Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI ACWI ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Global equities under pressure; we discussed in our August 3,2023 Int'l Compass how it could be the start of a ~15% pullback in $ACWI, which would put it at $84-$85.</li>
<li>We also discussed how it is possible that this is a normal 3%-6% pullback to the major $93 support level (which it tested today).</li>
<li>If the 10-year Treasury yield and DXY remain below their respective resistance levels, we remain buyers on this pullback to $93 on ACWI-US.</li>
</ul>


Global equities under pressure; we discussed in our August 3,2023 Int'l Compass how it could be the start of a ~15% pullback in $ACWI, which would put it at $84-$85.
We also discussed how it is possible that this is a normal 3%-6% pullback to the major $93 support level (which it tested today).
If the 10-year Treasury yield and DXY remain below their respective resistance levels, we remain buyers on this pullback to $93 on ACWI-US.


10-Yr Treasury Yield and DXY at Key Inflection Points; $ACWI Testing $93; Energy/HC/Tech/CD Buys

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

SHEIN Global Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shein-global-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:55372:1" rel="noopener">SHEIN Global Holdings</a>, a global online fashion and lifestyle company, aims to raise up to US$3bn in its Hong Kong listing.</li>
<li>Shein is a global online fashion and lifestyle company serving approximately 273m active customers in approximately 160 markets in 2025.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance and undertaken a peer comparison in our previous notes. In this note, we talk about valuations.</li>
</ul>



SHEIN Global Holdings, a global online fashion and lifestyle company, aims to raise up to US$3bn in its Hong Kong listing.
Shein is a global online fashion and lifestyle company serving approximately 273m active customers in approximately 160 markets in 2025.
We have looked at the company’s past performance and undertaken a peer comparison in our previous notes. In this note, we talk about valuations.


Aequitas: Shein Global Holdings Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shein-global-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:55372:1" rel="noopener">SHEIN Global Holdings (SHEIN HK)</a>, a global online fashion and lifestyle company, aims to raise up to US$3bn in its Hong Kong listing.</li>
<li>Shein is a global online fashion and lifestyle company serving approximately 273m active customers in approximately 160 markets in 2025.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous note. In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison.</li>
</ul>



SHEIN Global Holdings (SHEIN HK), a global online fashion and lifestyle company, aims to raise up to US$3bn in its Hong Kong listing.
Shein is a global online fashion and lifestyle company serving approximately 273m active customers in approximately 160 markets in 2025.
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous note. In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison.


Aequitas: Shein Global Holdings Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shein-global-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:55372:1" rel="noopener">SHEIN Global Holdings (SHEIN HK)</a>, a global online fashion and lifestyle company, is pre-marketing a HKEx IPO to raise US$3 billion.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/shein-global-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:248212" rel="noopener">SHEIN Global IPO: The Bull Case</a>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.</li>
<li>The bear case rests on a business model under severe strain, as reflected in rapidly declining growth, margin pressure, and down rounds. </li>
</ul>



SHEIN Global Holdings (SHEIN HK), a global online fashion and lifestyle company, is pre-marketing a HKEx IPO to raise US$3 billion.
In SHEIN Global IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
The bear case rests on a business model under severe strain, as reflected in rapidly declining growth, margin pressure, and down rounds. 


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shein-global-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:55372:1" rel="noopener">SHEIN Global Holdings (SHEIN HK)</a>, a global online fashion and lifestyle company, aims to raise up to US$3bn in its Hong Kong listing.</li>
<li>Shein is a global online fashion and lifestyle company serving approximately 273m active customers in approximately 160 markets in 2025.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal. </li>
</ul>



SHEIN Global Holdings (SHEIN HK), a global online fashion and lifestyle company, aims to raise up to US$3bn in its Hong Kong listing.
Shein is a global online fashion and lifestyle company serving approximately 273m active customers in approximately 160 markets in 2025.
In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal. 


Aequitas: Shein - The Negatives - Controversies, Down Rounds, Cash Payouts & Earning as Well.

Germany

adidas AG manufactures sports shoes and sports equipment. The Company produces products that include footwear, sports apparel, and golf clubs and balls. adidas sells its products worldwide.

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adidas (ADDYY US)

10-Yr Treasury Yield and DXY at Key Inflection Points; $ACWI Testing $93; Energy/HC/Tech/CD Buys

Test of Key Supports: $93 on $ACWI, $47.50 on $ACWX, $70 on $EFA, 4200 on EURO $STOXX 50. As long as 10-Yr Treasury Yield $TNX and $DXY remain...

Vermilion Research

Aequitas: Shein Global Holdings Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

SHEIN Global Holdings, a global online fashion and lifestyle company, aims to raise up to US$3bn in its Hong Kong listing. In this note, we talk...

Sumeet Singh

Aequitas: Shein Global Holdings Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison

SHEIN Global Holdings (SHEIN HK), a global online fashion and lifestyle company, aims to raise up to US$3bn in its Hong Kong listing. In this note,...

Sumeet Singh

SHEIN Global IPO: The Bear Case

SHEIN, a global online fashion and lifestyle company, is pre-marketing an HKEx IPO to raise US$3 billion. In this note, I discuss the bear case.

Arun George

Aequitas: Shein - The Negatives - Controversies, Down Rounds, Cash Payouts & Earning as Well.

SHEIN Global Holdings, a global online fashion and lifestyle company, aims to raise up to US$3bn in its Hong Kong listing. In this note, we talk...

Sumeet Singh

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52-week Range

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