Global Editor, Base Oil News

Iain Pocock

Global Editor

Global Base Oils and Lubricants Markets

Base Oil News

Base Oil News focuses on the interplay between fundamentals and prices in the global base oils and lubricants markets.

Baseoilnews.com combines daily, weekly and monthly base oils and lubes fundamentals data from every region of the world to build the most comprehensive and up-to-date global picture of the state of the market.

The data and analysis provide key tools to understand current market developments and opportunities and to anticipate how the market is likely to behave in the coming months.

Base oils producers, lube blenders and consumers can then better plan accordingly.

Baseoilnews.com analyses and publishes market news and data every day as it breaks.

Commodities

<ul><li>Global base oils price premium to feedstock/competing fuel prices stays higher at end-April 2025 than a month earlier.</li><li>Higher margins coincide with seasonal rise in demand and plant maintenance work.</li><li>Higher margins follow sharp fall in crude oil prices.</li></ul>

Global base oils price premium to feedstock/competing fuel prices stays higher at end-April 2025 than a month earlier.Higher margins coincide with seasonal rise in demand and plant maintenance work.Higher margins follow sharp fall in crude oil prices.

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 28 April

<ul><li>US domestic Group I brightstock price outperforms lighter grades and Group II prices.</li><li>US export brightstock prices significantly lag brightstock prices in Europe and Asia.</li><li>Widening price-discount reflects signs of increasingly diverging supply-demand fundamentals between US and Europe and Asia.</li></ul>

US domestic Group I brightstock price outperforms lighter grades and Group II prices.US export brightstock prices significantly lag brightstock prices in Europe and Asia.Widening price-discount reflects signs of increasingly diverging supply-demand fundamentals between US and Europe and Asia.

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 28 April

<ul><li>US base oils price premium to VGO/heating oil prices holds steadier after surging in H1 April 2025.</li><li>Firmer margins and steady prices coincide with signs of slowdown in shipments to markets like West Africa in April 2025.</li><li>Firmer margins and steadier prices coincide with steadier US Group II price discount to imported cargo prices in markets like India.</li></ul>

US base oils price premium to VGO/heating oil prices holds steadier after surging in H1 April 2025.Firmer margins and steady prices coincide with signs of slowdown in shipments to markets like West Africa in April 2025.Firmer margins and steadier prices coincide with steadier US Group II price discount to imported cargo prices in markets like India.

Americas/EMEA base oils supply outlook: Week of 28 April

<ul><li>US base oil demand likely to stay cautious amid persistent uncertainty about outlook for economy and costs.</li><li>Base oils prices hold steady even with lower feedstock prices in April 2025.</li><li>Lower feedstock prices raise concern about exposure to lower base oils prices, incentivizing buyers to hold back.</li></ul>

US base oil demand likely to stay cautious amid persistent uncertainty about outlook for economy and costs.Base oils prices hold steady even with lower feedstock prices in April 2025.Lower feedstock prices raise concern about exposure to lower base oils prices, incentivizing buyers to hold back.

Americas/EMEA base oils demand outlook: Week of 28 April

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), International Securities

International Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

International Securities’ equity research analysis and advisory have been a vital source of market intelligence for our distinguished clients over the years. The equity research team’s main objective is to cover listed equities and to provide thoughtful, insightful, differentiated and timely research that can help clients make informed decisions. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We expect ADNOC Drilling to post 1Q25e core attributable profit of USD338mn, up 23% YoY but down 3% QoQ.</li><li>In 4Q24, the company booked a one-off positive phasing impact of USD50mn which is excluded from our analysis when calculating core profits to ensure a like for like comparison. </li><li>We expect total rig count to increase to 142 rigs, in line with 4Q24, but up from 137 rigs in 1Q24.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

We expect ADNOC Drilling to post 1Q25e core attributable profit of USD338mn, up 23% YoY but down 3% QoQ.In 4Q24, the company booked a one-off positive phasing impact of USD50mn which is excluded from our analysis when calculating core profits to ensure a like for like comparison. We expect total rig count to increase to 142 rigs, in line with 4Q24, but up from 137 rigs in 1Q24.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

1Q25 Quarterly Result Previews - 24 April 2025

United Arab Emirates

Abu Dhabi National Oil Company for Distribution PJSC markets and distributes petroleum products. The Company offers lubricants, liquid propane, greases, and natural gas for vehicles, as well as provides service stations for refueling, oil change, parts replacement, and car washing services. Abu Dhabi National Oil Company for Distribution serves customers worldwide.

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ADNOC Distribution (ADNOCDIS UH)

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 28 April

Global base oils price premium to feedstock/competing fuel prices stays higher at end-April 2025 than a month earlier. Higher margins coincide...

Base Oil News

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 28 April

US domestic Group I brightstock price outperforms lighter grades and Group II prices. US export brightstock prices significantly lag brightstock...

Base Oil News

Americas/EMEA base oils supply outlook: Week of 28 April

US base oils price premium to VGO/heating oil prices holds steadier after surging in H1 April 2025. Firmer margins and steady prices coincide with...

Base Oil News

Americas/EMEA base oils demand outlook: Week of 28 April

US base oil demand likely to stay cautious amid persistent uncertainty about outlook for economy and costs. Base oils prices hold steady even with...

Base Oil News

1Q25 Quarterly Result Previews - 24 April 2025

In 4Q24, the company booked a one-off positive phasing impact of USD50mn which is excluded from our analysis when calculating core profits to...

International Securities

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