Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Structural tailwinds across electrification, transmission, data centers, and specialty pharma remain intact, but these are now consensus trades with expectations fully embedded in earnings and multiples.</li>
<li>Our long basket—ABB India, Hitachi Energy India, Cummins India, and Sun Pharma—represents high-quality proxies where delivery, not discovery, will drive relative outperformance</li>
<li>If markets turn, these businesses remain best positioned given strong balance sheets, visible demand, and execution track record—making them relative winners even in a tougher environment. </li>
</ul>


Structural tailwinds across electrification, transmission, data centers, and specialty pharma remain intact, but these are now consensus trades with expectations fully embedded in earnings and multiples.
Our long basket—ABB India, Hitachi Energy India, Cummins India, and Sun Pharma—represents high-quality proxies where delivery, not discovery, will drive relative outperformance
If markets turn, these businesses remain best positioned given strong balance sheets, visible demand, and execution track record—making them relative winners even in a tougher environment. 


India Top Longs | Execution Alpha in a Turning Market

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>A big rally in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hitachi-energy-india-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36054:1" rel="noopener">Hitachi Energy India (POWERIND IN)</a> this year could lead to the stock being added to a global index in August.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hitachi-energy-india-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36054:1" rel="noopener">Hitachi Energy India (POWERIND IN)</a> has outperformed its peers and now trades at significantly higher valuations compared to its peer group.</li>
<li>There is positioning in the stock and early entrants could be looking to unwind some of their holdings over the next couple of weeks.</li>
</ul>


A big rally in Hitachi Energy India (POWERIND IN) this year could lead to the stock being added to a global index in August.

Hitachi Energy India (POWERIND IN) has outperformed its peers and now trades at significantly higher valuations compared to its peer group.
There is positioning in the stock and early entrants could be looking to unwind some of their holdings over the next couple of weeks.


Hitachi Energy India (POWERIND IN): Powering into a Global Index in August

<ul>
<li>There are 19 changes a side for the Nifty200 Momentum30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December. All names are exactly in line with our forecast.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 64.9% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 72.7bn (US$857m). There are 18 stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>The adds have continued to outperform the deletes even after the end of the review period. There could be further upside heading into year-end and implementation of the changes.</li>
</ul>


There are 19 changes a side for the Nifty200 Momentum30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December. All names are exactly in line with our forecast.
Estimated one-way turnover is 64.9% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 72.7bn (US$857m). There are 18 stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.
The adds have continued to outperform the deletes even after the end of the review period. There could be further upside heading into year-end and implementation of the changes.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: 38 Changes; 65% Turnover; US$1.7bn Trade

<ul>
<li>There could be 19 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December. There are some stocks from the new F&amp;O inclusions.</li>
<li>If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 65.2% and that will result in a one-way trade of INR 71bn (US$837m).</li>
<li>The potential inclusions have outperformed the potential deletions since the start of July. The pace picked up over the last month as we neared the end of the review period.</li>
</ul>


There could be 19 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December. There are some stocks from the new F&amp;O inclusions.
If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 65.2% and that will result in a one-way trade of INR 71bn (US$837m).
The potential inclusions have outperformed the potential deletions since the start of July. The pace picked up over the last month as we neared the end of the review period.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 65% One-Way Turnover and US$1.6bn Trade

<ul>
<li>There could be 17 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December. Some changes from earlier following 45 new F&amp;O stocks.</li>
<li>If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 61.5% and that will result in a one-way trade of INR 63.4bn (US$752m).</li>
<li>The potential inclusions to the index have outperformed the potential deletions since the start of June. This trend could continue for a couple of weeks till the changes are announced.</li>
</ul>


There could be 17 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December. Some changes from earlier following 45 new F&amp;O stocks.
If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 61.5% and that will result in a one-way trade of INR 63.4bn (US$752m).
The potential inclusions to the index have outperformed the potential deletions since the start of June. This trend could continue for a couple of weeks till the changes are announced.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: More Changes with New F&O Stocks

India

ABB India Limited is a leading technology company specializing in electrification, motion, process automation, and robotics. It provides industrial systems and solutions that optimize power, enhance industrial productivity, and enable a more sustainable future across factories, utilities, rail, and infrastructure. The company was incorporated in 1949 and is headquartered in Bengaluru, Karnataka, India.

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ABB India (ABB IN)

India Top Longs | Execution Alpha in a Turning Market

Execution, not narrative, will drive returns—own high-quality operators with visible demand and strong balance sheets, best positioned to...

Pranav Bhavsar

Hitachi Energy India (POWERIND IN): Powering into a Global Index in August

Hitachi Energy India could be added to a global index in Aug. The stock has outperformed peers and trades at significantly higher valuations....

Brian Freitas

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: 38 Changes; 65% Turnover; US$1.7bn Trade

There are 19 changes a side and all names are in line with our forecast. Estimated one-way turnover is 64.9% resulting in a one-way trade of INR...

Brian Freitas

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 65% One-Way Turnover and US$1.6bn Trade

We forecast 19 changes for the index in December. One-way turnover is estimated at 65.2% resulting in a one-way trade of INR 71bn (US$837m). The...

Brian Freitas

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: More Changes with New F&O Stocks

We forecast 17 changes a side for the index in Dec. Some of the changes have changed following 45 new F&O inclusions. The forecast adds have...

Brian Freitas

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