Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In the past 24 hours, there have been many news flow about numerous US airports that have been cyber attacked by suspects from Russia. </li>
<li>The increasing media attention on cyberattack threat could result in greater concerns about cybersecurity inducing higher global spending on software and other services that help to protect against cyber attacks. </li>
<li>Global cybersecurity stocks that could benefit from greater media attention on cyberattacks include Palo Alto Networks (PANW US)  Crowdstrike Holdings Inc (CRWD US)  CloudFlare (NET US).  </li>
</ul>


In the past 24 hours, there have been many news flow about numerous US airports that have been cyber attacked by suspects from Russia. 
The increasing media attention on cyberattack threat could result in greater concerns about cybersecurity inducing higher global spending on software and other services that help to protect against cyber attacks. 
Global cybersecurity stocks that could benefit from greater media attention on cyberattacks include Palo Alto Networks (PANW US)  Crowdstrike Holdings Inc (CRWD US)  CloudFlare (NET US).  


Cyberattacks at Numerous US Airports by Suspects from Russia

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vidente-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10357:1" rel="noopener">Vidente (121800 KS)</a> has not submitted its semiannual reports and has been labeled as an 'Administrative Issue'. This means deletion from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a> on 19 August.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hancom-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13366:1" rel="noopener">Hancom Inc (030520 KS)</a> was the highest ranked stock to not be included in the index at the June rebalance. It will now be included in the index.</li>
<li>Passive funds will need to buy KRW 8.8bn of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hancom-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13366:1" rel="noopener">Hancom Inc (030520 KS)</a> while selling KRW 11.2bn of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vidente-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10357:1" rel="noopener">Vidente (121800 KS)</a>. </li>
</ul>



Vidente (121800 KS) has not submitted its semiannual reports and has been labeled as an 'Administrative Issue'. This means deletion from the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX) on 19 August.

Hancom Inc (030520 KS) was the highest ranked stock to not be included in the index at the June rebalance. It will now be included in the index.
Passive funds will need to buy KRW 8.8bn of Hancom Inc (030520 KS) while selling KRW 11.2bn of Vidente (121800 KS). 


KOSDAQ150 Ad Hoc Index Rebalance: Hancom (030520) To Replace Vidente (121800)

Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Suppose we grouped S1 and Taiwan Secom with the Physical/Integrated Security weighting and then applied the Cybersecurity weighing to Ahnlab and CyberOne. <strong>We would have 11.40x, substantially lower than 14.85x</strong>.</li>
<li>SK Shieldus' sales were ₩1.55T, an increase of ₩0.22T (16.8%) from the previous year. But<strong> 65% of last year's sales increase was derived from the internal deals with SK Group</strong>.</li>
<li>How the company and the bankers will respond to those mentioned above two controversial aspects will be the most crucial point in determining the success or failure of this IPO.</li>
</ul>


Suppose we grouped S1 and Taiwan Secom with the Physical/Integrated Security weighting and then applied the Cybersecurity weighing to Ahnlab and CyberOne. We would have 11.40x, substantially lower than 14.85x.
SK Shieldus' sales were ₩1.55T, an increase of ₩0.22T (16.8%) from the previous year. But 65% of last year's sales increase was derived from the internal deals with SK Group.
How the company and the bankers will respond to those mentioned above two controversial aspects will be the most crucial point in determining the success or failure of this IPO.


SK Shieldus Controversies: Excessive Valuations & Suspicious Surge in Internal Sales

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-shieldus-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35799:1" rel="noopener">SK Shieldus (ABFHIZ KS)</a> is a leading South Korean security provider. It is seeking a KRX IPO to raise up to US$0.9 billion. </li>
<li>The primary change in the updated prospectus is the syndicate's valuation methodology which results in a 10% lower value per share. The IPO price range of KRW31,000-38,800 is unchanged.</li>
<li>Sentiment on IPOs remains poor. For investors willing to look at IPOs, our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range remains reasonable.  </li>
</ul>



SK Shieldus (ABFHIZ KS) is a leading South Korean security provider. It is seeking a KRX IPO to raise up to US$0.9 billion. 
The primary change in the updated prospectus is the syndicate's valuation methodology which results in a 10% lower value per share. The IPO price range of KRW31,000-38,800 is unchanged.
Sentiment on IPOs remains poor. For investors willing to look at IPOs, our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range remains reasonable.  


SK Shieldus IPO: The Syndicate's Revised Methodology

<ul>
<li>After the market close today, SK Shieldus revised its IPO filing, especially for the valuation comps. However, it maintained the same IPO price range of 31,000 won to 38,800 won.</li>
<li>Bankers included two new comps (Taiwan Secom and Cyberone). Bankers excluded ADT Inc, Alarm.com, and Qualys as comps.</li>
<li>Our valuation of SK Shieldus suggests market cap of 4.1 trillion won or target price of 44,892 won (28.6% higher than the mid-point of the IPO price range). </li>
</ul>


After the market close today, SK Shieldus revised its IPO filing, especially for the valuation comps. However, it maintained the same IPO price range of 31,000 won to 38,800 won.
Bankers included two new comps (Taiwan Secom and Cyberone). Bankers excluded ADT Inc, Alarm.com, and Qualys as comps.
Our valuation of SK Shieldus suggests market cap of 4.1 trillion won or target price of 44,892 won (28.6% higher than the mid-point of the IPO price range). 


SK Shieldus IPO: Revises IPO Filing But Maintains Same Price Range

South Korea

Ahnlab, Inc. designs and develops anti-virus solutions for network server systems, personal computers, and e-business data systems.  The Company also offers consulting service and develops Internet security applications.

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Ahnlab Inc (053800 KS)

Cyberattacks at Numerous US Airports by Suspects from Russia

In the past 24 hours, there have been many news flow about numerous US airports that have been cyber attacked by suspects from Russia. This could...

Douglas Kim

KOSDAQ150 Ad Hoc Index Rebalance: Hancom (030520) To Replace Vidente (121800)

Vidente has been designated as an 'Administrative Issue' and will be deleted from the KOSDAQ150. Hancom will be added to the index and passive...

Brian Freitas

SK Shieldus Controversies: Excessive Valuations & Suspicious Surge in Internal Sales

This post investigates two controversial aspects found in SK Shieldus' revised IPO prospectus as the bookbuilding is currently in progress.

Sanghyun Park

SK Shieldus IPO: The Syndicate's Revised Methodology

The primary change in the updated prospectus is the syndicate's valuation methodology which results in a 10% lower value per share. The unchanged...

Arun George

SK Shieldus IPO: Revises IPO Filing But Maintains Same Price Range

After the market close today, SK Shieldus revised its IPO filing, especially for the valuation comps. However, it maintained the same IPO price...

Douglas Kim

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