Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Tanvi Arora

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

<ul>
<li>In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Adani Green Energy</li>
<li>Treasury yields ended slightly higher yesterday, as a larger increase earlier in the day was pared following a robust auction for 5Y notes. The yield on the 2Y UST rose 1 bp to 3.99%, while the yield on the 10Y UST was up 3 bps at 4.48%.</li>
<li>Equities retreated, following news that the Trump administration is moving to restrict the sale of chip design software to China. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite fell 0.6% and 0.5%, respectively, to 5,889 and 19,101.</li>
</ul>


In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Adani Green Energy
Treasury yields ended slightly higher yesterday, as a larger increase earlier in the day was pared following a robust auction for 5Y notes. The yield on the 2Y UST rose 1 bp to 3.99%, while the yield on the 10Y UST was up 3 bps at 4.48%.
Equities retreated, following news that the Trump administration is moving to restrict the sale of chip design software to China. The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite fell 0.6% and 0.5%, respectively, to 5,889 and 19,101.


<ul>
<li>In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Adani Green Energy, Meituan</li>
<li>US equity rose for the sixth consecutive day, the best streak since March 2022, as it continued to look past weak consumer confidence and labour data as well as no signs of an easing in the tariff situation .</li>
<li>The S&amp;P 500 was up by 0.6%, and the Nasdaq by 0.5%. US Treasury yields shrank 3-5 bps across the curve. The biggest move was probably a 6.7% correction in steel prices (HRC), following a YTD spike.</li>
</ul>


In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Adani Green Energy, Meituan
US equity rose for the sixth consecutive day, the best streak since March 2022, as it continued to look past weak consumer confidence and labour data as well as no signs of an easing in the tariff situation .
The S&amp;P 500 was up by 0.6%, and the Nasdaq by 0.5%. US Treasury yields shrank 3-5 bps across the curve. The biggest move was probably a 6.7% correction in steel prices (HRC), following a YTD spike.


<ul>
<li>In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Adani Green Energy, Nickel Industries</li>
<li>The US equity market rebounded overnight to erase earlier losses in the day. The S&amp;P 500 was up for a fifth straight day (its longest streak since November 2024), albeit at just 0.1%.</li>
<li>In the US, the Dallas Fed manufacturing activity index plunged to negative 35.8 (-14.1 e / -16.3 p) in March, reaching its lowest level since May 2020. The survey showed executives describing the situation as "chaos" and "insanity".</li>
</ul>


In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Adani Green Energy, Nickel Industries
The US equity market rebounded overnight to erase earlier losses in the day. The S&amp;P 500 was up for a fifth straight day (its longest streak since November 2024), albeit at just 0.1%.
In the US, the Dallas Fed manufacturing activity index plunged to negative 35.8 (-14.1 e / -16.3 p) in March, reaching its lowest level since May 2020. The survey showed executives describing the situation as "chaos" and "insanity".


<ul>
<li>In the US, the December CPI edged higher to 2.9% y-o-y (2.9% e / 2.7% p) and 0.4% m-o-m (0.4% e / 0.3% p), the fastest monthly pace since March 2024.</li>
<li>That said, core CPI (excluding food and energy) eased marginally to 3.2% y-o-y (3.3% e / 3.3% p) and 0.2% m-o-m (0.3% e / 0.3% p).</li>
<li>Core CPI eased on a m-o-m basis for the first time in six months, after standing at 0.3% for four consecutive months.</li>
</ul>


In the US, the December CPI edged higher to 2.9% y-o-y (2.9% e / 2.7% p) and 0.4% m-o-m (0.4% e / 0.3% p), the fastest monthly pace since March 2024.
That said, core CPI (excluding food and energy) eased marginally to 3.2% y-o-y (3.3% e / 3.3% p) and 0.2% m-o-m (0.3% e / 0.3% p).
Core CPI eased on a m-o-m basis for the first time in six months, after standing at 0.3% for four consecutive months.


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Passive global index trackers sold <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adani-green-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29012:1" rel="noopener">Adani Green Energy (ADANIGR IN)</a> in November following a big drop in free float for the stock.</li>
<li>There could be more selling in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adani-green-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29012:1" rel="noopener">Adani Green Energy</a> in February as the stock is deleted from the same large global index due to failing free float market cap thresholds.</li>
<li>With the company at the center of the U.S indictment focused on bribery charges, active foreign and local investors will be wary of buying the stock.</li>
</ul>


Passive global index trackers sold Adani Green Energy (ADANIGR IN) in November following a big drop in free float for the stock.
There could be more selling in Adani Green Energy in February as the stock is deleted from the same large global index due to failing free float market cap thresholds.
With the company at the center of the U.S indictment focused on bribery charges, active foreign and local investors will be wary of buying the stock.


Adani Green Energy (ADANIGR IN): Facing the Passive Boot; But Who Will Buy?

India

Adani Green Energy Limited operates as a producer of renewable energy. The Company builds, owns, and operates power plants for solar and wind energy. Adani Green Energy serves customers worldwide.


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Adani Green Energy (ADANIGR IN)

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Adani Green Energy Treasury yields ended...

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Adani Green Energy, Meituan

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In today's Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Adani Green Energy, Nickel Industries

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics - Morning Views Asia

In the US, the December CPI edged higher to 2.9% y-o-y (2.9% e / 2.7% p) and 0.4% m-o-m (0.4% e / 0.3% p), the fastest monthly pace since March 2024.

Lucror Analytics

Adani Green Energy (ADANIGR IN): Facing the Passive Boot; But Who Will Buy?

Passives sold Adani Green in November as float dropped. The stock could be deleted from a global index in Feb and that could take the stock lower...

Brian Freitas

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