Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Brilliance China Automotive / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Friday was the review cutoff for the September rebalance of the ASX family of indices. The September changes for the Hang Seng family of indices were also announced.</li>
<li>The September changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a> will be announced after the close of trading on 25 August.</li>
<li>For a second week running, there were big inflows to mainland China ETFs and were spread across multiple index trackers. There were outflows from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-msci-emerging-markets" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:438:1" rel="noopener">iShares Emerging Markets (EEM US)</a>. </li>
</ul>


Friday was the review cutoff for the September rebalance of the ASX family of indices. The September changes for the Hang Seng family of indices were also announced.
The September changes for the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX) will be announced after the close of trading on 25 August.
For a second week running, there were big inflows to mainland China ETFs and were spread across multiple index trackers. There were outflows from iShares Emerging Markets (EEM US). 


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: ASX, NEXT50, MVMVA, MVMVW, Celltrion, Brilliance, KQ150, HSCI

<ul>
<li>We forecast 26 changes across the ASX50 Index, ASX100 Index, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> and ASX300 Index at the September rebalance.</li>
<li>The review period ends tomorrow, so most changes are high probability. Though there are some changes that will be up to the discretion of the index committee.</li>
<li>There will be a lot of stock to trade on the changes to the ASX200 and indices higher up the hierarchy. But there will be a lot of pre-positioning too.</li>
</ul>


We forecast 26 changes across the ASX50 Index, ASX100 Index, S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) and ASX300 Index at the September rebalance.
The review period ends tomorrow, so most changes are high probability. Though there are some changes that will be up to the discretion of the index committee.
There will be a lot of stock to trade on the changes to the ASX200 and indices higher up the hierarchy. But there will be a lot of pre-positioning too.


S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Have Outperformed

<ul>
<li>There should be one deletion from the index in September. And there could be another deletion. And there will be capping changes for a few stocks.</li>
<li>The index changes will lead to a one-way turnover of 2.12% resulting in a one-way trade of A$13m. There is only one stock with over A$5m to trade.</li>
<li>Following the spinoff, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/abacus-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10566:1" rel="noopener">Abacus Group (ABG AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/abacus-storage-king" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39857:1" rel="noopener">Abacus Storage King (ASK AU)</a> will be the lowest ranked index constituents and at risk of deletion from the index.</li>
</ul>


There should be one deletion from the index in September. And there could be another deletion. And there will be capping changes for a few stocks.
The index changes will lead to a one-way turnover of 2.12% resulting in a one-way trade of A$13m. There is only one stock with over A$5m to trade.
Following the spinoff, Abacus Group (ABG AU) and Abacus Storage King (ASK AU) will be the lowest ranked index constituents and at risk of deletion from the index.


MVIS Australia A-REITs Index Rebalance Preview: One Delete, One Close Delete & Capping

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX 300, 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the September 2023 Rebalance.</li>
<li>I expect one change for ASX 100 and 3 ADDs and 4 DELs for ASX 200. There could be 11 ADDs and 9 DELs for ASX 300.</li>
<li>ASX 300 member Leo Lithium (LLL AU) is currently suspended from trading and that could have interesting implications for the stock's ASX 300 membership.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX 300, 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the September 2023 Rebalance.
I expect one change for ASX 100 and 3 ADDs and 4 DELs for ASX 200. There could be 11 ADDs and 9 DELs for ASX 300.
ASX 300 member Leo Lithium (LLL AU) is currently suspended from trading and that could have interesting implications for the stock's ASX 300 membership.


Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Sep 23: Potential Surprises and Final Thoughts

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Abacus Storage King / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/abacus-property-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10566:1" rel="noopener">Abacus Property (ABP AU)</a> de-stapled <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/abacus-storage-king" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39857:1" rel="noopener">Abacus Storage King (ASK AU)</a>, its self-storage business. </li>
<li>Offering 1 ASK share for every 5.6 ABP share, the REIT raised A$225m (US$150m) after the deal was priced at the bottom end of the indicative price band at A$1.41/share.</li>
<li>The deal is effectively an IPO, and after having been in the making for some time now, it is well flagged as well.</li>
</ul>



Abacus Property (ABP AU) de-stapled Abacus Storage King (ASK AU), its self-storage business. 
Offering 1 ASK share for every 5.6 ABP share, the REIT raised A$225m (US$150m) after the deal was priced at the bottom end of the indicative price band at A$1.41/share.
The deal is effectively an IPO, and after having been in the making for some time now, it is well flagged as well.


ASK Listing Trading - Priced at a Discount to Peer, Although Asset Quality Seems More Attractive

Australia

Abacus Group is a diversified property investment and management company. The Company provides exposure to a portfolio of commercial office, retail, and self storage real estates. Abacus Group serves customers in Australia.

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Abacus Group (ABG AU)

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: ASX, NEXT50, MVMVA, MVMVW, Celltrion, Brilliance, KQ150, HSCI

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Have Outperformed

We forecast 26 changes across the ASX50, ASX100, ASX 200 and ASX300 indices at the September rebalance. There is big flow and impact on a lot of...

Brian Freitas

MVIS Australia A-REITs Index Rebalance Preview: One Delete, One Close Delete & Capping

There should be one deletion, could be another deletion, and some capping changes. One-way turnover is 2.12% resulting in a one-way trade of A$13m....

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Sep 23: Potential Surprises and Final Thoughts

I expect ASX 200 and 300 Expected ADDs to outperform the ASX 200 and 300 Expected DELs over the next few weeks since there are many names on both...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

ASK Listing Trading - Priced at a Discount to Peer, Although Asset Quality Seems More Attractive

Abacus Property (ABP AU) de-stapled Abacus Storage King (ASK AU), its self-storage business. The REIT raised A$225m (US$150m) after the deal was...

Clarence Chu

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: ASX, NEXT50, MVMVA, MVMVW, Celltrion, Brilliance, KQ150, HSCI

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Have Outperformed

We forecast 26 changes across the ASX50, ASX100, ASX 200 and ASX300 indices at the September rebalance. There is big flow and impact on a lot of...

Brian Freitas

MVIS Australia A-REITs Index Rebalance Preview: One Delete, One Close Delete & Capping

There should be one deletion, could be another deletion, and some capping changes. One-way turnover is 2.12% resulting in a one-way trade of A$13m....

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Sep 23: Potential Surprises and Final Thoughts

I expect ASX 200 and 300 Expected ADDs to outperform the ASX 200 and 300 Expected DELs over the next few weeks since there are many names on both...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

ASK Listing Trading - Priced at a Discount to Peer, Although Asset Quality Seems More Attractive

Abacus Property (ABP AU) de-stapled Abacus Storage King (ASK AU), its self-storage business. The REIT raised A$225m (US$150m) after the deal was...

Clarence Chu

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Have Outperformed