Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Aditya Birla Lifestyle Brands / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The ABLBL demerger creates a focused entity with market-leading premium brands, providing a stable foundation by separating the high-margin apparel business from ABFRL’s weaker assets.</li>
<li>ABLBL core lifestyle portfolio, including Louis Philippe and Peter England, boasts dominant market share in key segments and enjoys exceptionally strong brand recall among consumers.</li>
<li>Future growth hinges on wildcards American Eagle and Reebok. The Reebok turnaround offers significant upside by tapping into the high-growth, lucrative Indian sportswear and athleisure market.</li>
</ul>


The ABLBL demerger creates a focused entity with market-leading premium brands, providing a stable foundation by separating the high-margin apparel business from ABFRL’s weaker assets.
ABLBL core lifestyle portfolio, including Louis Philippe and Peter England, boasts dominant market share in key segments and enjoys exceptionally strong brand recall among consumers.
Future growth hinges on wildcards American Eagle and Reebok. The Reebok turnaround offers significant upside by tapping into the high-growth, lucrative Indian sportswear and athleisure market.


Aditya Birla Lifestyle Brands (ABLBL IN) | A Sportswear Wildcard

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders  / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>We forecast 10 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 11 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 10 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 13 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.</li>
<li>From the new listings, 1 stock is expected to be added to Large cap, 2 stocks are expected to be added to Mid Cap, and multiple stocks to Small Cap.</li>
<li>There are multiple stocks among the AMFI changes that will be changes for global indices, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Next 50 Index</a> and/or Nifty Midcap 150 Index in September.</li>
</ul>


We forecast 10 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 11 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 10 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 13 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.
From the new listings, 1 stock is expected to be added to Large cap, 2 stocks are expected to be added to Mid Cap, and multiple stocks to Small Cap.
There are multiple stocks among the AMFI changes that will be changes for global indices, NIFTY Index, NSE Nifty Next 50 Index and/or Nifty Midcap 150 Index in September.


AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Jun 2025): Active Flows Lead to Passive Flows

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail / Equity Bottom-Up

Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail (ABFRL IN)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aditya-birla-fashion-and-retail-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19048:1" rel="noopener">Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd (ABFRL IN)</a> demerged its business into two focussed entities, ABLBL(Stable Business) and ABFRL(High growth Business).</li>
<li>The separation aligns capital with business maturity isolating cash-generating lifestyle brands from high-growth, capital-hungry verticals like ethnic, luxury, and digital-first.</li>
<li>The two entities are targeting a combined INR 30,000 Cr in revenue and 3x cash profit by FY30 through unlocking sharper execution, better capital efficiency, and distinct investor appeal.</li>
</ul>



Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd (ABFRL IN) demerged its business into two focussed entities, ABLBL(Stable Business) and ABFRL(High growth Business).
The separation aligns capital with business maturity isolating cash-generating lifestyle brands from high-growth, capital-hungry verticals like ethnic, luxury, and digital-first.
The two entities are targeting a combined INR 30,000 Cr in revenue and 3x cash profit by FY30 through unlocking sharper execution, better capital efficiency, and distinct investor appeal.


Event Driven: ABFRL~ Value Unlocking Through Strategic Demerger

India

Aditya Birla Lifestyle Brands Limited (ABLBL) is a leading Indian branded apparel company. It engages in the retail of garments and accessories, including western wear brands like Louis Philippe, Van Heusen, Allen Solly, Peter England, and Simon Carter, as well as sportswear under Reebok and innerwear under Van Heusen. The company operates a retail footprint of over 4.8 million sq. ft., with a network of exclusive brand outlets, multi-brand outlets, and shop-in-shops across India. ABLBL was incorporated in 2024 and is headquartered in Mumbai, India.

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Aditya Birla Lifestyle Brands (ABLBL IN)