External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Despite lagging construction activity, property sales started to pick up post-CNY, again correctly predicted by our leading indicator GAIN.</li><li>In particular, new home sales in 30 cities narrowed YoY decline to -21% post-CNY vs. -25% pre-CNY (vs. the similar period in 2022).</li><li>Existing home market is seeing much stronger momentum with sales in 9 major cities +38% YoY post-CNY vs. +15% YoY preCNY.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Despite lagging construction activity, property sales started to pick up post-CNY, again correctly predicted by our leading indicator GAIN.In particular, new home sales in 30 cities narrowed YoY decline to -21% post-CNY vs. -25% pre-CNY (vs. the similar period in 2022).Existing home market is seeing much stronger momentum with sales in 9 major cities +38% YoY post-CNY vs. +15% YoY preCNY.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Property Sector – Property+ Weekly: Hopes Are Returning Post-CNY

<ul><li>Our CNY channel check indicates the following trends: 1) Shopping malls are the key beneficiaries after reopening.</li><li>Wuyue/Wanda/CR all saw quick traffic recovery after COVID and restaurants performed the best. 2) Decent one-off pent-up demand for home purchase may boost Feb sales, in line with our sales leading indicator GAIN.</li><li>3) Overbuilt and unsold inventory poses the biggest risk for the property and financial system. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Our CNY channel check indicates the following trends: 1) Shopping malls are the key beneficiaries after reopening.Wuyue/Wanda/CR all saw quick traffic recovery after COVID and restaurants performed the best. 2) Decent one-off pent-up demand for home purchase may boost Feb sales, in line with our sales leading indicator GAIN.3) Overbuilt and unsold inventory poses the biggest risk for the property and financial system. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Property Sector – CNY: Crowded Malls

Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Lucror Analytics' ESG Scores are based on a 3-tiered scale and are adjusted for Controversies (if applicable). We assess Longfor's ESG as "Adequate", in line with its "Adequate" Environmental, Social and Governance scores. Controversies are "Immaterial" and Disclosure is "Adequate".

Lucror Analytics' ESG Scores are based on a 3-tiered scale and are adjusted for Controversies (if applicable).  We assess Longfor's ESG as "Adequate", in line with its "Adequate" Environmental, Social and Governance scores. Controversies are "Immaterial" and Disclosure is "Adequate".  

Longfor Group - ESG Report - Lucror Analytics

<ul><li>Due to COVID and early CNY this year, we have not seen any meaningful sign of recovery in property and its supply chain.</li><li>In terms of breakdown, property completion&gt;sales&gt;new start shown by 1) Completion-driven materials Aluminum and float glass saw WoW price up 2.9%/0.3%.</li><li>This is partly helped by direct funding support for home completion. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Due to COVID and early CNY this year, we have not seen any meaningful sign of recovery in property and its supply chain.In terms of breakdown, property completion&gt;sales&gt;new start shown by 1) Completion-driven materials Aluminum and float glass saw WoW price up 2.9%/0.3%.This is partly helped by direct funding support for home completion. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Property Sector – Property+ Weekly: Can we expect post-CNY recovery?

<ul><li>In-line NBS Dec data concluded the hard-landing 2022 for property market with sales value/property investment down 27/10% YoY.</li><li>Looking into 2023, we think the recovery of new home market still takes time and expect sales and investment to continue falling at -10/-5% (slightly more negative than consensus).</li><li>The key investment themes for this year are quick recovery in existing home market and property supply chain to enjoy direct policy support (RMB350bn Home completion funding, RMB100bn for social housing).</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

In-line NBS Dec data concluded the hard-landing 2022 for property market with sales value/property investment down 27/10% YoY.Looking into 2023, we think the recovery of new home market still takes time and expect sales and investment to continue falling at -10/-5% (slightly more negative than consensus).The key investment themes for this year are quick recovery in existing home market and property supply chain to enjoy direct policy support (RMB350bn Home completion funding, RMB100bn for social housing).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Property Sector – Silver lining lies on relaxation in Tier 1 cities

China

Longfor Properties Co. Ltd. operates in the property development, property investment and property management businesses in China.

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Longfor Properties (960 HK)

China Property Sector – Property+ Weekly: Hopes Are Returning Post-CNY

Despite lagging construction activity, property sales started to pick up post-CNY, again correctly predicted by our leading indicator GAIN.

CMB International

China Property Sector – CNY: Crowded Malls

Wuyue/Wanda/CR all saw quick traffic recovery after COVID and restaurants performed the best. 2) Decent one-off pent-up demand for home purchase...

CMB International

Longfor Group - ESG Report - Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics' ESG Scores are based on a 3-tiered scale and are adjusted for Controversies (if applicable). We assess Longfor's ESG as...

Lucror Analytics

China Property Sector – Property+ Weekly: Can we expect post-CNY recovery?

Due to COVID and early CNY this year, we have not seen any meaningful sign of recovery in property and its supply chain.

CMB International

China Property Sector – Silver lining lies on relaxation in Tier 1 cities

In-line NBS Dec data concluded the hard-landing 2022 for property market with sales value/property investment down 27/10% YoY.

CMB International

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