Global Editor, Base Oil News

Iain Pocock

Global Editor

Global Base Oils and Lubricants Markets

Base Oil News

Base Oil News focuses on the interplay between fundamentals and prices in the global base oils and lubricants markets.

Baseoilnews.com combines daily, weekly and monthly base oils and lubes fundamentals data from every region of the world to build the most comprehensive and up-to-date global picture of the state of the market.

The data and analysis provide key tools to understand current market developments and opportunities and to anticipate how the market is likely to behave in the coming months.

Base oils producers, lube blenders and consumers can then better plan accordingly.

Baseoilnews.com analyses and publishes market news and data every day as it breaks.

Commodities

<ul><li>US base oils demand typically gets seasonal boost from around this time of the year.</li><li>Any such pick-up in demand in coming weeks could get further support following signs that sustained dip in domestic consumption is bottoming out.</li><li>Domestic demand in Q4 2024 rises from year-earlier levels for first time in two years, falls less than usual from previous quarter.</li></ul>

US base oils demand typically gets seasonal boost from around this time of the year.Any such pick-up in demand in coming weeks could get further support following signs that sustained dip in domestic consumption is bottoming out.Domestic demand in Q4 2024 rises from year-earlier levels for first time in two years, falls less than usual from previous quarter.

Americas/EMEA base oils demand outlook: Week of 10 March

<ul><li>Europe’s Group II base oils prices hold in narrow range vs Group I prices in first two months of 2025.</li><li>Europe Group II prices flip to premium to Europe Group III 4cSt (low) prices in Feb 2025 for first time since mid-2021.</li><li>Relative price-strength of Group II base oils points to firm supply-demand fundamentals vs Group I and Group III base oils.</li></ul>

Europe’s Group II base oils prices hold in narrow range vs Group I prices in first two months of 2025.Europe Group II prices flip to premium to Europe Group III 4cSt (low) prices in Feb 2025 for first time since mid-2021.Relative price-strength of Group II base oils points to firm supply-demand fundamentals vs Group I and Group III base oils.

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 10 March

<ul><li>Base oils prices extend rise vs feedstock/competing fuel prices in Asia and Europe, pointing to tighter supply-demand fundamentals.</li><li>US base oils premium to VGO/heating oil stays in narrower range, lagging rise in Asia and Europe.</li><li>Dynamic points to diverging fundamentals between US and other regions.</li></ul>

Base oils prices extend rise vs feedstock/competing fuel prices in Asia and Europe, pointing to tighter supply-demand fundamentals.US base oils premium to VGO/heating oil stays in narrower range, lagging rise in Asia and Europe.Dynamic points to diverging fundamentals between US and other regions.

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 10 March

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), International Securities

International Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

International Securities’ equity research analysis and advisory have been a vital source of market intelligence for our distinguished clients over the years. The equity research team’s main objective is to cover listed equities and to provide thoughtful, insightful, differentiated and timely research that can help clients make informed decisions. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>MSCI UAE standard index expected to see an overall inflow of USD303.2mn.</li><li>Emar Development added to the MSCI UAE standard index taking the total number of UAE constituents to 13 in EM standard index </li><li>All existing Standard Index constituents are expected to witness slight inflows in proportion of their weight in the Index. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

MSCI UAE standard index expected to see an overall inflow of USD303.2mn.Emar Development added to the MSCI UAE standard index taking the total number of UAE constituents to 13 in EM standard index All existing Standard Index constituents are expected to witness slight inflows in proportion of their weight in the Index. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>We expect ADNOC Drilling to post 4Q24e core attributable profit of USD335mn, up 22% YoY and flat QoQ.</li><li>This would take the FY24 core profits to USD1.24bn, up 27% YoY.</li><li>Core profits remove the impact of one-off USD55mn depreciation reversal booked in 4Q23.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We expect ADNOC Drilling to post 4Q24e core attributable profit of USD335mn, up 22% YoY and flat QoQ.This would take the FY24 core profits to USD1.24bn, up 27% YoY.Core profits remove the impact of one-off USD55mn depreciation reversal booked in 4Q23.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

4Q24 Quarterly Result Previews - 30th January 2025

United Arab Emirates

Abu Dhabi National Oil Company for Distribution PJSC markets and distributes petroleum products. The Company offers lubricants, liquid propane, greases, and natural gas for vehicles, as well as provides service stations for refueling, oil change, parts replacement, and car washing services. Abu Dhabi National Oil Company for Distribution serves customers worldwide.

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ADNOC Distribution (ADNOCDIS UH)

Americas/EMEA base oils demand outlook: Week of 10 March

US base oils demand typically gets seasonal boost from around this time of the year. Any such pick-up in demand in coming weeks could get further...

Base Oil News

Global base oils arb outlook: Week of 10 March

Europe’s Group II base oils prices hold in narrow range vs Group I prices in first two months of 2025. Europe Group II prices flip to premium to...

Base Oil News

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 10 March

Base oils prices extend rise vs feedstock/competing fuel prices in Asia and Europe, pointing to tighter supply-demand fundamentals. US base oils...

Base Oil News

MSCI EM Feb-2025 Index Review

Emar Development added to the MSCI UAE standard index taking the total number of UAE constituents to 13 in EM standard index

International Securities

4Q24 Quarterly Result Previews - 30th January 2025

We expect ADNOC Drilling to post 4Q24e core attributable profit of USD335mn, up 22% YoY and flat QoQ. This would take the FY24 core profits to...

International Securities

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