Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Guangzhou Automobile Group / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>AH Premia continue to fall. Spread curve torsion was a barbell this week. Narrow and wide spreads see Hs outperform. Middling spreads outperform less.</li>
<li>To me, warning signs are flashing on spreads. They are at their narrowest in 5yrs and they are volatile, though volatility is coming down.</li>
<li>Lots of spreads see the HA premium less than 15%. That is historically tight.</li>
</ul>


AH Premia continue to fall. Spread curve torsion was a barbell this week. Narrow and wide spreads see Hs outperform. Middling spreads outperform less.
To me, warning signs are flashing on spreads. They are at their narrowest in 5yrs and they are volatile, though volatility is coming down.
Lots of spreads see the HA premium less than 15%. That is historically tight.


A/H Premium Tracker (To 21 Mar 2025):  AH Premia Still Falling; Expect Curve Torsion or AH Widening

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 150 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 83.3% as of Mar 21st.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -0.4ppt week-on-week, led by utilities, consumer discretionary, communication services and offset by consumer staples, financials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Huadian Power, Livzon Pharma, Joinn Lab, Maanshan Iron&amp;Steel, Datang Intl Power.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 150 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 83.3% as of Mar 21st.
The average A-H premium changed by -0.4ppt week-on-week, led by utilities, consumer discretionary, communication services and offset by consumer staples, financials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Huadian Power, Livzon Pharma, Joinn Lab, Maanshan Iron&amp;Steel, Datang Intl Power.


A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 21st): 47 Stocks at 52 Week High A-H Premium

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 14th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Trip.Com (9961 HK), ABC (1288 HK), BYD (1211 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 14th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Trip.Com (9961 HK), ABC (1288 HK), BYD (1211 HK).


HK Short Interest Weekly: Trip.Com, ABC, BYD

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 21st.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Ke, China Mobile, Alibaba, Kuaishou, BOC, China Resources Beer, SMIC, Meituan.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 21st.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Ke, China Mobile, Alibaba, Kuaishou, BOC, China Resources Beer, SMIC, Meituan.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Mar 21st): Ke, China Mobile, Alibaba, Kuaishou, BOC, CR Beer, SMIC

A/H Premium Tracker (To 14 Mar 2025):  AH Premia Still Falling; Expect Curve Torsion or AH Widening

China

Agricultural Bank of China Limited provides a full range of commercial banking services. The Banks services includes RMB and foreign currency deposit, loan, international and domestic settlement, bill discount, currency trading, bank guarantee, and treasury bill underwriting.

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Agricultural Bank of China (601288 CH)

A/H Premium Tracker (To 21 Mar 2025): AH Premia Still Falling; Expect Curve Torsion or AH Widening

AH Premia continue to fall on average, but the outperformance is slowing, and the better buying in some sectors (banks) appears to be technically...

Travis Lundy

A-H Premium Weekly (Mar 21st): 47 Stocks at 52 Week High A-H Premium

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Huadian Power, Livzon Pharma, Joinn Lab, Maanshan...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: Trip.Com, ABC, BYD

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 14th and highlight short interest changes in Trip.Com (9961 HK), ABC...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Mar 21st): Ke, China Mobile, Alibaba, Kuaishou, BOC, CR Beer, SMIC

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Ke, China Mobile, Alibaba, Kuaishou, BOC, China Resources...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A/H Premium Tracker (To 14 Mar 2025): AH Premia Still Falling; Expect Curve Torsion or AH Widening

AH Premia still falling at a slower pace. Hs outperform As despite HK underperforming A-share blue chips. Lots of AH premia <20%. Vol dropping...

Travis Lundy

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