Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia), SCCM Asia Research

SCCM Asia Research

Research from SooChow CSSD Capital Markets (Asia)

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<h2>Singapore</h2><h3><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lendlease-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11248" rel="noopener">Lendlease Group (LLC AU)</a> will begin construction on a large-scale Singapore vaccine facility in end-2021</h3>Lendlease is commencing construction on a large-scale, greenfield vaccine facility in late-2021. It did not disclose the identity of the client. The move comes as the Republic sees an increase in the number of Covid-19 vaccine-related investments, with three major pharmaceutical companies – BioNTech, Sanofi and Thermo Fisher Scientific – having plans to set up vaccine manufacturing facilities here. LLC has also been appointed to take on additional projects for existing Singapore clients, including expanding existing facilities to enhance their capabilities. The life sciences sector are one of LLC’s key focus areas where it is looking to apply its expertise across the integrated real estate value chain. In Mar21, LLC inked a partnership in the US with institutional investor Ivanhoe Cambridge to develop the 60 Guest Street project in Boston, a 320,000sqft life sciences hub.

SingaporeLendlease Group (LLC AU) will begin construction on a large-scale Singapore vaccine facility in end-2021Lendlease is commencing construction on a large-scale, greenfield vaccine facility in late-2021. It did not disclose the identity of the client. The move comes as the Republic sees an increase in the number of Covid-19 vaccine-related investments, with three major pharmaceutical companies – BioNTech, Sanofi and Thermo Fisher Scientific – having plans to set up vaccine manufacturing facilities here. LLC has also been appointed to take on additional projects for existing Singapore clients, including expanding existing facilities to enhance their capabilities. The life sciences sector are one of LLC’s key focus areas where it is looking to apply its expertise across the integrated real estate value chain. In Mar21, LLC inked a partnership in the US with institutional investor Ivanhoe Cambridge to develop the 60 Guest Street project in Boston, a 320,000sqft life sciences hub.

<h2>Singapore</h2>
<h3>SREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached)</h3>
<table class="table table-striped">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
 
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
SGREIT
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
CDREIT
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
FEHT
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
OUECT
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
FIRT
</td>
<td style="width: 98.15pt;">
FHT
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
Period
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
2H21
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
1H21
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
1H21
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
1H21
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
1H21
</td>
<td style="width: 98.15pt;">
9M21
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
Gross Revenue (S$ m)
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
92.9 (10.5% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
66.2 (27.2% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
41.6 (-6.1% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
133.5 (-6% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
38.9 (+0.9% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 98.15pt;">
NA
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
NPI (S$ m)
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
69.8 (20.2% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
37.0 (24.4% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
36.2 (-6.2% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
109 (-3.1% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
37.6 (+0.2% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 98.15pt;">
NA
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
DPU (S$ c)
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
2.07 (195.7% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
1.22 (-19.2% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
1.1 (+6.8% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
1.23 (+23% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
1.3 (-43.5% YoY)
</td>
<td style="width: 98.15pt;">
NA
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
NAV per Unit (S$)
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
0.81
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
1.29
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
0.7912
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
0.58
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
0.3512
</td>
<td style="width: 98.15pt;">
1H21: 0.66
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
P/B (x)
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
0.75
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
0.95
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
0.73
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
1.34
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
0.75
</td>
<td style="width: 98.15pt;">
0.79
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
Occupancy (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
96.7
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
5 SG Hotels excl. W Hotel and NCQ: 73.5
6 SG Hotels excl. W Hotel: 70.2
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
Hotels : 77.6
Service Residence : 76.2
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
91.7 (Commercial)
92.3 (SG Office)
89.6 (Mandarin  Gallery)
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
Not Disclosed
</td>
<td style="width: 98.15pt;">
SG: 59.8
AUS: 44.3
UK: 18.8
JP: 31.3
MY: 7.7
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
Reversion (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
Not disclosed
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
RevPAR (% YoY):
SG: -19.5 (or -9.5 incl. W Hotel)
Maldives: +139.2
NZ: -31.8
Germany: +61.2
Italy: -84.4
JP: -27.9
UK: -21.8
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
RevPAR (% YoY):
Hotels: -35.4
Service Residence: -16.9 YoY
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
2Q21 Office reversions: -5.7 to +2.2
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
Not Disclosed
</td>
<td style="width: 98.15pt;">
RevPAR (% YoY):
SG: -31.4
AUS: -52.3
UK: -68.9
JP: -40.8
MY: -87.7
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
Gearing (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
36.1
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
39.1
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
41.3
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
38
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
34.7
</td>
<td style="width: 98.15pt;">
42.1
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
Cost of Debt (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
3.28
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
1.9
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
2.1
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
3.2
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
Not Disclosed
</td>
<td style="width: 98.15pt;">
2.0
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
1 Yr Fwd Yield (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
6.9
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
4.4
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
4.7
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
7.4
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
9.8 (annualized 1H21)
</td>
<td style="width: 98.15pt;">
3.1
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
Debt Hedged (%)
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
91
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
63.3
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
68.2
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
82.2
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
Not Disclosed
</td>
<td style="width: 98.15pt;">
77
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
Target Price
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
Under Review
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
N/A
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
N/A
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
N/A
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
N/A
</td>
<td style="width: 98.15pt;">
N/A
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
Rating
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
Under Review
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
N/A
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
N/A
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
N/A
</td>
<td style="width: 98.1pt;">
N/A
</td>
<td style="width: 98.15pt;">
N/A
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>

Singapore
SREITs results in a glance (see detailed spreadsheet and calendar attached)




 


SGREIT


CDREIT


FEHT


OUECT


FIRT


FHT




Period


2H21


1H21


1H21


1H21


1H21


9M21




Gross Revenue (S$ m)


92.9 (10.5% YoY)


66.2 (27.2% YoY)


41.6 (-6.1% YoY)


133.5 (-6% YoY)


38.9 (+0.9% YoY)


NA




NPI (S$ m)


69.8 (20.2% YoY)


37.0 (24.4% YoY)


36.2 (-6.2% YoY)


109 (-3.1% YoY)


37.6 (+0.2% YoY)


NA




DPU (S$ c)


2.07 (195.7% YoY)


1.22 (-19.2% YoY)


1.1 (+6.8% YoY)


1.23 (+23% YoY)


1.3 (-43.5% YoY)


NA




NAV per Unit (S$)


0.81


1.29


0.7912


0.58


0.3512


1H21: 0.66




P/B (x)


0.75


0.95


0.73


1.34


0.75


0.79




Occupancy (%)


96.7


5 SG Hotels excl. W Hotel and NCQ: 73.5
6 SG Hotels excl. W Hotel: 70.2


Hotels : 77.6
Service Residence : 76.2


91.7 (Commercial)
92.3 (SG Office)
89.6 (Mandarin  Gallery)


Not Disclosed


SG: 59.8
AUS: 44.3
UK: 18.8
JP: 31.3
MY: 7.7




Reversion (%)


Not disclosed


RevPAR (% YoY):
SG: -19.5 (or -9.5 incl. W Hotel)
Maldives: +139.2
NZ: -31.8
Germany: +61.2
Italy: -84.4
JP: -27.9
UK: -21.8


RevPAR (% YoY):
Hotels: -35.4
Service Residence: -16.9 YoY


2Q21 Office reversions: -5.7 to +2.2


Not Disclosed


RevPAR (% YoY):
SG: -31.4
AUS: -52.3
UK: -68.9
JP: -40.8
MY: -87.7




Gearing (%)


36.1


39.1


41.3


38


34.7


42.1




Cost of Debt (%)


3.28


1.9


2.1


3.2


Not Disclosed


2.0




1 Yr Fwd Yield (%)


6.9


4.4


4.7


7.4


9.8 (annualized 1H21)


3.1




Debt Hedged (%)


91


63.3


68.2


82.2


Not Disclosed


77




Target Price


Under Review


N/A


N/A


N/A


N/A


N/A




Rating


Under Review


N/A


N/A


N/A


N/A


N/A





ASEAN Builder's Scoop (30Jul21) - SGREIT Solid Set of Results

<h2>Singapore</h2>
<h3>Ang Mo Kio 99-year private housing plot draws 15 bids while EC plot in Tengah draws seven bids</h3>
<ul>
<li>A 99-year leasehold private housing site in Ang Mo Kio Avenue 1, opposite the Bishan-Ang Mo Kio Park, has drawn 15 bids in a state tender. The highest bid of S$381.38m, or nearly S$1,118psf ppr, came from a 60:20:20 joint venture between UOL Group Ltd (UOL SP), Singapore Land Group Limited (SPLG SP) and Kheong Leong Company. This was 6.3% higher than the second highest bid of S$358.89m or S$1,052psf ppr from Titus Residential SG, a tie-up between City Developments Ltd (CIT SP) and MCL Land. Also bidding for the site was a tie-up between Far East Organisation, Sino Group and Sekisui House, which offered S$353.33m or $1,036psf ppr. UOL plans to develop a 24-25 storey project of more than 370 units that will enjoy unblocked views of the Bishan-Ang Mo Kio Park, Lower Peirce Reservoir Park and Shangri-la Park landed housing estate. It is also a timely replenishment for UOL’s land bank</li>
<li>Also closing was the tender for the maiden EC housing site in the Tengah estate. The 99-year leasehold plot in Tengah Garden Walk drew seven bids. The highest offer of S$400.3m, or S$603.17 psf ppr, was from a tie-up between CIT and MCL Land; it was just a tad higher than the nearly S$400.2m or S$602.99psf ppr from the second highest bid, from CSC Land Group. The top bid marks a record land rate for an EC site under the GLS programme. The previous high was S$583psf ppr garnered by the Sumang Walk EC site awarded in Mar18.</li>
</ul>

Singapore
Ang Mo Kio 99-year private housing plot draws 15 bids while EC plot in Tengah draws seven bids

A 99-year leasehold private housing site in Ang Mo Kio Avenue 1, opposite the Bishan-Ang Mo Kio Park, has drawn 15 bids in a state tender. The highest bid of S$381.38m, or nearly S$1,118psf ppr, came from a 60:20:20 joint venture between UOL Group Ltd (UOL SP), Singapore Land Group Limited (SPLG SP) and Kheong Leong Company. This was 6.3% higher than the second highest bid of S$358.89m or S$1,052psf ppr from Titus Residential SG, a tie-up between City Developments Ltd (CIT SP) and MCL Land. Also bidding for the site was a tie-up between Far East Organisation, Sino Group and Sekisui House, which offered S$353.33m or $1,036psf ppr. UOL plans to develop a 24-25 storey project of more than 370 units that will enjoy unblocked views of the Bishan-Ang Mo Kio Park, Lower Peirce Reservoir Park and Shangri-la Park landed housing estate. It is also a timely replenishment for UOL’s land bank
Also closing was the tender for the maiden EC housing site in the Tengah estate. The 99-year leasehold plot in Tengah Garden Walk drew seven bids. The highest offer of S$400.3m, or S$603.17 psf ppr, was from a tie-up between CIT and MCL Land; it was just a tad higher than the nearly S$400.2m or S$602.99psf ppr from the second highest bid, from CSC Land Group. The top bid marks a record land rate for an EC site under the GLS programme. The previous high was S$583psf ppr garnered by the Sumang Walk EC site awarded in Mar18.


ASEAN Builder's Scoop (27May21) - AMK Site Drew High 15bids

Partner, River Valley Asset Management

River Valley Asset Management

Partner

Singapore-based boutique asset management firm

River Valley Asset Management is a Singapore-based boutique asset management firm. Our team at RVAM strongly believes in being a trusted steward of our clients' wealth across generations.

Each of our fund managers has years of rich portfolio management experience over multiple market cycles at world-class investment houses. We bring our clients the combined strength of our investment team to manage their financial portfolios and to provide bespoke guidance on all aspects of their financial health.

We offer multi-asset class expert investment advice to accredited investors who are family offices, high net worth individuals and institutional investors to preserve and grow our clients' wealth.

The fund management team of the company includes Homiyar Vasania, Anand Ramachandran and Jamshed Desai.

As a mature economy with stable businesses, Singapore's equity benchmarks are dominated by Banks &amp; Government Linked Companies (GLC's) which have grown large over time. The large listed companies in Singapore (private as well as GLC’s) are now facing headwinds from tight labour markets resulting in rising costs and, in the absence of growth, the need to focus on raising productivity.  It is therefore not surprising that the Singapore markets do not excite the average investor. However, within this space we have been finding many hidden gems which have consistently delivered and increasingly fit the needs of a Singaporean investor looking for stable returns in a low growth environment: the REIT marketplace. Over the last seven years the REIT index has delivered over 10% p.a. annualized return which stands in stark contrast to the meagre 4% returns from benchmark STI index.

As a mature economy with stable businesses, Singapore's equity benchmarks are dominated by Banks &amp; Government Linked Companies (GLC's) which have grown large over time. The large listed companies in Singapore (private as well as GLC’s) are now facing headwinds from tight labour markets resulting in rising costs and, in the absence of growth, the need to focus on raising productivity.   It is therefore not surprising that the Singapore markets do not excite the average investor. However, within this space we have been finding many hidden gems which have consistently delivered and increasingly fit the needs of a Singaporean investor looking for stable returns in a low growth environment: the REIT marketplace. Over the last seven years the REIT index has delivered over 10% p.a. annualized return which stands in stark contrast to the meagre 4% returns from benchmark STI index.

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Singapore Grade A office rent and core CBD Occupancy According to CBRE Research’s latest Singapore Occupier Sentiment Survey, office utilisation in Asia-Pacific outpaced that in Europe and the US.</li><li>Similarly, MPACT saw positive rental reversions in its latest Q2FY23 update, with Mapletree Business Centre at 7.1 per cent and the rest of Singapore office properties and business parks at 8.9 per cent.</li><li>Looking ahead, MPACT expects rents for business parks to remain flat or stable with minimal growth in 2023 despite the expected rise in vacancy, as new and good-quality business parks will command higher rental rates.</li></ul>

Singapore Grade A office rent and core CBD Occupancy According to CBRE Research’s latest Singapore Occupier Sentiment Survey, office utilisation in Asia-Pacific outpaced that in Europe and the US.Similarly, MPACT saw positive rental reversions in its latest Q2FY23 update, with Mapletree Business Centre at 7.1 per cent and the rest of Singapore office properties and business parks at 8.9 per cent.Looking ahead, MPACT expects rents for business parks to remain flat or stable with minimal growth in 2023 despite the expected rise in vacancy, as new and good-quality business parks will command higher rental rates.

REIT Watch - Positive rent reversions recorded across Singapore office market

Singapore

OUE Real Estate Investment Trust is a Singapore-based diversified real estate investment trust that invests in income-producing properties primarily for hospitality, retail, and office purposes. Its portfolio includes prime office buildings, high-end retail malls, and upper upscale hotels in Singapore and Australia. The company was constituted in 2013 and is headquartered in Singapore.

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OUE (OUEREIT SP)

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (8Oct21)

LLC begins SG vaccine facility in end-2021; OUECT S$540m green loan at 3.2%; HDB resale prices new record; Ascott expands Co-living biz; FPT...

SCCM Asia Research

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (30Jul21) - SGREIT Solid Set of Results

SGREIT solid set of results; CDREIT not out of woods yet; FEHT weak operations continued; OUECT slowing reversions offset by hotel rebound; FIRT...

SCCM Asia Research

ASEAN Builder's Scoop (27May21) - AMK Site Drew High 15bids

AMK site drew high 15bids, UOL winner; CAPL rises stake in DLSP; Frasers Hosp expands in China; GLP eyes US$2bn HK IPO; METRO sees decentralized...

SCCM Asia Research

Singapore - The Hidden Gems

As a mature economy with stable businesses, Singapore's equity benchmarks are dominated by Banks & Government Linked Companies (GLC's) which...

River Valley Asset Management

REIT Watch - Positive rent reversions recorded across Singapore office market

Singapore Grade A office rent and core CBD Occupancy According to CBRE Research’s latest Singapore Occupier Sentiment Survey, office utilisation...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

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52-week Range

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