Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Currently ten pair trade opportunities across four markets and four sectors persist.</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

Highlights: Currently ten pair trade opportunities across four markets and four sectors persist.

Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (17 Nov)

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Mandarin Oriental International / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The vote on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mandarin-oriental-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4773:1" rel="noopener">Mandarin Oriental International (MAND SP)</a>’s privatisation offer from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jardine-matheson-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19718:1" rel="noopener">Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP)</a> (US$2.75 cash + US$0.60 special dividend) is on 8 December. </li>
<li>While the OCB sale completion (a scheme condition) carries timing risk, the Board continues to expect to complete the OCB sale by 31 December.</li>
<li>The offer is conceivably light as Jardine’s dividends from the OCB sale comfortably cover the scheme cost. However, the offer remains reasonable on several fronts, and the vote is low-risk.  </li>
</ul>


The vote on Mandarin Oriental International (MAND SP)’s privatisation offer from Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP) (US$2.75 cash + US$0.60 special dividend) is on 8 December. 
While the OCB sale completion (a scheme condition) carries timing risk, the Board continues to expect to complete the OCB sale by 31 December.
The offer is conceivably light as Jardine’s dividends from the OCB sale comfortably cover the scheme cost. However, the offer remains reasonable on several fronts, and the vote is low-risk.  


Mandarin Oriental (MAND SP): Vote on Jardine Matheson’s Scheme Offer on 8 December

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 7th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.</li>
<li>We highlight short changes in AIA, Wuxi Apptec, HSCEI ETF.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 7th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.
We highlight short changes in AIA, Wuxi Apptec, HSCEI ETF.


HK Short Interest Weekly: AIA, Wuxi Apptec, HSCEI ETF

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 14th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Alibaba, Xiaomi, CNOOC, ICBC, Ping An Insurance, Petrochina.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 14th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Alibaba, Xiaomi, CNOOC, ICBC, Ping An Insurance, Petrochina.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Nov 14th): Alibaba, Xiaomi, CNOOC, ICBC, Ping An Insurance, Petrochina

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The trade war detente between the US and China is over. US legislation to further restrict China's access to chips was initiated the day after the Busan meeting.</li>
<li>China is formulating its US-style Validated End User (VEU) system for Rare Earth Element (REE) exports, which will restrict shipments for US military use.</li>
<li>The real conflict between the US and China over technology and rare earths is likely to involve many volatile periods in the coming year as both attempt to achieve self-sufficiency.</li>
</ul>


The trade war detente between the US and China is over. US legislation to further restrict China's access to chips was initiated the day after the Busan meeting.
China is formulating its US-style Validated End User (VEU) system for Rare Earth Element (REE) exports, which will restrict shipments for US military use.
The real conflict between the US and China over technology and rare earths is likely to involve many volatile periods in the coming year as both attempt to achieve self-sufficiency.


The Art of the Trade War: COVERT OPERATIONS AND PROPAGANDA

China

Alibaba Group Holding Limited provides online sales services. The Company provides internet infrastructure, electronic commerce, online financial, and internet content services through its subsidiaries. Alibaba Group Holding offers its products and services worldwide.

Price Gauge
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Alibaba (BABA US)

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (17 Nov)

Statistical methodology identifies ten pair trade opportunities across four markets and four sectors, offering unique insights into relative value.

Gaudenz Schneider

Mandarin Oriental (MAND SP): Vote on Jardine Matheson’s Scheme Offer on 8 December

The timing of completing the OCB sale is the key risk. The offer remains reasonable, and the vote is low risk. For an end-of-January 2026 payment,...

Arun George

HK Short Interest Weekly: AIA, Wuxi Apptec, HSCEI ETF

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 7th and highlight short interest changes in AIA, Wuxi Apptec, HSCEI ETF.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Nov 14th): Alibaba, Xiaomi, CNOOC, ICBC, Ping An Insurance, Petrochina

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, Xiaomi, CNOOC, ICBC, Ping An Insurance, Petrochina.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

The Art of the Trade War: COVERT OPERATIONS AND PROPAGANDA

The trade war detente between the US and China is over. US legislation to further restrict China's access to chips was initiated the day after the...

David Mudd

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (17 Nov)

​Statistical methodology identifies ten pair trade opportunities across four markets and four sectors, offering unique insights into relative value.

Gaudenz Schneider

Mandarin Oriental (MAND SP): Vote on Jardine Matheson’s Scheme Offer on 8 December

The timing of completing the OCB sale is the key risk. The offer remains reasonable, and the vote is low risk. For an end-of-January 2026 payment,...

Arun George

HK Short Interest Weekly: AIA, Wuxi Apptec, HSCEI ETF

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 7th and highlight short interest changes in AIA, Wuxi Apptec, HSCEI ETF.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Nov 14th): Alibaba, Xiaomi, CNOOC, ICBC, Ping An Insurance, Petrochina

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, Xiaomi, CNOOC, ICBC, Ping An Insurance, Petrochina.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

The Art of the Trade War: COVERT OPERATIONS AND PROPAGANDA

The trade war detente between the US and China is over. US legislation to further restrict China's access to chips was initiated the day after the...

David Mudd

Statistical methodology identifies ten pair trade opportunities across four markets and four sectors, offering unique insights into relative value.