Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The SET50 index tracks the performance of the top 50 largest and most liquid names listed on the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET).</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs/DELs for SET 50 during the index rebal event in June 2025.</li>
<li>Currently, we expect four ADDs and four DELs. There are roughly two more months left in the reference period.</li>
</ul>


The SET50 index tracks the performance of the top 50 largest and most liquid names listed on the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET).
In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs/DELs for SET 50 during the index rebal event in June 2025.
Currently, we expect four ADDs and four DELs. There are roughly two more months left in the reference period.


Quiddity Leaderboard SET50 Jun25: Four Changes Likely; Capping to Be Introduced

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Apr 4th.We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD1.8bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Airports of Thailand, PTT E&amp;P, Bangkok Bank, Kasikornbank, CP ALL, CP AXTRA NVDR, Thai Oil, Supalai, Siri Prime Office Property Fd.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Apr 4th.We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD1.8bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Airports of Thailand, PTT E&amp;P, Bangkok Bank, Kasikornbank, CP ALL, CP AXTRA NVDR, Thai Oil, Supalai, Siri Prime Office Property Fd.


Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Apr 4th): Airports of Thailand, PTT E&P, Bangkok Bank, Kasikornbank

Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>As the trade war threatens to upend Asian economies' export driven growth, most will have to provide monetary and fiscal stimuli to boost domestic consumption and investments.</li>
<li>Studying their real policy rates, inflation trajectories, public debt to GDP and Government's borrowing cost, we assess which economies have adequate headroom to provide monetary and fiscal stimuli.</li>
<li>China, Korea and Thailand have adequate space to provide both monetary and fiscal stimulus. India can loosen monetary policy but not fiscal policy. Indonesia and Philippines are in India's camp.</li>
</ul>


As the trade war threatens to upend Asian economies' export driven growth, most will have to provide monetary and fiscal stimuli to boost domestic consumption and investments.
Studying their real policy rates, inflation trajectories, public debt to GDP and Government's borrowing cost, we assess which economies have adequate headroom to provide monetary and fiscal stimuli.
China, Korea and Thailand have adequate space to provide both monetary and fiscal stimulus. India can loosen monetary policy but not fiscal policy. Indonesia and Philippines are in India's camp.


Asia: Look for Economies with Headroom for Policy Support

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Mar 28th.We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD0.8bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in CP AXTRA NVDR, Thai Oil, Central Pattana, Indorama Ventures, PTT E&amp;P, Airports of Thailand, Kasikornbank, Bangkok Bank, CP ALL.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Mar 28th.We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD0.8bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in CP AXTRA NVDR, Thai Oil, Central Pattana, Indorama Ventures, PTT E&amp;P, Airports of Thailand, Kasikornbank, Bangkok Bank, CP ALL.


Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Mar 28th): CP AXTRA, Thai Oil, Central Pattana, Indorama Ventures

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Back in March of last year, Bloomberg reported,that Renaldo Santosa and his family, who collectively controlled ~75.5% of agri-play <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japfa-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15597:1" rel="noopener">Japfa Ltd (JAP SP)</a>, were considering taking Japfa private.</li>
<li>This was discussed in<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/compose/insight/174028/%20https:/skr.ma/iKVsA" target="_blank" rel="noopener"> Japfa (JAP SP): Impressive Gain. But No Firm Offer</a>. Then crickets. </li>
<li>The family has now pitched an Offer of S$0.62/share, by way of  a Scheme, a 34.8% premium to undisturbed. That's probably enough to get this over the line. </li>
</ul>


Back in March of last year, Bloomberg reported,that Renaldo Santosa and his family, who collectively controlled ~75.5% of agri-play Japfa Ltd (JAP SP), were considering taking Japfa private.
This was discussed in Japfa (JAP SP): Impressive Gain. But No Firm Offer. Then crickets. 
The family has now pitched an Offer of S$0.62/share, by way of  a Scheme, a 34.8% premium to undisturbed. That's probably enough to get this over the line. 


Japfa (JAP SP): The Santosa Family (Finally) Makes A Move

Thailand

Advanced Info Service Public Company Limited is granted a 25-year concession expiring the year 2015 by the Telephone Organization of Thailand to provide cellular phone services.  The Company provides analog mobile phone services through the Nordic Mobile Telephone (NMT900) network, and digital phone services through the Global Systems for Mobile Communication (GSM) network.

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Advanced Info Service (ADVANC TB)

Quiddity Leaderboard SET50 Jun25: Four Changes Likely; Capping to Be Introduced

There could be 4x ADV to buy in Thanachart (TCAP TB) and we see this as a high-conviction ADD. Some of the other ADDs/DELs are closer to the border...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Apr 4th): Airports of Thailand, PTT E&P, Bangkok Bank, Kasikornbank

We analyzed SET short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Airports of Thailand, PTT E&P, Bangkok Bank,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia: Look for Economies with Headroom for Policy Support

Trade war threatens Asian economies' export-driven growth, necessitating monetary/fiscal stimuli. CN, KR, TH have room for both, India for...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Mar 28th): CP AXTRA, Thai Oil, Central Pattana, Indorama Ventures

We analyzed SET short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in CP AXTRA NVDR, Thai Oil, Central Pattana,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Japfa (JAP SP): The Santosa Family (Finally) Makes A Move

Scheme Doc dispatched. 15th April Scheme Meeting. Payment on or around the 30th May. With a fair value range of S$0.53 to S$0.56/share, the IFA...

David Blennerhassett

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Quiddity Leaderboard SET50 Jun25: Four Changes Likely; Capping to Be Introduced

There could be 4x ADV to buy in Thanachart (TCAP TB) and we see this as a high-conviction ADD. Some of the other ADDs/DELs are closer to the border...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Apr 4th): Airports of Thailand, PTT E&P, Bangkok Bank, Kasikornbank

We analyzed SET short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Airports of Thailand, PTT E&P, Bangkok Bank,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia: Look for Economies with Headroom for Policy Support

​Trade war threatens Asian economies' export-driven growth, necessitating monetary/fiscal stimuli. CN, KR, TH have room for both, India for...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Mar 28th): CP AXTRA, Thai Oil, Central Pattana, Indorama Ventures

We analyzed SET short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in CP AXTRA NVDR, Thai Oil, Central Pattana,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Japfa (JAP SP): The Santosa Family (Finally) Makes A Move

Scheme Doc dispatched. 15th April Scheme Meeting. Payment on or around the 30th May. With a fair value range of S$0.53 to S$0.56/share, the IFA...

David Blennerhassett

Trade war threatens Asian economies' export-driven growth, necessitating monetary/fiscal stimuli. CN, KR, TH have room for both, India for...