CEO, A. Stotz Investment Research

Dr. Andrew Stotz, CFA

Quantamental Investing to beat Benchmarks

A. Stotz Investment Research

We pick stocks. We construct portfolios. All our effort is focused on how to better pick stocks and construct portfolios. We serve fund management companies, family offices, and high net worth individuals.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology</li>
<li>Portfolio changes: One stock remains and 13 stocks are added </li>
<li>Since its inception, it has generated a before-fee total return of 116% versus the MSCI Asia ex Japan of 60%</li>
</ul>


We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology
Portfolio changes: One stock remains and 13 stocks are added 
Since its inception, it has generated a before-fee total return of 116% versus the MSCI Asia ex Japan of 60%


<ul>
<li>We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology</li>
<li>Four stock remains, and 10 stocks added to our portfolio</li>
<li>Since its inception, it has generated a before-fee total return of 106% versus the MSCI Asia ex Japan of 61%</li>
</ul>


We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology
Four stock remains, and 10 stocks added to our portfolio
Since its inception, it has generated a before-fee total return of 106% versus the MSCI Asia ex Japan of 61%


Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>You could imagine people covering their short in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> now. The Hang Seng sell flow on 4 January 2023 is insignificant. But there will be more overhang later. </li>
<li>If you buy <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link Administration (LNK AU)</a> outright, you are buying a package of three potential future takeout targets.</li>
<li>It's not certain the scrip terms will continue as stated in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/total-access-communication" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:948:1" rel="noopener">DTAC</a> /<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/true-corp-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8:1" rel="noopener">True</a> merger, but if they change at all, that would almost certainly require a new shareholder meeting.</li>
</ul>


You could imagine people covering their short in Meituan (3690 HK) now. The Hang Seng sell flow on 4 January 2023 is insignificant. But there will be more overhang later. 
If you buy Link Administration (LNK AU) outright, you are buying a package of three potential future takeout targets.
It's not certain the scrip terms will continue as stated in the DTAC /True merger, but if they change at all, that would almost certainly require a new shareholder meeting.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Meituan, Link Admin/Pexa, DTAC/True, Medley

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sm-investments-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20015:1" rel="noopener">SM Investments (SM PM)</a>, the leading Filipino conglomerate, recently announced strong 9M22 earnings, buoyed by increased economic activity and strong consumer sentiment.</li>
<li>The standout was the unlisted SM Retail segment which recorded net income of PHP 11.5bn, exceeding 2019 pre-pandemic levels. </li>
<li>The implied stub/share - net of all listcos - of PHP 208/share compares to the five-year average of PHP 273/share, and the two-year average of PHP 252 preceding Covid. </li>
</ul>



SM Investments (SM PM), the leading Filipino conglomerate, recently announced strong 9M22 earnings, buoyed by increased economic activity and strong consumer sentiment.
The standout was the unlisted SM Retail segment which recorded net income of PHP 11.5bn, exceeding 2019 pre-pandemic levels. 
The implied stub/share - net of all listcos - of PHP 208/share compares to the five-year average of PHP 273/share, and the two-year average of PHP 252 preceding Covid. 


SM Investments (SM PM): Retail Income Now Exceeds Pre-Covid Levels

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Regional rebalance occurring among active EM funds. Out of EMEA and the major Asian nations and in to ASEAN, MENA and South America.</li>
<li>ASEAN reversal shows EM investors moving from underweight to overweight since late 2021, driven by a record ownership and a rising number of funds positioned overweight the benchmark.</li>
<li>Indonesia and Thailand the key drivers and to a lesser extent Malaysia.   The Philippines has been notably absent from the move higher, whilst Singapore allocations fell over the same period.</li>
</ul>


Regional rebalance occurring among active EM funds. Out of EMEA and the major Asian nations and in to ASEAN, MENA and South America.
ASEAN reversal shows EM investors moving from underweight to overweight since late 2021, driven by a record ownership and a rising number of funds positioned overweight the benchmark.
Indonesia and Thailand the key drivers and to a lesser extent Malaysia.   The Philippines has been notably absent from the move higher, whilst Singapore allocations fell over the same period.


Philippines

SM Prime Holdings Inc., through its subsidiaries, is engaged in residential property, shopping malls, offices, hotels and convention centers development.

Sm Prime Holdings (SMPH PM)

The Stocks to Own in Asia – Vol. 41

We highlight 14 stocks in Asia that look interesting to us based on our FVMR methodology. Portfolio changes: One stock remains, 13 stocks added.

A. Stotz Investment Research

The Stocks to Own in Asia – Vol. 40

We highlight 14 stocks in ASEAN that look interesting to us based on our FVMR Methodology. Since its inception, it has generated a before-fee total...

A. Stotz Investment Research

Last Week in Event SPACE: Meituan, Link Admin/Pexa, DTAC/True, Medley

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

SM Investments (SM PM): Retail Income Now Exceeds Pre-Covid Levels

SMIC is benefitting from increased economic activity and buoyant consumer sentiment. Go outright long or hedge out SM Prime and BDO, in which the...

David Blennerhassett

EM Funds Raise ASEAN Allocations

Regional rebalance occurring among active EM funds. Out of EMEA and the major Asian nations and in to ASEAN, MENA and South America.

Steven Holden