Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Following on from our previous note, we now identify inexpensive consistent compounders from the small and mid-cap universe in Asia ($1 - $5 bn in market capitalization).</li>
<li>28 stocks are on our list - 18 from onshore China, 5 from India, 2 each from Japan and Taiwan and 1 from Hong Kong.</li>
<li>Industrials, technology, healthcare and financials dominate the list. The list of large and mid-cap compounders shall largely form the backbone of our top stock choices for 2025.</li>
</ul>


Following on from our previous note, we now identify inexpensive consistent compounders from the small and mid-cap universe in Asia ($1 - $5 bn in market capitalization).
28 stocks are on our list - 18 from onshore China, 5 from India, 2 each from Japan and Taiwan and 1 from Hong Kong.
Industrials, technology, healthcare and financials dominate the list. The list of large and mid-cap compounders shall largely form the backbone of our top stock choices for 2025.


Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>With the "Postcard" series, our objective is to bring to our readers on-ground insights based on interactions across key channels located in tier 2 and tier 3 locations.</li>
<li>For this Postcard, we traveled to Mandya, a city in the southern state of Karnataka, also known as the 'Sugar City,' on a rented E6 by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a>.  </li>
<li>Sectors in focus include Consumer Finance, Mortgage Lenders, and Retailers.</li>
</ul>


With the "Postcard" series, our objective is to bring to our readers on-ground insights based on interactions across key channels located in tier 2 and tier 3 locations.
For this Postcard, we traveled to Mandya, a city in the southern state of Karnataka, also known as the 'Sugar City,' on a rented E6 by BYD (1211 HK).  
Sectors in focus include Consumer Finance, Mortgage Lenders, and Retailers.


Postcard from Mandya | Cruising Around the Sugar City in a BYD

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

<ul>
<li>Demand outside gold remains soft; co‑funding costs show early easing; asset quality stress is shifting, with vehicle finance and micro‑LAP emerging as pain points.</li>
<li>The divergence across NBFC subsegments (gold, affordable housing, vehicle finance, micro-LAP) is widening, making sector-level staging less helpful - selective bets will matter more.</li>
<li>We remain biased toward affordable HFCs, gold financiers (to ride momentum), and select diversified NBFCs. Vigilance is needed to combat NIM pressure and rising unsecured stress.</li>
</ul>


Demand outside gold remains soft; co‑funding costs show early easing; asset quality stress is shifting, with vehicle finance and micro‑LAP emerging as pain points.
The divergence across NBFC subsegments (gold, affordable housing, vehicle finance, micro-LAP) is widening, making sector-level staging less helpful - selective bets will matter more.
We remain biased toward affordable HFCs, gold financiers (to ride momentum), and select diversified NBFCs. Vigilance is needed to combat NIM pressure and rising unsecured stress.


NBFC Q2FY26 Outlook - Rate Cuts, Credit Stress & Selective Wins in NBFCs

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Sammaan Capital's Board approved a preferential issue to Avenir Investment RSC Ltd., a wholly-owned subsidiary of Abu Dhabi's IHC, aggregating INR 8,850 crore (USD 1.06 billion) in equity and warrants.  </li>
<li>The strategic inflow from the well-capitalized, sovereign-linked IHC provides a massive de-risking event, validates Sammaan's new-book strategy, and signals a powerful new stream of capital flows into Indian HFC/NBFC space.  </li>
<li>The scale, strategic nature, and pricing of the deal position Sammaan for a significant re-rating, shifting the investment thesis from asset quality clean-up to funded growth.</li>
</ul>


Sammaan Capital's Board approved a preferential issue to Avenir Investment RSC Ltd., a wholly-owned subsidiary of Abu Dhabi's IHC, aggregating INR 8,850 crore (USD 1.06 billion) in equity and warrants.  
The strategic inflow from the well-capitalized, sovereign-linked IHC provides a massive de-risking event, validates Sammaan's new-book strategy, and signals a powerful new stream of capital flows into Indian HFC/NBFC space.  
The scale, strategic nature, and pricing of the deal position Sammaan for a significant re-rating, shifting the investment thesis from asset quality clean-up to funded growth.


Sammaan Capital: Is Abu Dhabi’s $1.06 Billion Bet the Start of a New Era?

<ul>
<li>Northern Arc is fast shifting toward direct retail Lending (D2C), while leveraging originator partnerships and technology; recent rate cuts and regulatory relief are improving cost of funds &amp; capital efficiency. 
</li>
<li>Northern Arc’s mix of structured finance, co-lending, and fund management creates steady fee income, making it more resilient than traditional NBFCs relying mainly on heavy lending assets.</li>
<li>Northern Arc is a differentiated NBFC benefits from inclusion &amp; fintech growth, but valuation relies on retail execution, risk control, and asset quality pressures.</li>
</ul>


Northern Arc is fast shifting toward direct retail Lending (D2C), while leveraging originator partnerships and technology; recent rate cuts and regulatory relief are improving cost of funds &amp; capital efficiency. 

Northern Arc’s mix of structured finance, co-lending, and fund management creates steady fee income, making it more resilient than traditional NBFCs relying mainly on heavy lending assets.
Northern Arc is a differentiated NBFC benefits from inclusion &amp; fintech growth, but valuation relies on retail execution, risk control, and asset quality pressures.


The Beat Ideas: Northern Arc Capital - A Niche Player in a Crowded Field?

India

Aavas Financiers Limited provides consumer finance services. The Company offers home, land purchase, construction, home improvement, balance transfer, and business loans. Aavas Financiers serves customers in India.

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Aavas Financiers Ltd (AAVAS IN)

Asian Equities: The SMID Compounders

We identify 28 inexpensive consistent compounders among the Asian small and mid-cap stocks. Onshore China (18) and India (5) dominate the list, as...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Postcard from Mandya | Cruising Around the Sugar City in a BYD

In one of its first decisions, the newly formed NDA government, convened in its inaugural cabinet meeting on Monday, resolved to extend support to...

Pranav Bhavsar

NBFC Q2FY26 Outlook - Rate Cuts, Credit Stress & Selective Wins in NBFCs

Soft demand outside gold, easing co-funding costs, shifting asset quality stress in vehicle finance and micro-LAP. Divergence in NBFC subsegments...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Sammaan Capital: Is Abu Dhabi’s $1.06 Billion Bet the Start of a New Era?

Sammaan Capital secures $1.06 billion investment from Abu Dhabi's IHC, signaling a new era of growth and re-rating potential in the Indian HFC...

Nimish Maheshwari

The Beat Ideas: Northern Arc Capital - A Niche Player in a Crowded Field?

Northern Arc is shifting to direct retail lending, leveraging partnerships and technology for improved cost efficiency and steady fee income, but...

Nimish Maheshwari

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Asian Equities: The SMID Compounders

We identify 28 inexpensive consistent compounders among the Asian small and mid-cap stocks. Onshore China (18) and India (5) dominate the list, as...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Postcard from Mandya | Cruising Around the Sugar City in a BYD

In one of its first decisions, the newly formed NDA government, convened in its inaugural cabinet meeting on Monday, resolved to extend support to...

Pranav Bhavsar

NBFC Q2FY26 Outlook - Rate Cuts, Credit Stress & Selective Wins in NBFCs

​Soft demand outside gold, easing co-funding costs, shifting asset quality stress in vehicle finance and micro-LAP. Divergence in NBFC subsegments...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Sammaan Capital: Is Abu Dhabi’s $1.06 Billion Bet the Start of a New Era?

​Sammaan Capital secures $1.06 billion investment from Abu Dhabi's IHC, signaling a new era of growth and re-rating potential in the Indian HFC...

Nimish Maheshwari

The Beat Ideas: Northern Arc Capital - A Niche Player in a Crowded Field?

​Northern Arc is shifting to direct retail lending, leveraging partnerships and technology for improved cost efficiency and steady fee income, but...

Nimish Maheshwari

Soft demand outside gold, easing co-funding costs, shifting asset quality stress in vehicle finance and micro-LAP. Divergence in NBFC subsegments...

Sammaan Capital secures $1.06 billion investment from Abu Dhabi's IHC, signaling a new era of growth and re-rating potential in the Indian HFC...

Northern Arc is shifting to direct retail lending, leveraging partnerships and technology for improved cost efficiency and steady fee income, but...