Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio's performance was -2.01% in October versus returns of -0.81 for the benchmark and -3.53 to  -8.62 for Hong Kong indexes.</li>
<li>The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio has captured most of the market gains and minimized drawdowns since inception. The portfolio's outperformance is more than 40% since inception in October 2024.</li>
<li>At month-end, we reduced materials and healthcare exposure.  We had already reduced the tech exposure earlier in the month.  We established positions in the utility, textile, and battery sectors.</li>
</ul>


The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio's performance was -2.01% in October versus returns of -0.81 for the benchmark and -3.53 to  -8.62 for Hong Kong indexes.
The Hong Kong Alpha portfolio has captured most of the market gains and minimized drawdowns since inception. The portfolio's outperformance is more than 40% since inception in October 2024.
At month-end, we reduced materials and healthcare exposure.  We had already reduced the tech exposure earlier in the month.  We established positions in the utility, textile, and battery sectors.


HONG KONG ALPHA PORTFOLIO: (October 2025)

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HSI in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Pop Mart Intl, WUXI APPTEC, MEITUAN, PING AN INSURANCE, JD.COM, China Life, China Life, Ping An, Pop Mart, Meituan, Jd, Wuxi Apptec.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HSI in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Pop Mart Intl, WUXI APPTEC, MEITUAN, PING AN INSURANCE, JD.COM, China Life, China Life, Ping An, Pop Mart, Meituan, Jd, Wuxi Apptec.


HSI Index Earning Revision (Oct): Pop Mart Intl, WUXI APPTEC, MEITUAN, PING AN INSURANCE, JD.COM

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HSI in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on Jd, CCB, Meituan, BOC, ICBC, Xinyi Solar, Bidu.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of HSI in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on Jd, CCB, Meituan, BOC, ICBC, Xinyi Solar, Bidu.


HSI Index Earning Revision (Jul): Jd, CCB, Meituan, BOC, ICBC, Xinyi Solar, Bidu

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Inviting a PRC investor to join the bidding consortium as a significant member, as opposed to a majority player, appears the panacea to get this port deal over the line. </li>
<li>Although <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ck-hutchison-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:132:1" rel="noopener">CK Hutchison Holdings (1 HK)</a> stopped short of naming the investor, China’s state-owned shipping conglomerate Cosco is widely expected/rumoured to join BlackRock and Swiss-Italian shipping company MSC.</li>
<li>
Participation through effective intervention? Cosco's involvement should all-but seal Chinese regulatory approvals. The green light from the US administration, the EU, and other jurisdictions, will pivot off how much involvement. </li>
</ul>


Inviting a PRC investor to join the bidding consortium as a significant member, as opposed to a majority player, appears the panacea to get this port deal over the line. 
Although CK Hutchison Holdings (1 HK) stopped short of naming the investor, China’s state-owned shipping conglomerate Cosco is widely expected/rumoured to join BlackRock and Swiss-Italian shipping company MSC.

Participation through effective intervention? Cosco's involvement should all-but seal Chinese regulatory approvals. The green light from the US administration, the EU, and other jurisdictions, will pivot off how much involvement. 


CKH (1 HK): Intervention Seeds Participation

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ck-hutchison-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:132:1" rel="noopener">CK Hutchison Holdings (1 HK)</a>'s delicate dance continues as it juggles U.S and Beijing politics; and its fiduciary duty to shareholders, as the Blackrock exclusivity long stop date looms.</li>
<li>In a double dose of StubWorld this week, preceding my comments on CKH - and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ck-infrastructure-holdings-l" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:163:1" rel="noopener">CK Infrastructure Holdings (1038 HK)</a> - are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.</li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>



CK Hutchison Holdings (1 HK)'s delicate dance continues as it juggles U.S and Beijing politics; and its fiduciary duty to shareholders, as the Blackrock exclusivity long stop date looms.
In a double dose of StubWorld this week, preceding my comments on CKH - and CK Infrastructure Holdings (1038 HK) - are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


StubWorld: CKH (1 HK) - Expect Near-Term Weakness If Exclusivity Ends Without Resolution

Hong Kong

Power Assets Holdings Limited invests in power generation, transmission and distribution as well as gas distribution. The Company has investments in Hong Kong, Australia, Canada, China, New Zealand and Thailand.

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Power Assets Holdings (6 HK)

HONG KONG ALPHA PORTFOLIO: (October 2025)

We made mid-month adjustments to the portfolio due to sudden re-escalation of tensions with the US & concurrent sectoral de-rating. Several...

David Mudd

HSI Index Earning Revision (Oct): Pop Mart Intl, WUXI APPTEC, MEITUAN, PING AN INSURANCE, JD.COM

We analyzed HSI's consensus for Oct 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in Pop Mart Intl (9992 HK), WUXI APPTEC (2359 HK), MEITUAN (3690 HK), PING...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSI Index Earning Revision (Jul): Jd, CCB, Meituan, BOC, ICBC, Xinyi Solar, Bidu

We analyzed HSI's consensus for Jul 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in Jd, CCB, Meituan, BOC, ICBC, Xinyi Solar, Bidu.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CKH (1 HK): Intervention Seeds Participation

CKH is cheap at 0.38x P/B. CKH is a long-term outright buy. CKI's market cap is up (only) US$7bn since the port deal was announced, just 37% of the...

David Blennerhassett

StubWorld: CKH (1 HK) - Expect Near-Term Weakness If Exclusivity Ends Without Resolution

The exclusivity ha expired, however CKH "remains in discussions with... the consortium with a view to inviting major strategic investor from the...

David Blennerhassett

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