Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance of the KRX New Deal indices started on 1 May and will run till 29 July. Implementation is on 8 September.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intellian-technologies-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34895:1" rel="noopener">Intellian Technologies (189300 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seojin-system-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24032:1" rel="noopener">Seojin System Co, Ltd. (178320 KS)</a> could replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/danal-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19682:1" rel="noopener">Danal Co Ltd (064260 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kcp-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16045:1" rel="noopener">Kcp Co Ltd (060250 KS)</a> in the Internet Index.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nexon-games-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35967:1" rel="noopener">Nexon Games (225570 KS)</a> could replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/devsisters-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14096:1" rel="noopener">Devsisters (194480 KS)</a> in the Game Index, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kmw-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2834:1" rel="noopener">KMW Co Ltd (032500 KS)</a> could replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/afreecatv-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20163:1" rel="noopener">AfreecaTV (067160 KS)</a> in the BBIG Index.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance of the KRX New Deal indices started on 1 May and will run till 29 July. Implementation is on 8 September.

Intellian Technologies (189300 KS) and Seojin System Co, Ltd. (178320 KS) could replace Danal Co Ltd (064260 KS) and Kcp Co Ltd (060250 KS) in the Internet Index.

Nexon Games (225570 KS) could replace Devsisters (194480 KS) in the Game Index, and KMW Co Ltd (032500 KS) could replace AfreecaTV (067160 KS) in the BBIG Index.


KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: KMW Into BBIG to Drive Flows

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we discuss the recent buying and selling by the Korea National Pension Service (NPS) of Korean stocks.</li>
<li>Of the 176 Korean stocks in which NPS reported changes in ownerships in 2Q 2022, NPS increased its stakes in 115 companies and reduced stakes in 61 companies.</li>
<li>NPS mostly increased stakes in aerospace, defense, construction equipment, and energy sectors while reducing stakes in telecom and tourism related stocks.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we discuss the recent buying and selling by the Korea National Pension Service (NPS) of Korean stocks.
Of the 176 Korean stocks in which NPS reported changes in ownerships in 2Q 2022, NPS increased its stakes in 115 companies and reduced stakes in 61 companies.
NPS mostly increased stakes in aerospace, defense, construction equipment, and energy sectors while reducing stakes in telecom and tourism related stocks.


NPS Sells SK Bioscience, Naver, & LG Electronics and Buys Kakao Bank, Lotte Corp, & Samyang Foods

<ul>
<li>The review period for the September rebalance of the KRX New Deal indices started on 1 May and will run till 31 July. Implementation is on 8 September.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intellian-technologies-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34895:1" rel="noopener">Intellian Technologies (189300)</a> could replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/danal-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19682:1" rel="noopener">Danal Co Ltd (064260)</a> in the Internet index, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kmw-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2834:1" rel="noopener">KMW Co Ltd (032500 KS)</a> could replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/afreecatv-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20163:1" rel="noopener">AfreecaTV (067160 KS)</a> in the top 3 index stocks.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nexon-games-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35967:1" rel="noopener">Nexon Games (225570 KS)</a> could replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/devsisters-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14096:1" rel="noopener">Devsisters (194480 KS)</a> in the Game Index, though the flows are small on the stocks given the small benchmarked AUM.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the September rebalance of the KRX New Deal indices started on 1 May and will run till 31 July. Implementation is on 8 September.

Intellian Technologies (189300) could replace Danal Co Ltd (064260) in the Internet index, while KMW Co Ltd (032500 KS) could replace AfreecaTV (067160 KS) in the top 3 index stocks.

Nexon Games (225570 KS) could replace Devsisters (194480 KS) in the Game Index, though the flows are small on the stocks given the small benchmarked AUM.


KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Buying on KMW; Selling on AfreecaTV

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>One Store revised its IPO filings, changing the comps but maintaining the same price range of 34,300 won to 41,700 won.</li>
<li>The bankers used new comps in the valuation analysis (Tencent, Naver, Kakao Corp, and Nexon). The P/S multiple is slightly higher than previously but IPO discount range is also higher.</li>
<li>Our target price of 48,713 won is 28% higher than the mid-point of the IPO price range of 38,000 won. </li>
</ul>


One Store revised its IPO filings, changing the comps but maintaining the same price range of 34,300 won to 41,700 won.
The bankers used new comps in the valuation analysis (Tencent, Naver, Kakao Corp, and Nexon). The P/S multiple is slightly higher than previously but IPO discount range is also higher.
Our target price of 48,713 won is 28% higher than the mid-point of the IPO price range of 38,000 won. 


One Store IPO: Changes Comps But Maintains Same IPO Price Range

<ul>
<li>Our base case valuation of OneStore is market cap of 1.3 trillion won and target price of 48,713 won per share (28% higher than the IPO mid-point price range).</li>
<li>Our valuation of the company is based on P/S multiple of 4.8x (average of the peers) using our estimated sales of 269 billion won for the company in 2022. </li>
<li>In our comparable companies valuation analysis, we have used the following four Korean companies as comps including Kakao Corp, Naver Corp (035420 KS), AfreecaTV (067160 KS), Kidari Studio (020120 KS).</li>
</ul>


Our base case valuation of OneStore is market cap of 1.3 trillion won and target price of 48,713 won per share (28% higher than the IPO mid-point price range).
Our valuation of the company is based on P/S multiple of 4.8x (average of the peers) using our estimated sales of 269 billion won for the company in 2022. 
In our comparable companies valuation analysis, we have used the following four Korean companies as comps including Kakao Corp, Naver Corp (035420 KS), AfreecaTV (067160 KS), Kidari Studio (020120 KS).


South Korea

AfreecaTV CO.,LTD. provides digital media storage, streaming, downloading, video on demand, advertising services, contents delivery network, and internet games.

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AfreecaTV (067160 KS)

KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: KMW Into BBIG to Drive Flows

We see 2 changes for the Internet Index and 1 for the Game Index. More importantly, KMW couple replace AfreecaTV in the BBIG Index and that will...

Brian Freitas

NPS Sells SK Bioscience, Naver, & LG Electronics and Buys Kakao Bank, Lotte Corp, & Samyang Foods

NPS moves the Korean stock market more than any other investor. In this insight, we discuss the recent buying and selling by the Korea National...

Douglas Kim

KRX New Deal Index Rebalance Preview: Buying on KMW; Selling on AfreecaTV

The September rebalance of the KRX New Deal Indices could see buying on KMW & selling on AfreecaTV. There will be other changes too but the impact...

Brian Freitas

One Store IPO: Changes Comps But Maintains Same IPO Price Range

The bankers used new comps in the OneStore IPO valuation analysis (Tencent, Naver, Kakao Corp, and Nexon). The P/S multiple is slightly higher than...

Douglas Kim

OneStore IPO Valuation Analysis

Our base case valuation of OneStore is market cap of 1.3 trillion won and target price of 48,713 won per share (28% higher than the IPO mid-point...

Douglas Kim

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52-week Range

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