Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Melco International Development / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/melco-international-development-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:809:1" rel="noopener">Melco International Development (200 HK)</a> is now trading at a premium to NAV for the first time since announcing a one-for-two rights issue.</li>
<li>Preceding my comments on Melco are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.</li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>



Melco International Development (200 HK) is now trading at a premium to NAV for the first time since announcing a one-for-two rights issue.
Preceding my comments on Melco are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


StubWorld: Melco (200 HK) Looking Toppish. Again.

Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

<ul>
<li>In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Medco Energi, Melco Resorts</li>
<li>UST yields declined slightly, on account of a strong auction of 20Y notes. The UST curve bull-steepened, with the yield on the 2Y UST falling 3 bps to 3.50%, while the yield on the 10Y UST was down 1 bp at 4.03%.</li>
<li>The rally in equities halted ahead of the FOMC rate decision later today. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq both declined 0.1% each to 6,607 and 22,334, respectively.</li>
</ul>


In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Medco Energi, Melco Resorts
UST yields declined slightly, on account of a strong auction of 20Y notes. The UST curve bull-steepened, with the yield on the 2Y UST falling 3 bps to 3.50%, while the yield on the 10Y UST was down 1 bp at 4.03%.
The rally in equities halted ahead of the FOMC rate decision later today. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq both declined 0.1% each to 6,607 and 22,334, respectively.


Trung Nguyen

<ul>
<li>UST yields declined 2-3 bps yesterday, amid limited macro news and ahead of the Fed’s expected 25-bp rate cut on Wednesday.</li>
<li>The yield on the 2Y UST fell 2 bps to 3.54%, while that on the 10Y UST was down 3 bps at 4.04%.</li>
<li>Equities rose to fresh record highs, with the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq up 0.5% and 0.9%, respectively. </li>
</ul>


UST yields declined 2-3 bps yesterday, amid limited macro news and ahead of the Fed’s expected 25-bp rate cut on Wednesday.
The yield on the 2Y UST fell 2 bps to 3.54%, while that on the 10Y UST was down 3 bps at 4.04%.
Equities rose to fresh record highs, with the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq up 0.5% and 0.9%, respectively. 


Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Giant Network Group Co Ltd / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.</li>
<li>We will maintain our bullish intermediate-term view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 6028-6059 and $119-$121.</li>
<li>We remain overweight/continue to have a major focus on China (Shanghai Composite). It continues to offer the most attractive opportunities, with a significant number of today's recommendations coming from China.</li>
</ul>


We remain near-term bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish as well (as of our 5/14/25 Compass), with Int’l Compass reports all echoing this sentiment.
We will maintain our bullish intermediate-term view as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the SPX and ACWI-US are above 6028-6059 and $119-$121.
We remain overweight/continue to have a major focus on China (Shanghai Composite). It continues to offer the most attractive opportunities, with a significant number of today's recommendations coming from China.


Sticking With China; Bullish Outlook Intact. Buys in Consumer Discretionary, Materials, and Tech

<ul>
<li>In my stub monitor flagged in <a href="https://skr.ma/1yPGR" target="_blank" rel="noopener">StubWorld: Toyota Industries/Motors, GMO Internet</a>, I see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/melco-international-development-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:809:1" rel="noopener">Melco International Development (200 HK)</a> is trading "cheap" to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/melco-crown-entertainme-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:810:1" rel="noopener">Melco Resorts &amp; Entertainment (MLCO US)</a>.</li>
<li>Last month, Melco proposed one new rights share for two existing shares at a subscription price of HK$1.0286/share, a 72.93% discount to undisturbed, and a 64.28% discount to the TERP.</li>
<li>Lawrence Ho will backstop ~54% of the rights, if need be. Depending on the level of support for the rights, expect Lawrence to further chip away against minorities.</li>
</ul>


In my stub monitor flagged in StubWorld: Toyota Industries/Motors, GMO Internet, I see Melco International Development (200 HK) is trading "cheap" to Melco Resorts &amp; Entertainment (MLCO US).
Last month, Melco proposed one new rights share for two existing shares at a subscription price of HK$1.0286/share, a 72.93% discount to undisturbed, and a 64.28% discount to the TERP.
Lawrence Ho will backstop ~54% of the rights, if need be. Depending on the level of support for the rights, expect Lawrence to further chip away against minorities.


Melco (200 HK) Trading "Cheap" Into Rights Issue

Hong Kong

Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited develops, owns, and operates casinos. The Company offers casino gaming, restaurants, bars, and resorts facilities. Melco Resorts & Entertainment serves customers in Asia.

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Melco Resorts & Entertainment (MLCO US)

StubWorld: Melco (200 HK) Looking Toppish. Again.

Melco has gained bigly since the share dilution. I see the NAV premium at 3%. Too tight by my reckoning. Note: absolute shares sold short have...

David Blennerhassett

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Medco Energi, Melco Resorts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

UST yields declined 2-3 bps yesterday, amid limited macro news and ahead of the Fed’s expected 25-bp rate cut on Wednesday.

Lucror Analytics

Sticking With China; Bullish Outlook Intact. Buys in Consumer Discretionary, Materials, and Tech

Still Bullish. China (Shanghai Composite) has been a major focus ever since our July 3 Int'l Compass titled "China and Japan Breaking Out." It...

Vermilion Research

Melco (200 HK) Trading "Cheap" Into Rights Issue

The nil-paid rights are trading at HK$2.21. The subscription price is HK$1.0286/share. Or HK$3.2386 all in. Against HK$3.35 for the current price...

David Blennerhassett

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