 2023-24 and 2022-23.</li>
<li>
Private sector led with Rs.675 billion, while central government completed Rs.463 billion, boosted by the Rs.257 billion P-75 Submarines Project finalized in January 2025.</li>
<li>
Renewable energy dominated completions at Rs.326 billion, with Adani Green’s Rs.65 billion solar projects in Rajasthan enhancing India’s green energy capacity.</li>
</ul>



Project completions rose to Rs.1.5 trillion in March 2025, surpassing Rs.1.3 trillion in December 2024, but yearly performance lags behind 2023-24 and 2022-23.

Private sector led with Rs.675 billion, while central government completed Rs.463 billion, boosted by the Rs.257 billion P-75 Submarines Project finalized in January 2025.

Renewable energy dominated completions at Rs.326 billion, with Adani Green’s Rs.65 billion solar projects in Rajasthan enhancing India’s green energy capacity.


India’s Rs.1.5T Q4 2025 Boost: Private Sector & Renewables Lead, Yearly Lag Persists

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Indian equity's recent spike overlooks near-term risks - possible cuts in consensus EPS estimates, risks arising from reciprocal tariffs and another bout of likely INR depreciation. Valuations are again expensive.</li>
<li>Our analysis of sector fundamentals foretells earnings estimate cuts in most sectors. Financials, and to a lesser extent, consumer discretionary could see upgrades. Expanding trade deficit could drive INR decline.</li>
<li>In the near term we are cautious about India. For country-dedicated investors we recommend increasing exposure to financials (particularly large cap private banks), select consumer discretionary, and defensives like utilities.</li>
</ul>


Indian equity's recent spike overlooks near-term risks - possible cuts in consensus EPS estimates, risks arising from reciprocal tariffs and another bout of likely INR depreciation. Valuations are again expensive.
Our analysis of sector fundamentals foretells earnings estimate cuts in most sectors. Financials, and to a lesser extent, consumer discretionary could see upgrades. Expanding trade deficit could drive INR decline.
In the near term we are cautious about India. For country-dedicated investors we recommend increasing exposure to financials (particularly large cap private banks), select consumer discretionary, and defensives like utilities.


Asian Equities: India – Brace for Another Leg Down in the Near Term

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

<ul>
<li>Automobile industry is expected to witness a mixed performance in FY25 Volume growth, with robust growth in tractors, moderate increases in 2W’s and PV’s, and a slight decline in CV’s</li>
<li>Favorable farmer sentiment driving tractor demand and substantial export opportunities for 2W’s are key growth triggers anticipated.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/escorts-kubota-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6773:1" rel="noopener">Escorts Kubota Limited (ESCORTS IN)</a> with a revenue share of 80% from tractor business, foresees significant growth driven by a robust domestic market and double-digit growth in their export business. </li>
</ul>


Automobile industry is expected to witness a mixed performance in FY25 Volume growth, with robust growth in tractors, moderate increases in 2W’s and PV’s, and a slight decline in CV’s
Favorable farmer sentiment driving tractor demand and substantial export opportunities for 2W’s are key growth triggers anticipated.

Escorts Kubota Limited (ESCORTS IN) with a revenue share of 80% from tractor business, foresees significant growth driven by a robust domestic market and double-digit growth in their export business. 


Automobile Industry FY25: Expectations for Different Verticals

<ul>
<li>We analyze FIIs' and DIIs' buying/selling trend across sectors and their sector-wise stances relative to benchmarks to assess which sectors they would buy or sell in the near term.</li>
<li>FIIs and DIIs have bought consumer discretionary and healthcare secularly. They recently started buying financials and IT, after prolonged selling.  They've also secularly bought industrials, barring the last two quarters.</li>
<li>We conclude that both FIIs and DIIs shall continue to buy financials, industrials and consumer discretionary. They would also buy healthcare and sell materials, energy, IT and consumer staples.</li>
</ul>


We analyze FIIs' and DIIs' buying/selling trend across sectors and their sector-wise stances relative to benchmarks to assess which sectors they would buy or sell in the near term.
FIIs and DIIs have bought consumer discretionary and healthcare secularly. They recently started buying financials and IT, after prolonged selling.  They've also secularly bought industrials, barring the last two quarters.
We conclude that both FIIs and DIIs shall continue to buy financials, industrials and consumer discretionary. They would also buy healthcare and sell materials, energy, IT and consumer staples.


Asian Equities: India – What Would FIIs and DIIs Buy and Sell?

India

Maruti Suzuki India Limited manufactures and exports automobiles. Maruti collaborated with Suzuki of Japan to produce affordable cars for the average Indian.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Maruti Suzuki India (MSIL IN)

Asian Equities: Model Portfolio Outperformed Marginally; Focus More on Indian Industrials

Since last reshuffle Portfolio is up 1.18% vs MXASJ's 0.92%. Since inception it's up 44.9% vs MXASJ's 45.8%. Excluded Reliance Ind, included...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

India’s Rs.1.5T Q4 2025 Boost: Private Sector & Renewables Lead, Yearly Lag Persists

Project completions in March 2025 reached Rs.1.5 trillion, with private sector leading at Rs.675 billion and renewable energy projects dominating...

Viral Kishorchandra Shah

Asian Equities: India – Brace for Another Leg Down in the Near Term

India's recent spike overlooks potential EPS cuts, reciprocal tariff shock & likely INR drop. Our sector fundamental analysis suggests EPS est cut...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Automobile Industry FY25: Expectations for Different Verticals

Mixed performance expected in FY25 for automobile industry with strong growth in tractors, moderate increases in 2W’s and PV’s, and slight decline...

Nimish Maheshwari

Asian Equities: India – What Would FIIs and DIIs Buy and Sell?

Analyzing FIIs' & DIIs' sector-wise buying trends & tilt rel to benchmark, we conclude they'll likely buy financials, industrials, cons disc,...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Asian Equities: Model Portfolio Outperformed Marginally; Focus More on Indian Industrials

Since last reshuffle Portfolio is up 1.18% vs MXASJ's 0.92%. Since inception it's up 44.9% vs MXASJ's 45.8%. Excluded Reliance Ind, included...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

India’s Rs.1.5T Q4 2025 Boost: Private Sector & Renewables Lead, Yearly Lag Persists

​Project completions in March 2025 reached Rs.1.5 trillion, with private sector leading at Rs.675 billion and renewable energy projects dominating...

Viral Kishorchandra Shah

Asian Equities: India – Brace for Another Leg Down in the Near Term

​India's recent spike overlooks potential EPS cuts, reciprocal tariff shock & likely INR drop. Our sector fundamental analysis suggests EPS est cut...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Automobile Industry FY25: Expectations for Different Verticals

​Mixed performance expected in FY25 for automobile industry with strong growth in tractors, moderate increases in 2W’s and PV’s, and slight decline...

Nimish Maheshwari

Asian Equities: India – What Would FIIs and DIIs Buy and Sell?

​Analyzing FIIs' & DIIs' sector-wise buying trends & tilt rel to benchmark, we conclude they'll likely buy financials, industrials, cons disc,...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Project completions in March 2025 reached Rs.1.5 trillion, with private sector leading at Rs.675 billion and renewable energy projects dominating...

India's recent spike overlooks potential EPS cuts, reciprocal tariff shock & likely INR drop. Our sector fundamental analysis suggests EPS est cut...

Mixed performance expected in FY25 for automobile industry with strong growth in tractors, moderate increases in 2W’s and PV’s, and slight decline...

Analyzing FIIs' & DIIs' sector-wise buying trends & tilt rel to benchmark, we conclude they'll likely buy financials, industrials, cons disc,...