Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our long-term outlook remains neutral on the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) as of our 8/6/24 Compass, after being bullish since early-November 2023.</li>
<li>Since late-July discussed expectations for a 1-to 4-month pullback/consolidation on SPX and QQQ; now it's likely to last closer to four months, and potentially 4- to 6-months from 7/17/24.</li>
<li>At that point the market will decide which way this consolidation resolves. Throughout this pullback we have said that this consolidation could end up being a significant topping pattern.</li>
</ul>


Our long-term outlook remains neutral on the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) as of our 8/6/24 Compass, after being bullish since early-November 2023.
Since late-July discussed expectations for a 1-to 4-month pullback/consolidation on SPX and QQQ; now it's likely to last closer to four months, and potentially 4- to 6-months from 7/17/24.
At that point the market will decide which way this consolidation resolves. Throughout this pullback we have said that this consolidation could end up being a significant topping pattern.


Upgrading Staples, Real Estate, and Health Care to Overweight; List of Concerns Continues to Grow

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/terumo-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6708:1" rel="noopener">Terumo Corp (4543 JP)</a> has reported record high quarterly revenue and profit in Q1FY25, thanks to strong demand across all the business segments, effects of pricing measures, and favorable Fx.</li>
<li>With the steady progress in profit improvement measures, Q1FY25 gross profit margin (53.3%) reached to its highest level since Q2FY22. Operating and net profit growth outpaced that of revenue.</li>
<li>Amid currency uncertainties and inflation, Terumo has maintained its full-year FY25 guidance issued in May. Growth will be driven by US and Europe owing to the sustained increase in demand.</li>
</ul>



Terumo Corp (4543 JP) has reported record high quarterly revenue and profit in Q1FY25, thanks to strong demand across all the business segments, effects of pricing measures, and favorable Fx.
With the steady progress in profit improvement measures, Q1FY25 gross profit margin (53.3%) reached to its highest level since Q2FY22. Operating and net profit growth outpaced that of revenue.
Amid currency uncertainties and inflation, Terumo has maintained its full-year FY25 guidance issued in May. Growth will be driven by US and Europe owing to the sustained increase in demand.


Terumo Corp (4543 JP): Stellar Performance in Q1; Cost Control Measures Are Bearing Fruits

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

<ul><li>Based on the second quarter 2024 results, Abbott Laboratories displayed a strong overall performance cementing its position in various segments, while also highlighting areas that require further attention.</li><li>The company reported organic sales growth of over 9%, excluding COVID testing sales, surpassing analyst expectations and marking a 16% sequential increase from the first quarter.</li><li>This led the company to raise guidance for the full year, now forecasting organic sales growth of 9.5% to 10%, and adjusted earnings per share between $4.61 and $4.71.</li></ul>

Based on the second quarter 2024 results, Abbott Laboratories displayed a strong overall performance cementing its position in various segments, while also highlighting areas that require further attention.The company reported organic sales growth of over 9%, excluding COVID testing sales, surpassing analyst expectations and marking a 16% sequential increase from the first quarter.This led the company to raise guidance for the full year, now forecasting organic sales growth of 9.5% to 10%, and adjusted earnings per share between $4.61 and $4.71.

Abbott Laboratories: Expanding Sensor Technology & Other Innovations! - Major Drivers

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asahi-intecc-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15915:1" rel="noopener">Asahi Intecc (7747 JP)</a> reported strong FY24 result, with all key parameters beating estimates. FY24 revenue exceeds ¥100B, a significant milestone of the mid-term management plan.</li>
<li>For FY25, Asahi Intecc has guided for revenue of ¥117B (up 9% YoY), operating profit of ¥25B (up 14% YoY), and net profit of ¥19B (up 19% YoY).</li>
<li>Growth will be driven by increase in overseas revenue in medical division despite the impact of stronger yen. Positive environment and strong demand enhance conviction on the long-term growth prospect.</li>
</ul>



Asahi Intecc (7747 JP) reported strong FY24 result, with all key parameters beating estimates. FY24 revenue exceeds ¥100B, a significant milestone of the mid-term management plan.
For FY25, Asahi Intecc has guided for revenue of ¥117B (up 9% YoY), operating profit of ¥25B (up 14% YoY), and net profit of ¥19B (up 19% YoY).
Growth will be driven by increase in overseas revenue in medical division despite the impact of stronger yen. Positive environment and strong demand enhance conviction on the long-term growth prospect.


2024 High Conviction Update: Asahi Intecc (7747 JP)- FY24 Result Tops Guidance; Positive Outlook

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Emcure Pharmaceuticals / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/emcure-pharmaceuticals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35585:1" rel="noopener">Emcure Pharmaceuticals</a> raised around US$240m in its India IPO. Subscription rates were strong.</li>
<li>Emcure Pharmaceuticals (EP) is an Indian Pharmaceutical company engaged in the developing, manufacturing and globally marketing a broad range of pharmaceutical products across several major therapeutic areas.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance in our earlier note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Emcure Pharmaceuticals raised around US$240m in its India IPO. Subscription rates were strong.
Emcure Pharmaceuticals (EP) is an Indian Pharmaceutical company engaged in the developing, manufacturing and globally marketing a broad range of pharmaceutical products across several major therapeutic areas.
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our earlier note. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.


Emcure Pharma Pre-IPO Trading - Strong Subscription, Will Pop

United States

Abbott Laboratories discovers, develops, manufactures, and sells a broad and diversified line of health care products and services. The Company's products include pharmaceuticals, nutritional, diagnostics, and vascular products. Abbott markets its products worldwide through affiliates and distributors.

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Abbott Laboratories (ABT US)

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Vermilion Research

Terumo Corp (4543 JP): Stellar Performance in Q1; Cost Control Measures Are Bearing Fruits

Terumo announced buyback of 15K shares (~1% of total outstanding shares) for ¥30B. The company will also conduct a secondary offering of 73M shares...

Tina Banerjee

Abbott Laboratories: Expanding Sensor Technology & Other Innovations! - Major Drivers

Based on the second quarter 2024 results, Abbott Laboratories displayed a strong overall performance cementing its position in various segments,...

Baptista Research

2024 High Conviction Update: Asahi Intecc (7747 JP)- FY24 Result Tops Guidance; Positive Outlook

Asahi Intecc reported ¥100B revenue for FY24, a significant milestone of the mid-term management plan. Even after excluding Fx, the company sees...

Tina Banerjee

Emcure Pharma Pre-IPO Trading - Strong Subscription, Will Pop

Emcure Pharmaceuticals raised around US$240m in its India IPO. Subscription rates were strong for institutional and HNI tranche.

Sumeet Singh

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