Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Technology Select Sector SPDR / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our outlook remains bearish at the index level considering we have yet to see any developments that suggest a bottom is in. </li>
<li>The S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), Russell 2000 (IWM), and Russell Micro Cap (IWC) indexes remain in downtrends.</li>
<li>In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Materials, Manufacturing,  Services, and Utilities: MA-14 Fertilizer, MF-15 Railroad Equipment &amp; Products, SV-13 Construction &amp; Engineering, Large-Cap, UT-04 Electric, Mid-Atlantic</li>
</ul>


Our outlook remains bearish at the index level considering we have yet to see any developments that suggest a bottom is in. 
The S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), Russell 2000 (IWM), and Russell Micro Cap (IWC) indexes remain in downtrends.
In today’s report we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Materials, Manufacturing,  Services, and Utilities: MA-14 Fertilizer, MF-15 Railroad Equipment &amp; Products, SV-13 Construction &amp; Engineering, Large-Cap, UT-04 Electric, Mid-Atlantic


IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Hyundai Engineering   / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-engineering-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33008:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Engineering Co Ltd (HEC KS)</a> has launched its IPO to raise US$0.8-1.0 billion at the price range of KRW57,900-75,700 per share.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/hyundai-engineering-ipo-initiation-building-on-good-foundations" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:63360" rel="noopener">Hyundai Engineering IPO Initiation: Building on Good Foundations</a>, we stated that HEC has attractive fundamentals with a strong backlog, healthy book-to-bill, improving 3Q21 revenue growth and improving margins. </li>
<li>In this note, we look at the syndicate's valuation methodology and present our valuation methodology. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is unattractive. </li>
</ul>



Hyundai Engineering Co Ltd (HEC KS) has launched its IPO to raise US$0.8-1.0 billion at the price range of KRW57,900-75,700 per share.
In Hyundai Engineering IPO Initiation: Building on Good Foundations, we stated that HEC has attractive fundamentals with a strong backlog, healthy book-to-bill, improving 3Q21 revenue growth and improving margins. 
In this note, we look at the syndicate's valuation methodology and present our valuation methodology. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is unattractive. 


Hyundai Engineering IPO: Valuation Insights

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-engineering-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33008:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Engineering Co Ltd (HEC KS)</a>/HEC is a leading global EPC (Engineering, Procurement and Construction) contractor. It is seeking to raise up to $1 billion.  </li>
<li>HEC is offering 16.0 million shares with a primary/secondary split of 25/75 at an indicative price range of KRW57,900-66,800 per share.</li>
<li>HEG has attractive fundamentals with a strong backlog, healthy book-to-bill, improving 3Q21 revenue growth and improving margins. </li>
</ul>



Hyundai Engineering Co Ltd (HEC KS)/HEC is a leading global EPC (Engineering, Procurement and Construction) contractor. It is seeking to raise up to $1 billion.  
HEC is offering 16.0 million shares with a primary/secondary split of 25/75 at an indicative price range of KRW57,900-66,800 per share.
HEG has attractive fundamentals with a strong backlog, healthy book-to-bill, improving 3Q21 revenue growth and improving margins. 


Hyundai Engineering IPO Initiation: Building on Good Foundations

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>The success of this IPO depends on whether Hyundai Engineering can present a growth story that can justify a valuation premium of up to twice that of the local peers.</li>
<li>Of course, Hyundai Engineering is indeed in an advantageous position compared to the local competitors because it can present synergies with Hyundai Motor Group affiliates.</li>
<li>However, it depends on how specific a picture of financial growth is presented, which will be a significant challenge for Hyundai Engineering as well.</li>
</ul>


The success of this IPO depends on whether Hyundai Engineering can present a growth story that can justify a valuation premium of up to twice that of the local peers.
Of course, Hyundai Engineering is indeed in an advantageous position compared to the local competitors because it can present synergies with Hyundai Motor Group affiliates.
However, it depends on how specific a picture of financial growth is presented, which will be a significant challenge for Hyundai Engineering as well.


Hyundai Engineering IPO: Offering Details, Valuation Issues, & Index Fast Entry

<p>Last week we noted some deterioration in market dynamics, all while reiterating our overall constructive outlook looking weeks and months ahead. The fact is, “perfectly bullish” conditions rarely exist, and a weight of the evidence approach is necessary. To that end, the positives continue to outweigh the negatives and our outlook remains constructive.</p>

Last week we noted some deterioration in market dynamics, all while reiterating our overall constructive outlook looking weeks and months ahead. The fact is, “perfectly bullish” conditions rarely exist, and a weight of the evidence approach is necessary. To that end, the positives continue to outweigh the negatives and our outlook remains constructive.

United States

AECOM provides professional technical services to the United States government, state, local, and non-U.S. governments and agencies, and commercial customers.  The Company's services include consulting, planning, architecture, engineering, construction management, project management, asset management, environmental services, and design-build services.

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Aecom (ACM US)

Downgrading Technology To Underweight

Downgrading Technology to underweight. Attractive and actionable stocks highlighted: Fertilizer, Railroad Equipment & Products, Construction &...

Vermilion Research

Hyundai Engineering IPO: Valuation Insights

HEC has launched its IPO to raise US$0.8-1.0 bn. Our valuation analysis suggests that HEC is fairly valued at the low end of the IPO price range....

Arun George

Hyundai Engineering IPO Initiation: Building on Good Foundations

HEC is seeking to raise up to $1 billion. HEG has attractive fundamentals with a strong backlog, healthy book-to-bill, improving 3Q21 revenue...

Arun George

Hyundai Engineering IPO: Offering Details, Valuation Issues, & Index Fast Entry

Hyundai Engineering, another big fish in Korea's local IPO market, put out its listing prospectus. The company offers 16M shares, representing...

Sanghyun Park

Breakaway Gaps In Place

Market dynamics are not perfect, but the fact is that “perfectly bullish” conditions rarely exist. The positives continue to outweigh the negatives...

Vermilion Research

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