Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

China CITIC Financial Asset Management / Index Rebalance

China CITIC Financial Asset Management (2799 HK)

<ul>
<li>We see seven new listings as potential inclusions to the HSCI in June. One is already a part of Connect while five will be added to Southbound Stock Connect.</li>
<li>We see 19 potential changes to the HSCI in September. Seven of the deletions are on market cap, four on liquidity, and eight due to prolonged trading suspension.</li>
<li>Some of the potential deletions have large Southbound holdings and some of these could be trimmed over the next couple of months.</li>
</ul>


We see seven new listings as potential inclusions to the HSCI in June. One is already a part of Connect while five will be added to Southbound Stock Connect.
We see 19 potential changes to the HSCI in September. Seven of the deletions are on market cap, four on liquidity, and eight due to prolonged trading suspension.
Some of the potential deletions have large Southbound holdings and some of these could be trimmed over the next couple of months.


HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in June and September

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Jinmao Property Services / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jinmao-property-services" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34170:1" rel="noopener">Jinmao Property Services (816 HK)</a> raised around US$105m in its Hong Kong IPO. </li>
<li>In our view, the firm doesn’t deserve to trade at a premium to peers given its weaker margins and slower growth in FY20. </li>
<li>In this note, we will look at the trading dynamics and current valuation.</li>
</ul>



Jinmao Property Services (816 HK) raised around US$105m in its Hong Kong IPO. 
In our view, the firm doesn’t deserve to trade at a premium to peers given its weaker margins and slower growth in FY20. 
In this note, we will look at the trading dynamics and current valuation.


Jinmao Property Services IPO Trading - Expect a Modest Debut with Low Liquidity

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jinmao-property-services" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34170:1" rel="noopener">Jinmao Property Services (JM HK)</a> is looking to raise around US$105m in its Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>At listing, it is asking for a steep premium and 82% of the deal size has already been taken up by cornerstones, not leaving a whole lot for other investors.</li>
<li>In this note, we will look at deal dynamics, assumptions, and share our thoughts on valuation.</li>
</ul>



Jinmao Property Services (JM HK) is looking to raise around US$105m in its Hong Kong IPO.
At listing, it is asking for a steep premium and 82% of the deal size has already been taken up by cornerstones, not leaving a whole lot for other investors.
In this note, we will look at deal dynamics, assumptions, and share our thoughts on valuation.


Jinmao Property Services IPO - Premium Asking Valuation and Cornerstones Took up 80% of Deal

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yunkang-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35631:1" rel="noopener">Yunkang Group (YK HK)</a> is looking to raise about US$200m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. </li>
<li>Yunkang Group is a medical operation service provider in China and as per F&amp;S, had a market share of 3.7% in China’s medical operation service market as per 2020 revenue.</li>
<li>While it has managed to grow its on-site diagnostics centers, the firm has to prove that it can still thrive post-COVID.</li>
</ul>



Yunkang Group (YK HK) is looking to raise about US$200m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. 
Yunkang Group is a medical operation service provider in China and as per F&amp;S, had a market share of 3.7% in China’s medical operation service market as per 2020 revenue.
While it has managed to grow its on-site diagnostics centers, the firm has to prove that it can still thrive post-COVID.


Yunkang Group Pre-IPO - Would Need to Prove Itself Post-COVID

China and US Equity Analyst

Roger Xie

Equity Bottom-Up

Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing / Equity Bottom-Up

Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (388 HK)

<ul>
<li>The sluggish share performance of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-exchanges-clearing" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:490:1" rel="noopener">HKEX (388 HK)</a> underscored the weak trading activities at Hong Kong, its January average daily turnover (ADT) is down 47% year-over-year.</li>
<li>Hong Kong's surging COVID cases have already accounted for more confirmed infections than all previous outbreak combined, we believe this will also dampen market sentiment short-term.</li>
<li>However, we remain bullish on HKEX (388 HK) with the view that China economy will likely rebound in 2022, which will drive the rebound of IPO activities and trading volume. </li>
</ul>


The sluggish share performance of HKEX (388 HK) underscored the weak trading activities at Hong Kong, its January average daily turnover (ADT) is down 47% year-over-year.
Hong Kong's surging COVID cases have already accounted for more confirmed infections than all previous outbreak combined, we believe this will also dampen market sentiment short-term.
However, we remain bullish on HKEX (388 HK) with the view that China economy will likely rebound in 2022, which will drive the rebound of IPO activities and trading volume. 


HKEx (388.HK): Latest COVID Outbreak Weighted Trading Activities

China

AInnovation Technology Group Co., Ltd. specializes in the research, development, and provision of artificial intelligence technologies, offering AI-based software and hardware solutions to enterprises. Its core offerings include AI platforms like ManuVision, MatrixVision, and Orion, which are applied across various industries such as manufacturing and financial services. The company was founded in 2018 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

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AInnovation Technology Group (2121 HK)

HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in June and September

We forecast 7 adds to the HSCI in June. For the September rebalance, we forecast 19 adds & 19 deletes (7 on mkt cap, 4 on liquidity, 8 on long...

Brian Freitas

Jinmao Property Services IPO Trading - Expect a Modest Debut with Low Liquidity

Jinmao Property Services (816 HK) raised around US$105m in its Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we will look at the trading dynamics and current...

Clarence Chu

Jinmao Property Services IPO - Premium Asking Valuation and Cornerstones Took up 80% of Deal

Jinmao Property Services (JM HK) is looking to raise around US$105m in its Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we will look at deal dynamics, assumptions,...

Clarence Chu

Yunkang Group Pre-IPO - Would Need to Prove Itself Post-COVID

Yunkang Group (YK HK) is looking to raise about US$200m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. While it has managed to grow its on-site centers, it has to...

Clarence Chu

HKEx (388.HK): Latest COVID Outbreak Weighted Trading Activities

We remain bullish on HKEX (388 HK) with the view that China economy will likely rebound in 2022, which will drive the rebound of IPO activities and...

Roger Xie

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