Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

Shanghai Electric Group Company / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>CSI 300 represents the 300 largest stocks by market cap and liquidity from the Shanghai and Shenzhen Exchanges. CSI 500 is the next 500.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs and DELs leading the race for the semiannual index rebal event in December 2024.</li>
<li>Since our last insight in August, there has been a sharp increase in reported AUMs tracking CSI 300 and CSI 500. This has caused our flow expectations to rise sharply.</li>
</ul>


CSI 300 represents the 300 largest stocks by market cap and liquidity from the Shanghai and Shenzhen Exchanges. CSI 500 is the next 500.
In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs and DELs leading the race for the semiannual index rebal event in December 2024.
Since our last insight in August, there has been a sharp increase in reported AUMs tracking CSI 300 and CSI 500. This has caused our flow expectations to rise sharply.


Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Dec 24: Massive Increase in AUMs Causes Flow Expectations to Soar

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 113.3% as of Sep 13th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 1.3ppt week-on-week, led by energy, utilities, industrials and offset by health care, consumer staples.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for SINOPEC, China Coal Energy, PetroChina, GAC Group, Tigermed, CanSinoBIO, SMIC, Hua Hong Semi, Shanghai Pharma.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 113.3% as of Sep 13th.
The average A-H premium changed by 1.3ppt week-on-week, led by energy, utilities, industrials and offset by health care, consumer staples.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for SINOPEC, China Coal Energy, PetroChina, GAC Group, Tigermed, CanSinoBIO, SMIC, Hua Hong Semi, Shanghai Pharma.


A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 13th): Sinopec, China Coal Energy, PetroChina, GAC, Tigermed

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dongfang-electric-corporation-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1251:1" rel="noopener">Dongfang Electric (1072 HK)</a> is now closer to the bottom after underperformance due to a weaker-than-expected 1H24 result dragged by low-margin coal-fired products.</li>
<li>New contract momentum, however, stayed resilient with a 14.8% YoY increase to Rmb56.1bn in 1H24. Forward backlog coverage is now at 1.8x FY24F revenue.</li>
<li>There is a significant Rmb6.3bn positive operating cash flow swing in 1H24. This helps to raise net cash (excluding contract liabilities) to 76.4% of the share price.</li>
</ul>



Dongfang Electric (1072 HK) is now closer to the bottom after underperformance due to a weaker-than-expected 1H24 result dragged by low-margin coal-fired products.
New contract momentum, however, stayed resilient with a 14.8% YoY increase to Rmb56.1bn in 1H24. Forward backlog coverage is now at 1.8x FY24F revenue.
There is a significant Rmb6.3bn positive operating cash flow swing in 1H24. This helps to raise net cash (excluding contract liabilities) to 76.4% of the share price.


Dongfang Electric (1072 HK): Finding a Bottom

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 105.7% as of Jul 12th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -2.5ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, energy, consumer discretionary and offset by real estate, utilities, information technology.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Wuapptec, China Telecom, Remegen, Hua Hong Semi, Flat Glass .</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 146 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 105.7% as of Jul 12th.
The average A-H premium changed by -2.5ppt week-on-week, led by consumer staples, energy, consumer discretionary and offset by real estate, utilities, information technology.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Wuapptec, China Telecom, Remegen, Hua Hong Semi, Flat Glass .


A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 12th):Wuapptec, China Telecom, Remegen, Hua Hong Semi, Flat Glass

Shanghai Rural Commercial Bank / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>CSI 300 represents the 300 largest stocks by market cap and liquidity from the Shanghai and Shenzhen Exchanges. CSI 500 is the next 500.</li>
<li>The reference period for the June 2024 review is now complete. There are some changes to the expected ADDs/DELs list since I published my last insight (<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/quiddity-leaderboard-csi-300-500-jun-24-shorts-down-11-vs-index-since-mid-feb-change-the-hedge" target="_blank" rel="noopener">link</a>) ~3 weeks ago.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at our final expectations for index changes in June 2024.</li>
</ul>


CSI 300 represents the 300 largest stocks by market cap and liquidity from the Shanghai and Shenzhen Exchanges. CSI 500 is the next 500.
The reference period for the June 2024 review is now complete. There are some changes to the expected ADDs/DELs list since I published my last insight (link) ~3 weeks ago.
In this insight, we take a look at our final expectations for index changes in June 2024.


Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Jun 24: Final Expectations; US$3.4bn One-Way; New Trade Idea

China

Shanghai Electric Group Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, sells, and services a wide range of products and services in the power equipment, electromechanical equipment, transportation equipment and environmental system industries.

Shanghai Electric Group Company (2727 HK)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Shanghai Electric Group Company (2727 HK)

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/500 Dec 24: Massive Increase in AUMs Causes Flow Expectations to Soar

Collectively, there could be US$6bn+ in one-way flows for the CSI 300 and CSI 500 index rebalance events in December 2024.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 13th): Sinopec, China Coal Energy, PetroChina, GAC, Tigermed

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for SINOPEC, China Coal Energy, PetroChina, GAC Group, Tigermed,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Dongfang Electric (1072 HK): Finding a Bottom

DEC posted a weaker-than-expected 1H24 result, but the new contract momentum is strong. A positive swing in cash operating flow has helped boost...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 12th):Wuapptec, China Telecom, Remegen, Hua Hong Semi, Flat Glass

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Wuapptec, China Telecom, Remegen, Hua Hong Semi, Flat Glass .

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/500 Jun 24: Final Expectations; US$3.4bn One-Way; New Trade Idea

The official changes is expected at the end of this month. I expect the names with clear positive flow expectations to outperform those with clear...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Dec 24: Massive Increase in AUMs Causes Flow Expectations to Soar

Collectively, there could be US$6bn+ in one-way flows for the CSI 300 and CSI 500 index rebalance events in December 2024.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Sep 13th): Sinopec, China Coal Energy, PetroChina, GAC, Tigermed

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for SINOPEC, China Coal Energy, PetroChina, GAC Group, Tigermed,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Dongfang Electric (1072 HK): Finding a Bottom

​DEC posted a weaker-than-expected 1H24 result, but the new contract momentum is strong. A positive swing in cash operating flow has helped boost...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A-H Premium Weekly (Jul 12th):Wuapptec, China Telecom, Remegen, Hua Hong Semi, Flat Glass

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Wuapptec, China Telecom, Remegen, Hua Hong Semi, Flat Glass .

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Jun 24: Final Expectations; US$3.4bn One-Way; New Trade Idea

The official changes is expected at the end of this month. I expect the names with clear positive flow expectations to outperform those with clear...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/500 Dec 24: Massive Increase in AUMs Causes Flow Expectations to Soar

DEC posted a weaker-than-expected 1H24 result, but the new contract momentum is strong. A positive swing in cash operating flow has helped boost...

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/500 Jun 24: Final Expectations; US$3.4bn One-Way; New Trade Idea