High Quality Stock Setups, Weekly Stock Bull Finder

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<ul><li>This past week the news was dominated by political midterm election results and a brewing crypto market implosion but also featured a late week rally after a surprising CPI inflation print which beat estimates on Thursday.</li><li>While pundits can posit various reasons for Thursday and Friday’s market rallies, there appears to be at least a few brewing catalysts that could carry positive momentum into 2023 which include 1) continued downside surprises in either CPI or PCE inflation data which would allow the Fed to back off its aggressive tightening campaign 2) steps leading to Chinese economy reopening reducing existing supply chain bottlenecks 3) steps leading to a ceasefire or peace agreement in Ukraine and 4) significant improvement in EU energy security situation resulting in lower EU inflation.</li><li>In the near term, it appears as of this writing that political gridlock in Washington D.C. will be upon us for the next 2 years removing the worst case scenarios of any significant market-negative legislation (i.e. tax hikes, etc.) being passed.</li></ul>

This past week the news was dominated by political midterm election results and a brewing crypto market implosion but also featured a late week rally after a surprising CPI inflation print which beat estimates on Thursday.While pundits can posit various reasons for Thursday and Friday’s market rallies, there appears to be at least a few brewing catalysts that could carry positive momentum into 2023 which include 1) continued downside surprises in either CPI or PCE inflation data which would allow the Fed to back off its aggressive tightening campaign 2) steps leading to Chinese economy reopening reducing existing supply chain bottlenecks 3) steps leading to a ceasefire or peace agreement in Ukraine and 4) significant improvement in EU energy security situation resulting in lower EU inflation.In the near term, it appears as of this writing that political gridlock in Washington D.C. will be upon us for the next 2 years removing the worst case scenarios of any significant market-negative legislation (i.e. tax hikes, etc.) being passed.

<ul><li>The last month and a half has featured a significant character change in all things clean energy whose timing came alongside the announcement of the US government’s largest fiscal spending package for renewable energy investment. </li><li>We are now potentially witnessing the first “follow through” effect of the Russia/Ukraine conflict which is that nations are waking up to the fact that energy security and infrastructure must be given a much higher priority and investment must be made to grow sources of supply in order to have stable and lasting economic growth. </li><li>This secular trend is still in its very early innings from an investment standpoint.</li></ul>

The last month and a half has featured a significant character change in all things clean energy whose timing came alongside the announcement of the US government’s largest fiscal spending package for renewable energy investment. We are now potentially witnessing the first “follow through” effect of the Russia/Ukraine conflict which is that nations are waking up to the fact that energy security and infrastructure must be given a much higher priority and investment must be made to grow sources of supply in order to have stable and lasting economic growth. This secular trend is still in its very early innings from an investment standpoint.

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

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Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-tianqi-lithium-industries-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5698:1" rel="noopener">Tianqi Lithium (002466 CH)</a> priced its H Share at HK$82.00 per share to raise net proceeds of HK$13,062 million (US$1.7 billion). The H Share will start trading tomorrow.</li>
<li>The H Share listing (HK$82.00) and <a href="https://inews.hket.com/article/3300412/%E3%80%90%E6%96%B0%E8%82%A1IPO%E3%80%91%E5%9B%9B%E6%96%B0%E8%82%A1%E6%9A%97%E7%9B%A4%E9%BD%8A%E8%B7%8C%E3%80%80%E5%A4%A9%E9%BD%8A%E9%8B%B0%E6%A5%AD9696%E4%B8%80%E6%89%8B%E6%9A%AB%E8%9D%951100%E5%85%83?mtc=40001&amp;srkw=IPO%E6%9C%80%E5%BF%AB%E6%9C%80%E9%BD%8A" target="_blank" rel="noopener">grey market price</a> (HK$76.50) imply an AH discount of 45% and 49%, respectively. This compares to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ganfeng-lithium-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26795:1" rel="noopener">Ganfeng Lithium (1772 HK)</a>’s current 35.3% AH discount.</li>
<li>The relative valuation is attractive. At the H Share listing price, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tianqi-lithium-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27789:1" rel="noopener">Tianqi Lithium (9696 HK)</a>’s H Share trades at a -6% discount to the median peers’ CY2022 P/B multiple.</li>
</ul>



Tianqi Lithium (002466 CH) priced its H Share at HK$82.00 per share to raise net proceeds of HK$13,062 million (US$1.7 billion). The H Share will start trading tomorrow.
The H Share listing (HK$82.00) and grey market price (HK$76.50) imply an AH discount of 45% and 49%, respectively. This compares to Ganfeng Lithium (1772 HK)’s current 35.3% AH discount.
The relative valuation is attractive. At the H Share listing price, Tianqi Lithium (9696 HK)’s H Share trades at a -6% discount to the median peers’ CY2022 P/B multiple.


Tianqi Lithium H Share Listing: Trading Debut

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tianqi-lithium-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27789:1" rel="noopener">Tianqi Lithium (9696 HK)</a> has launched its H Share listing at an indicative price range of HK$69.00-82.00 per share. Pricing is on 6 July and listing on 13 July.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-tianqi-lithium-industries-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5698:1" rel="noopener">Tianqi Lithium (002466 CH)</a>'s AH discount range of 52.9%-44.0% is reasonable in the context of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ganfeng-lithium-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26795:1" rel="noopener">Ganfeng Lithium (1772 HK)</a>’s average AH discount is 38.5% since its H Share listing.</li>
<li>Our relative valuation analysis suggests that Tianqi's H Share valuation is attractive in comparison to median peers' multiples. </li>
</ul>



Tianqi Lithium (9696 HK) has launched its H Share listing at an indicative price range of HK$69.00-82.00 per share. Pricing is on 6 July and listing on 13 July.

Tianqi Lithium (002466 CH)'s AH discount range of 52.9%-44.0% is reasonable in the context of Ganfeng Lithium (1772 HK)’s average AH discount is 38.5% since its H Share listing.
Our relative valuation analysis suggests that Tianqi's H Share valuation is attractive in comparison to median peers' multiples. 


Tianqi Lithium H Share Listing: Valuation Insights

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-tianqi-lithium-industries-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5698:1" rel="noopener">Sichuan Tianqi Lithium Industries, Inc (002466 CH)</a> has upped its targeted H Share raise from US$1.0-1.5 billion to US$1.5–2.0 billion. The listing will kick off on Thursday.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tianqi-lithium-h-share-listing-riding-the-wave" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:71921" rel="noopener">Tianqi Lithium H Share Listing: Riding the Wave</a>, we noted that Tianqi is well-placed to leverage the high lithium prices to deliver growth, margin and cash generation.</li>
<li>In this note, we examine the likely discount that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-tianqi-lithium-industries-inc-f26986a6-bedd-49d2-a5bd-b3dabf59ae32" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27789:1" rel="noopener">Sichuan Tianqi Lithium Industries, Inc. (TIANQI HK)</a> will offer its H Shares in comparison to the A Shares.</li>
</ul>



Sichuan Tianqi Lithium Industries, Inc (002466 CH) has upped its targeted H Share raise from US$1.0-1.5 billion to US$1.5–2.0 billion. The listing will kick off on Thursday.
In Tianqi Lithium H Share Listing: Riding the Wave, we noted that Tianqi is well-placed to leverage the high lithium prices to deliver growth, margin and cash generation.
In this note, we examine the likely discount that Sichuan Tianqi Lithium Industries, Inc. (TIANQI HK) will offer its H Shares in comparison to the A Shares.


Tianqi Lithium H Share Listing: AH Discount Views

United States

Albemarle Corporation produces specialty and fine chemicals.  The Company's chemicals are additives to or intermediates for plastics, polymers and elastomers, cleaning products, agricultural compounds, pharmaceuticals, photographic chemicals, drilling compounds, and biocides.  Albemarle produces the majority of its products in the United States.

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Albemarle Corp (ALB US)

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Weekly Stock Bullfinder - Week of 11/14

This past week the news was dominated by political midterm election results and a brewing crypto market implosion but also featured a late week...

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Solar names in particular continue to be on fire but may need some time to cool off and let the moving averages catch up.

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Tianqi Lithium H Share Listing: Trading Debut

The H Share opened at 6.7% lower in the Futu grey market. The AH discount and relative valuation suggest that the H Share listing price remains...

Arun George

Tianqi Lithium H Share Listing: Valuation Insights

Tianqi's AH discount range is reasonable. The H Share valuation is attractive in comparison to median peers' multiples. Participate in the H Share...

Arun George

Tianqi Lithium H Share Listing: AH Discount Views

Tianqi aims to launch a US$1.5-2bn H Share listing on Thursday. In this note, we examine the likely discount that Tianqi will offer its H Shares in...

Arun George