Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>In the first ten days of 2025, Shanghai SSE Composite declined 5.5% and broke the key 3,200 support level. The main reason for the weakness is exchange rate;</li>
<li>From November 5th when Trump won election, Renminbi exchange rate to US dollar has declined 3.3% and broke key support levels;</li>
<li>The impact has started to shown in China's residential property market. After a strong opening, new home sales quickly petered out. Whether rebound in the next few days is critical.</li>
</ul>


In the first ten days of 2025, Shanghai SSE Composite declined 5.5% and broke the key 3,200 support level. The main reason for the weakness is exchange rate;
From November 5th when Trump won election, Renminbi exchange rate to US dollar has declined 3.3% and broke key support levels;
The impact has started to shown in China's residential property market. After a strong opening, new home sales quickly petered out. Whether rebound in the next few days is critical.


What Has Happened in the First Ten Days of 2025?

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Batteries / In Depth: As risks mount, China races to regulate battery recycling </li><li>China-U.S. /In Depth: Decades-old research pact survives China-U.S. tensions</li><li>Corruption /State-backed documentary exposes minister’s corruption</li></ul>

Batteries / In Depth: As risks mount, China races to regulate battery recycling China-U.S. /In Depth: Decades-old research pact survives China-U.S. tensionsCorruption /State-backed documentary exposes minister’s corruption

CX Daily: As Risks Mount, China Races to Regulate Battery Recycling 

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guming-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40622:1" rel="noopener">Guming Holdings (GUM HK)</a> is looking to raise US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>Guming Holdings (Guming) sells freshly-made beverages in China. Guming focuses on the mid-priced freshly-made tea beverage market with product prices typically ranging between RMB10-18.</li>
<li>In our earlier notes, we had looked at the firm’s past performance. In this note, we discuss its refiling updates.</li>
</ul>



Guming Holdings (GUM HK) is looking to raise US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
Guming Holdings (Guming) sells freshly-made beverages in China. Guming focuses on the mid-priced freshly-made tea beverage market with product prices typically ranging between RMB10-18.
In our earlier notes, we had looked at the firm’s past performance. In this note, we discuss its refiling updates.


Guming Holdings (Goodme) Pre-IPO - Refiling Updates - Showing Some Recent Weakness in Margins

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

<ul>
<li>In this note, we will take a look at the Asia Pacific IPO pipeline for 2025, following up with a look at India after having looked at Hong Kong earlier.</li>
<li>This list has been compiled on a best effort basis from tracking the company filings and through various other sources.</li>
<li>The deals you see in this note are only a part of our full IPO pipeline tracker. Feel free to drop us a message for additional information on these IPOs.</li>
</ul>


In this note, we will take a look at the Asia Pacific IPO pipeline for 2025, following up with a look at India after having looked at Hong Kong earlier.
This list has been compiled on a best effort basis from tracking the company filings and through various other sources.
The deals you see in this note are only a part of our full IPO pipeline tracker. Feel free to drop us a message for additional information on these IPOs.


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review cutoff date for the March rebalance of the HSIII was 31 December. The changes will be announced on 21 February and become effective after the close 7 March.</li>
<li>There could be 5 changes to the index with some inclusions driven by potential addition to the Hang Seng Composite Index. That could lead to buying via Southbound Stock Connect.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/horizon-robotics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35637:1" rel="noopener">Horizon Robotics (9660 HK)</a> is a potential inclusion to the HSCI and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a> in March.</li>
</ul>


The review cutoff date for the March rebalance of the HSIII was 31 December. The changes will be announced on 21 February and become effective after the close 7 March.
There could be 5 changes to the index with some inclusions driven by potential addition to the Hang Seng Composite Index. That could lead to buying via Southbound Stock Connect.

Horizon Robotics (9660 HK) is a potential inclusion to the HSCI and the Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX) in March.


Hang Seng Internet & IT Index (HSIII) Rebalance Preview: Up to 5 Changes in March

China

Alibaba Group Holding Limited provides online sales services. The Company provides internet infrastructure, electronic commerce, online financial, and internet content services through its subsidiaries. Alibaba Group Holding offers its products and services worldwide.

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Alibaba (BABA US)

What Has Happened in the First Ten Days of 2025?

Shanghai stock market weakens due to exchange rate, impacting China's property market. Rebound or not in new home sales is crucial in the next few...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

CX Daily: As Risks Mount, China Races to Regulate Battery Recycling

Batteries / In Depth: As risks mount, China races to regulate battery recycling China’s ardent efforts in the green transition have made it the...

Caixin Global

Guming Holdings (Goodme) Pre-IPO - Refiling Updates - Showing Some Recent Weakness in Margins

Guming Holdings (GUM HK) is looking to raise US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we discuss its refiling updates.

Clarence Chu

Aequitas 2025 Asia IPO Pipeline - India

In this note, we will take a look at the Asia Pacific IPO pipeline for 2025, following up with a look at India after having looked at Hong Kong...

Sumeet Singh

Hang Seng Internet & IT Index (HSIII) Rebalance Preview: Up to 5 Changes in March

There could be 5 constituent changes for the HSIII in March. Estimated one-way turnover is 3.75% resulting in a round-trip trade of HK$2.12bn...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

What Has Happened in the First Ten Days of 2025?

​Shanghai stock market weakens due to exchange rate, impacting China's property market. Rebound or not in new home sales is crucial in the next few...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

CX Daily: As Risks Mount, China Races to Regulate Battery Recycling

Batteries / In Depth: As risks mount, China races to regulate battery recycling China’s ardent efforts in the green transition have made it the...

Caixin Global

Guming Holdings (Goodme) Pre-IPO - Refiling Updates - Showing Some Recent Weakness in Margins

Guming Holdings (GUM HK) is looking to raise US$300m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we discuss its refiling updates.

Clarence Chu

Aequitas 2025 Asia IPO Pipeline - India

In this note, we will take a look at the Asia Pacific IPO pipeline for 2025, following up with a look at India after having looked at Hong Kong...

Sumeet Singh

Hang Seng Internet & IT Index (HSIII) Rebalance Preview: Up to 5 Changes in March

There could be 5 constituent changes for the HSIII in March. Estimated one-way turnover is 3.75% resulting in a round-trip trade of HK$2.12bn...

Brian Freitas

Shanghai stock market weakens due to exchange rate, impacting China's property market. Rebound or not in new home sales is crucial in the next few...