Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The changes to the Hang Seng family of indices were announced post market close on Friday - final capping will use closing prices from 2 June.</li>
<li>There are 3 adds for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI</a>, 2 changes each for the<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener"> HSCEI</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH</a>, 1 change for the HSBIO Index and 7 adds for the HSCI Index.</li>
<li>There will be positioning in most stocks but there could be continued positioning in the names that will be added to Southbound Stock Connect.</li>
</ul>


The changes to the Hang Seng family of indices were announced post market close on Friday - final capping will use closing prices from 2 June.
There are 3 adds for the HSI, 2 changes each for the HSCEI and HSTECH, 1 change for the HSBIO Index and 7 adds for the HSCI Index.
There will be positioning in most stocks but there could be continued positioning in the names that will be added to Southbound Stock Connect.


Hang Seng Indexes: Changes Lead to US$6.6bn Trade; Plus Stock Connect & Global Index Inclusions

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of May 15th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.</li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Tencent, Yofc, Midea, AIA, Weichai Power, Time Interconnect Technology, China Mobile.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of May 15th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.
We highlight short changes in Tencent, Yofc, Midea, AIA, Weichai Power, Time Interconnect Technology, China Mobile.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Tencent, Yofc, Midea, AIA, Weichai Power, Time Interconnect Technology

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of May 22nd.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Alibaba, China Life, China Mobile, PICC P&amp;C, SMIC, Tencent, Geely Automobile, Xiaomi, Meituan, AIA.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of May 22nd.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Alibaba, China Life, China Mobile, PICC P&amp;C, SMIC, Tencent, Geely Automobile, Xiaomi, Meituan, AIA.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (May 22nd): Alibaba, China Life, China Mobile, PICC P&C, SMIC, Tencent

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on May 22nd based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), China Ruyi (136 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were China Hongqiao (1378 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on May 22nd based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), China Ruyi (136 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were China Hongqiao (1378 HK), AIA (1299 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (May 22nd): Tencent, AIA, China Ruyi, Jd Health, Wanguo Gold

Asean-focused. Ex-Head of Thai Research

Athaporn Arayasantiparb, CFA

Asean (Thailand) Focused Independent Research

M Corp Review

M Corp is led by Athaporn Arayasantiparb who served as Head of Research for UOB and ANZ in Thailand and was an award-winning telecoms analyst at UBS in 2010 (AsiaMoney Thailand category) and Regional Strategist for DMG in Singapore. Prior to that, he also served as Kasikornbank credit analyst and scholar. He has a total work experience of 17 years, of which 14 were in research and 4 in research management roles. He started his career as an engineer for PTT and currently manages family investments. He holds an MBA from Stern (NYU) and CFA Charter since 2006. Apart from IPO Radar, which focuses on future listings, MCorp Review also provides six on-going thematic series ranked by frequency in descending order, namely: 1) Silicon Stories (technology) 2) Sathorn Series (financial services) 3) Thai-Coons (billionaire origin stories) 4) Reality Check (data-driven, investigative) 5) Thai Media Spotlight; and 6) Thai Macro Watch (global market drivers).

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

The book Life Insurance in Asia was written by two McKinsey veterans, and it's really good. It's also really expensive (over Bt2,000 for just 200 pages...Yo, what's that about?) Anyway, we got some of their key points here and try to apply it to the Thai insurance industry:<ul>
<li>As markets mature, bancassurance gradually eats up market share from tied agency, which we earlier called the direct model or agency model.</li>
<li>In the bancassurance model, they observed that much, if not most, of the value was…</li>
</ul>

The book Life Insurance in Asia was written by two McKinsey veterans, and it's really good. It's also really expensive (over Bt2,000 for just 200 pages...Yo, what's that about?) Anyway, we got some of their key points here and try to apply it to the Thai insurance industry:
As markets mature, bancassurance gradually eats up market share from tied agency, which we earlier called the direct model or agency model.
In the bancassurance model, they observed that much, if not most, of the value was…


Hong Kong

AIA Group Limited is a Hong Kong-based multinational insurance and finance corporation, and the largest publicly traded life insurance group in the Asia-Pacific region. It offers a wide range of products and services including life insurance, accident and health insurance, savings plans, employee benefits, and wealth management. The company was founded in Shanghai in 1919 and is headquartered in Hong Kong.

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AIA (1299 HK)

Hang Seng Indexes: Changes Lead to US$6.6bn Trade; Plus Stock Connect & Global Index Inclusions

There are a number of constituent, float and capping changes for the Hang Seng family, leading to a US$6.6bn trade. Stock Connect additions, lock...

Brian Freitas

HK Short Interest Weekly: Tencent, Yofc, Midea, AIA, Weichai Power, Time Interconnect Technology

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of May 15th and highlight short interest changes in Tencent (700 HK), Yofc...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect Flows Weekly (May 22nd): Alibaba, China Life, China Mobile, PICC P&C, SMIC, Tencent

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, China Life, China Mobile, PICC P&C, SMIC,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (May 22nd): Tencent, AIA, China Ruyi, Jd Health, Wanguo Gold

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Tencent (700 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

McKinsey on Asian Insurance

The book Life Insurance in Asia was written by two McKinsey veterans, and it's really good. It's also really expensive (over Bt2,000 for just 200...

Athaporn Arayasantiparb, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)