Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

OmniVision Integrated Circuits Group / Technical Analysis

OmniVision Integrated Circuits Group (603501 CH)

<ul>
<li>Our outlook remains bullish on MSCI ACWI. Discussed in Jan9,2025 report how we viewed the pullback as a buying opportunity and were watching for $116-$117 support to hold on ACWI-US. </li>
<li>$116 support held perfectly, and now both ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 are coiling just below all-time highs, likely setting up for major breakouts. ACWI is now breaking out.</li>
<li>DXY and 10-Year Treasury yield are both topping, a crucial risk-on signal for global equities. More and more countries breaking out. Actionable Themes: Technology, Services, Communications, Industrials, Gold Miners, Financials</li>
</ul>


Our outlook remains bullish on MSCI ACWI. Discussed in Jan9,2025 report how we viewed the pullback as a buying opportunity and were watching for $116-$117 support to hold on ACWI-US. 
$116 support held perfectly, and now both ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 are coiling just below all-time highs, likely setting up for major breakouts. ACWI is now breaking out.
DXY and 10-Year Treasury yield are both topping, a crucial risk-on signal for global equities. More and more countries breaking out. Actionable Themes: Technology, Services, Communications, Industrials, Gold Miners, Financials


More Countries Breaking Out; Bullish Outlook Intact; Buys in China, Europe, More; DXY & Yields Top

Korea Stock Exchange Kospi Index / Technical Analysis

Korea Stock Exchange Kospi Index (KOSPI INDEX)

<ul>
<li>Throughout 2024 we've discussed the theme of more global indexes/Sectors breaking out to new highs, the latest being the UK's FTSE 100, South Korea's KOSPI, and Norway's Oslo OBX.</li>
<li>This is classic bull market behavior. The long list of breakouts discussed throughout 2024 include the MSCI EM, ACWI, MSCI EAFE (in local currency), Israel, Germany, Sweden, France, and Ireland.</li>
<li>Another important thing to note is that none of these breakouts are failing; they all remain above their major breakout levels, a very bullish sign. We remain bullish.</li>
</ul>


Throughout 2024 we've discussed the theme of more global indexes/Sectors breaking out to new highs, the latest being the UK's FTSE 100, South Korea's KOSPI, and Norway's Oslo OBX.
This is classic bull market behavior. The long list of breakouts discussed throughout 2024 include the MSCI EM, ACWI, MSCI EAFE (in local currency), Israel, Germany, Sweden, France, and Ireland.
Another important thing to note is that none of these breakouts are failing; they all remain above their major breakout levels, a very bullish sign. We remain bullish.


More Countries Breaking Out; Bullish Outlook Intact; FTSE 100, KOSPI, and Oslo OBX Breaking Out

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets, JapanConsuming

Michael Causton

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets

Real Insight on Japanese Consumer Markets

JapanConsuming

JapanConsuming is a specialist research firm producing intelligence on Japanese retail and consumer markets. Founded in 2000, JapanConsuming has become the leading provider of insights on Japanese retailers and consumer trends to retailers, brands, government agencies and investors. As well as a highly regarded monthly report on the market, JapanConsuming produces in-depth reports on retail sectors, seminars on key trends and telephone consulting to investors on trends and retailers.

JapanConsuming was founded by Michael Causton and Roy Larke. 

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The big 3 convenience stores in Japan control 90% of the sector and share will climb as they mop up some of the remaining chains and collaborate with the rest.</li>
<li>Seven Eleven is by far the best performer of the three but both Lawson and Familymart are innovating to create quite different retail operations.</li>
<li>All are seeing the benefits of digitisation of store and supply chain operations, which should enhance profitability, enhanced by new services and revenue streams like retail media.</li>
</ul>


The big 3 convenience stores in Japan control 90% of the sector and share will climb as they mop up some of the remaining chains and collaborate with the rest.
Seven Eleven is by far the best performer of the three but both Lawson and Familymart are innovating to create quite different retail operations.
All are seeing the benefits of digitisation of store and supply chain operations, which should enhance profitability, enhanced by new services and revenue streams like retail media.


Conbini Wars: Seven Vs Lawson Vs Familymart

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

<ul>
<li>Market Watch: Topix ended the week unchanged. The yen was the bigger story after strengthening to Y147/$. Forex likely to dominate next week</li>
<li>Major Movers: CyberAgent was boosted by the release of a new #1 smartphone game; Panasonic gains after announcing potential restructuring of group assets</li>
<li>Activist Watch: Dalton’s Nippon Active Value fund has found a deep value, small-cap pharma company. Rheos Capital takes a significant stake in a fast-growing M&amp;A advisor</li>
</ul>


Market Watch: Topix ended the week unchanged. The yen was the bigger story after strengthening to Y147/$. Forex likely to dominate next week
Major Movers: CyberAgent was boosted by the release of a new #1 smartphone game; Panasonic gains after announcing potential restructuring of group assets
Activist Watch: Dalton’s Nippon Active Value fund has found a deep value, small-cap pharma company. Rheos Capital takes a significant stake in a fast-growing M&amp;A advisor


Japan Weekly | All About Yen; Panasonic, Cyberagent

<ul>
<li>After a strong start to the week, Japanese equities ended flat after succumbing to a global tech sell-off. </li>
<li>Tadano was the best performer among Topix names this week. The street is upgrading forecasts post Q2 numbers and full year guidance revision. Makes sense</li>
<li>We highlight stocks that have had significant shareholder changes. Activists continue to increase positions and Oasis goes big on Sagami Rubber</li>
</ul>


After a strong start to the week, Japanese equities ended flat after succumbing to a global tech sell-off. 
Tadano was the best performer among Topix names this week. The street is upgrading forecasts post Q2 numbers and full year guidance revision. Makes sense
We highlight stocks that have had significant shareholder changes. Activists continue to increase positions and Oasis goes big on Sagami Rubber


Japan Weekly | Tadano, JMDC, CyberAgent, JFE, Komatsu

Japan

CyberAgent, Inc. operates blog media website, Ameba.  The Company also operates internet advertising agency, foreign exchange trading website, and creates PC and mobile contents such as advertisements and games. CyberAgent invests in companies with internet related business.

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CyberAgent Inc (4751 JP)

More Countries Breaking Out; Bullish Outlook Intact; Buys in China, Europe, More; DXY & Yields Top

More Countries Breaking Out; Bullish Outlook Intact $ACWI $EAFE $EEM. More buys in China; Germany continues to lead Europe higher. Will...

Vermilion Research

More Countries Breaking Out; Bullish Outlook Intact; FTSE 100, KOSPI, and Oslo OBX Breaking Out

Bullish Outlook Intact; More Countries Breaking Out, including UK's FTSE 100, South Korea's KOSPI, and Norway's Oslo OBX; Buys in global...

Vermilion Research

Conbini Wars: Seven Vs Lawson Vs Familymart

The top 3 convenience stores in Japan dominate the sector and are expected to further increase their market share. They are embracing digitization...

Michael Causton

Japan Weekly | All About Yen; Panasonic, Cyberagent

Market Watch: Topix unchanged, yen strengthens. CyberAgent boosted by new smartphone game, Panasonic gains on potential restructuring. Activist...

Mark Chadwick

Japan Weekly | Tadano, JMDC, CyberAgent, JFE, Komatsu

Japanese equities started strong but ended flat due to a global tech sell-off. Tadano performed well, following upgrades in forecasts. Activists...

Mark Chadwick

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

More Countries Breaking Out; Bullish Outlook Intact; Buys in China, Europe, More; DXY & Yields Top

More Countries Breaking Out; Bullish Outlook Intact $ACWI $EAFE $EEM. More buys in China; Germany continues to lead Europe higher. Will...

Vermilion Research

More Countries Breaking Out; Bullish Outlook Intact; FTSE 100, KOSPI, and Oslo OBX Breaking Out

Bullish Outlook Intact; More Countries Breaking Out, including UK's FTSE 100, South Korea's KOSPI, and Norway's Oslo OBX; Buys in global...

Vermilion Research

Conbini Wars: Seven Vs Lawson Vs Familymart

​The top 3 convenience stores in Japan dominate the sector and are expected to further increase their market share. They are embracing digitization...

Michael Causton

Japan Weekly | All About Yen; Panasonic, Cyberagent

​Market Watch: Topix unchanged, yen strengthens. CyberAgent boosted by new smartphone game, Panasonic gains on potential restructuring. Activist...

Mark Chadwick

Japan Weekly | Tadano, JMDC, CyberAgent, JFE, Komatsu

​Japanese equities started strong but ended flat due to a global tech sell-off. Tadano performed well, following upgrades in forecasts. Activists...

Mark Chadwick

The top 3 convenience stores in Japan dominate the sector and are expected to further increase their market share. They are embracing digitization...

Market Watch: Topix unchanged, yen strengthens. CyberAgent boosted by new smartphone game, Panasonic gains on potential restructuring. Activist...

Japanese equities started strong but ended flat due to a global tech sell-off. Tadano performed well, following upgrades in forecasts. Activists...