Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Mar 13th. The aggregated short interest was USD14.5bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Samsung Electronics, HANWHA AEROSPACE, Samsung SDI, HANWHA SYSTEMS, Hyundai Motor.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of KRX stocks as of Mar 13th. The aggregated short interest was USD14.5bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Samsung Electronics, HANWHA AEROSPACE, Samsung SDI, HANWHA SYSTEMS, Hyundai Motor.


KRX Short Interest Weekly (Mar 13th): Samsung Electronics, HANWHA AEROSPACE, Samsung SDI

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Korea Exchange announced the KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 indices constituents changes today. </li>
<li>Kum Yang (001570 KS) and Cosmochemical (005420 KS) were included in the KOSPI 200. Dongwon Industries (006040 KS) and Hwaseung Enterprise (241590 KS) were excluded in KOSPI 200 index.</li>
<li>We expect continued underperformance of Kumyang and Cosmo Chemical as many investors will now start to sell these stocks based on <em>"buy on rumor, sell on news"</em> strategy.</li>
</ul>


Korea Exchange announced the KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 indices constituents changes today. 
Kum Yang (001570 KS) and Cosmochemical (005420 KS) were included in the KOSPI 200. Dongwon Industries (006040 KS) and Hwaseung Enterprise (241590 KS) were excluded in KOSPI 200 index.
We expect continued underperformance of Kumyang and Cosmo Chemical as many investors will now start to sell these stocks based on "buy on rumor, sell on news" strategy.


Trading Strategy Post KRX Rebalance Announcement of KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With 3 trading days left in the review period for the June rebalance, we see 8 potential changes and 2 close adds for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a>. </li>
<li>There are two potential transfers from the KOSDAQ Market to KOSPI Market that could lead to more changes in May and/or June.</li>
<li>Nearly all potential deletions are trading near their lows and short interest has been increasing on some of the stocks. That will be covered closer to implementation of the rebalance.</li>
</ul>


With 3 trading days left in the review period for the June rebalance, we see 8 potential changes and 2 close adds for the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX). 
There are two potential transfers from the KOSDAQ Market to KOSPI Market that could lead to more changes in May and/or June.
Nearly all potential deletions are trading near their lows and short interest has been increasing on some of the stocks. That will be covered closer to implementation of the rebalance.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Adds Starting to Crack (After Huge Outperformance)

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we discuss the potential inclusions and exclusions of the upcoming KOSDAQ 150 rebalance in May 2023.</li>
<li>The next round of KOSDAQ 150 rebalance will be announced in May and it will be effective as of end of May 2023.</li>
<li>Typically, the potential inclusions and exclusions to KOSDAQ 150 make their biggest moves in the one to three months prior to the rebalance announcements.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we discuss the potential inclusions and exclusions of the upcoming KOSDAQ 150 rebalance in May 2023.
The next round of KOSDAQ 150 rebalance will be announced in May and it will be effective as of end of May 2023.
Typically, the potential inclusions and exclusions to KOSDAQ 150 make their biggest moves in the one to three months prior to the rebalance announcements.


Potential Inclusions & Exclusions in KOSDAQ 150 Rebalance in May 2023

<ul>
<li>Two thirds of the way through the review period for the June rebalance, we see 9 potential changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a>. </li>
<li>One-Way turnover is estimated at 3.5%. Impact on the expected deletions is a lot higher than the impact on the expected inclusions and shorts are building up on the deletes.</li>
<li>Since the start of the review period, the potential inclusions have outperformed the potential deletions by nearly 50% and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> by over 20%.</li>
</ul>


Two thirds of the way through the review period for the June rebalance, we see 9 potential changes to the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX). 
One-Way turnover is estimated at 3.5%. Impact on the expected deletions is a lot higher than the impact on the expected inclusions and shorts are building up on the deletes.
Since the start of the review period, the potential inclusions have outperformed the potential deletions by nearly 50% and the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) by over 20%.


KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Outperform Deletes by 50% in 4 Months, EXIT!

South Korea

Ace Technologies Corp. develops and produces various communication equipment parts such as antennas for mobile and base station use.

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Ace Technologies (088800 KS)

KRX Short Interest Weekly (Mar 13th): Samsung Electronics, HANWHA AEROSPACE, Samsung SDI

We analyzed KRX short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Samsung Electronics, HANWHA AEROSPACE, Samsung...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Trading Strategy Post KRX Rebalance Announcement of KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150

Korea Exchange announced the KOSPI 200 and KOSDAQ 150 indices constituents changes today. We expect continued underperformance of Kumyang and Cosmo...

Douglas Kim

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Adds Starting to Crack (After Huge Outperformance)

There could be 8 changes at the regular rebalance plus a couple of ad hoc changes. The potential adds ran up a lot and have started to head lower....

Brian Freitas

Potential Inclusions & Exclusions in KOSDAQ 150 Rebalance in May 2023

We discuss the potential inclusions and exclusions of the upcoming KOSDAQ 150 rebalance in May 2023 which will be announced in May and it will be...

Douglas Kim

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Outperform Deletes by 50% in 4 Months, EXIT!

There could be 9 index changes in June. The potential adds have outperformed the deletes by 50% over the last 4 months and trade at much more...

Brian Freitas

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