Global Mobility/Transport, Equity Long-Short

Mohshin Aziz

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Jet fuel price has declined in the past two months and is 20% lower than the September peak. Positive for airlines but we have yet to see any earnings upgrade   </li>
<li>All the Chines state carriers (Air China, China Eastern and China Southern) and Taiwan's EVA Airways are unhedged, benefiting the most from this lower fuel price trend </li>
<li>Worst off due to fuel hedge cover at higher than current market prices are Qantas Airways (75% hedged), Air New Zealand (54% hedged) and Japan Airlines (40% hedged)  </li>
</ul>


Jet fuel price has declined in the past two months and is 20% lower than the September peak. Positive for airlines but we have yet to see any earnings upgrade   
All the Chines state carriers (Air China, China Eastern and China Southern) and Taiwan's EVA Airways are unhedged, benefiting the most from this lower fuel price trend 
Worst off due to fuel hedge cover at higher than current market prices are Qantas Airways (75% hedged), Air New Zealand (54% hedged) and Japan Airlines (40% hedged)  


Lower Fuel Price, Which Asia Pacific Airline Benefits and Suffers the Most?

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Auckland Intl Airport / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Auckland City Council plans to sell 7% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/auckland-intl-airport-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:597:1" rel="noopener">Auckland Intl Airport (AIA NZ)</a>  to fund its budget requirements for 2023-24.</li>
<li>Auckland City Mayor has been talking about selling the stake since at least Dec 2022 and hence, the deal is already very well flagged.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the possible placement and other deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>


Auckland City Council plans to sell 7% of Auckland Intl Airport (AIA NZ)  to fund its budget requirements for 2023-24.
Auckland City Mayor has been talking about selling the stake since at least Dec 2022 and hence, the deal is already very well flagged.
In this note, we will talk about the possible placement and other deal dynamics.


Auckland Airport Possible Placement - Will Be Very Well Flagged US$540m Block

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Despite a few pockets of improved demand, key Transpacific trade remains weak</li>
<li>Most carriers reported low (48% - 68%) but stable cargo load factors in August</li>
<li>For carriers, still lots of empty space to sell; macro view shows no "snap-back"</li>
</ul>


Despite a few pockets of improved demand, key Transpacific trade remains weak
Most carriers reported low (48% - 68%) but stable cargo load factors in August
For carriers, still lots of empty space to sell; macro view shows no "snap-back"


Monthly Air Cargo Tracker | August Shows Pockets of Growth | But LF, Pricing Both Still Very Weak

<ul>
<li>USCBP data from August shows Y/Y declines in traffic, especially at N. border</li>
<li>Overall, air travel to and from the US has held up well vs other travel modes</li>
<li>Some US regions hit harder than others; US losses could benefit Europe, others</li>
</ul>


USCBP data from August shows Y/Y declines in traffic, especially at N. border
Overall, air travel to and from the US has held up well vs other travel modes
Some US regions hit harder than others; US losses could benefit Europe, others


US Customs & Border Protection August Data | Air Crossings Stable | Europe Could Gain From US Losses

<ul>
<li>Almost exactly a year ago, Auckland City Council (ACC) raised around US$320m via selling around 7% of its stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/auckland-intl-airport-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:597:1" rel="noopener">Auckland Intl Airport (AIA NZ)</a>.</li>
<li>ACC still has an 11% stake left, which it now plans to transfer to a future fund, which will be free to sell the shares</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the possible placement and other deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>


Almost exactly a year ago, Auckland City Council (ACC) raised around US$320m via selling around 7% of its stake in Auckland Intl Airport (AIA NZ).
ACC still has an 11% stake left, which it now plans to transfer to a future fund, which will be free to sell the shares
In this note, we will talk about the possible placement and other deal dynamics.


Auckland Airport Possible Placement - Getting Closer to a US$800m Cleanup

New Zealand

Air New Zealand Limited operates an airline business that provides international and domestic air passenger and cargo transport services throughout New Zealand and the South West Pacific. The Company also provides engineering and ground handling services.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Air New Zealand (AIR NZ)

Lower Fuel Price, Which Asia Pacific Airline Benefits and Suffers the Most?

Jet fuel prices have been declining and this is good for airlines. The impact varies according to average flight length and fuel hedge exposure....

Mohshin Aziz

Auckland Airport Possible Placement - Will Be Very Well Flagged US$540m Block

Auckland Airport just reported its full year results, this in effect frees its largest shareholder, Auckland City Council to progress with its...

Sumeet Singh

Monthly Air Cargo Tracker | August Shows Pockets of Growth | But LF, Pricing Both Still Very Weak

August air cargo data from a range of carriers and cargo gateways around the Pacific Rim show uneven demand, but still-low utilization and weak...

Tracking Traffic

US Customs & Border Protection August Data | Air Crossings Stable | Europe Could Gain From US Losses

August data from the US Customs & Border Protection agency shows a decline in US border crossings. Air crossings have held up relatively well, but...

Tracking Traffic

Auckland Airport Possible Placement - Getting Closer to a US$800m Cleanup

Almost exactly a year ago, Auckland City Council (ACC) raised around US$320m via selling around 7% of its stake in Auckland Intl Airport (AIA NZ)....

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Lower Fuel Price, Which Asia Pacific Airline Benefits and Suffers the Most?

​Jet fuel prices have been declining and this is good for airlines. The impact varies according to average flight length and fuel hedge exposure....

Mohshin Aziz

Auckland Airport Possible Placement - Will Be Very Well Flagged US$540m Block

Auckland Airport just reported its full year results, this in effect frees its largest shareholder, Auckland City Council to progress with its...

Sumeet Singh

Monthly Air Cargo Tracker | August Shows Pockets of Growth | But LF, Pricing Both Still Very Weak

August air cargo data from a range of carriers and cargo gateways around the Pacific Rim show uneven demand, but still-low utilization and weak...

Tracking Traffic

US Customs & Border Protection August Data | Air Crossings Stable | Europe Could Gain From US Losses

August data from the US Customs & Border Protection agency shows a decline in US border crossings. Air crossings have held up relatively well, but...

Tracking Traffic

Auckland Airport Possible Placement - Getting Closer to a US$800m Cleanup

Almost exactly a year ago, Auckland City Council (ACC) raised around US$320m via selling around 7% of its stake in Auckland Intl Airport (AIA NZ)....

Sumeet Singh

Jet fuel prices have been declining and this is good for airlines. The impact varies according to average flight length and fuel hedge exposure....