Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Several news media outlets reported last week that Tencent has changed its M&amp;A strategy to obtain majority stakes in overseas gaming companies as opposed to buying minority stakes previously.</li>
<li>Tencent’s online game revenue declined YoY for two-consecutive quarters primarily due to decline in domestic game revenue that was impacted by absence of new game titles and minority protection rules.</li>
<li>Our analysis on Tencent’s game downloads and ranks reveal that both domestic and international game revenues would decline further in 3Q2022E.</li>
</ul>


Several news media outlets reported last week that Tencent has changed its M&amp;A strategy to obtain majority stakes in overseas gaming companies as opposed to buying minority stakes previously.
Tencent’s online game revenue declined YoY for two-consecutive quarters primarily due to decline in domestic game revenue that was impacted by absence of new game titles and minority protection rules.
Our analysis on Tencent’s game downloads and ranks reveal that both domestic and international game revenues would decline further in 3Q2022E.


Tencent Seeks Majority Stake in Overseas Game Companies as Game Revenue Slows Down Further

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Lionheart Studio  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lionheart-studio-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36417:1" rel="noopener">Lionheart Studio (426630 KS)</a>, a game development studio based in South Korea,  aims to raise around US$420m via its South Korean IPO.</li>
<li>The company is majority owned by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakao-games-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26730:1" rel="noopener">Kakao Games Corp (293490 KS)</a>, which after having recently hiked its stake, owned 54.94% of the company prior to listing.  </li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Lionheart Studio (426630 KS), a game development studio based in South Korea,  aims to raise around US$420m via its South Korean IPO.
The company is majority owned by Kakao Games Corp (293490 KS), which after having recently hiked its stake, owned 54.94% of the company prior to listing.  
In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


Lion Heart Studio Pre-IPO - The Positives - Got One Hit

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Saudi Arabia's Savvy Games Group has a grand ambition to invest in the global gaming industry. It recently announced that it will invest US$37.8 billion in the global gaming industry.</li>
<li>There has been a sharp appreciation of the USD and Riyal versus JPY which could help to accelerate more M&amp;As of Japanese game companies by SGG.</li>
<li>Saudi Arabia's aggressive push to expand into the global gaming industry could aid this sector in the coming months as it could result in further major M&amp;As in this sector.</li>
</ul>


Saudi Arabia's Savvy Games Group has a grand ambition to invest in the global gaming industry. It recently announced that it will invest US$37.8 billion in the global gaming industry.
There has been a sharp appreciation of the USD and Riyal versus JPY which could help to accelerate more M&amp;As of Japanese game companies by SGG.
Saudi Arabia's aggressive push to expand into the global gaming industry could aid this sector in the coming months as it could result in further major M&amp;As in this sector.


Saudi Arabia Gaming: Plans to Invest $38 Billion in Global Game Industry

<ul>
<li>Multiple new agencies have been reporting that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> plans to trim its investment portfolio over the remainder of the year. </li>
<li>The reports have been coming in since the second half of the year and the company has been duly denying these rumors.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at Tencent’s shareholding in various companies to try and gauge which ones it could sell out of and how.</li>
</ul>


Multiple new agencies have been reporting that Tencent (700 HK) plans to trim its investment portfolio over the remainder of the year. 
The reports have been coming in since the second half of the year and the company has been duly denying these rumors.
In this note, we look at Tencent’s shareholding in various companies to try and gauge which ones it could sell out of and how.


Tencent Investee Selldown - The US$120bn Global Overhang

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

<ul>
<li>Revenue grew by 13% YoY in 2Q22 in spite of headwind.</li>
<li>The company actively expanded outside China to bypass the domestic license shortage.</li>
<li>We believe the stock has an upside of 52% for the end of 2023.</li>
</ul>


Revenue grew by 13% YoY in 2Q22 in spite of headwind.
The company actively expanded outside China to bypass the domestic license shortage.
We believe the stock has an upside of 52% for the end of 2023.


NetEase (9999 HK): 2Q22, Grew Healthily in Spite of Headwind, 52% Upside

United States

Activision Blizzard, Inc. publishes, develops, and distributes interactive entertainment software and peripheral products. The Company's products cover diverse game categories, including action/adventure, action sports, racing, role playing, simulation, first-person action, music-based gaming and strategy.

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Activision Blizzard (ATVI US)

Tencent Seeks Majority Stake in Overseas Game Companies as Game Revenue Slows Down Further

Tencent has been aggressively seeking to acquire majority stakes in overseas game developers. Our analysis on game downloads and ranks reveal that...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Lion Heart Studio Pre-IPO - The Positives - Got One Hit

Lionheart Studio, a game development studio based in South Korea, aims to raise around US$420m via its South Korean IPO. The company is majority...

Sumeet Singh

Saudi Arabia Gaming: Plans to Invest $38 Billion in Global Game Industry

Saudi Arabia's Savvy Games Group has a grand ambition to invest in the global gaming industry. It recently announced that it will invest US$37.8...

Douglas Kim

Tencent Investee Selldown - The US$120bn Global Overhang

There have been multiple reports that Tencent (700 HK) plans to trim its investment portfolio over the remainder of the year. We look at Tencent's...

Sumeet Singh

NetEase (9999 HK): 2Q22, Grew Healthily in Spite of Headwind, 52% Upside

Revenue grew by 13% YoY in 2Q22 in spite of headwind. The company actively expand outside China to bypass the domestic license shortage. We believe...

Ming Lu

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