APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Skymark Airlines / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/skymark-airlines-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20430:1" rel="noopener">Skymark Airlines (9204 JP)</a> is looking to raise approximately US$235m in its Japan IPO.</li>
<li>Skymark Airlines (SA) is a Japanese low-cost airline, being the third largest domestic airline  according to the company. Unlike major airlines and other low-cost carriers, Skymark operates only domestic flights.</li>
<li>In our previous notes, we looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we talk about peer comparison and valuations.</li>
</ul>



Skymark Airlines (9204 JP) is looking to raise approximately US$235m in its Japan IPO.
Skymark Airlines (SA) is a Japanese low-cost airline, being the third largest domestic airline  according to the company. Unlike major airlines and other low-cost carriers, Skymark operates only domestic flights.
In our previous notes, we looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we talk about peer comparison and valuations.


Skymark Airlines IPO - Peer Comparison & Valuation - Asking Too Much for Clipped Wings

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/skymark-airlines-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20430:1" rel="noopener">Skymark Airlines (9204 JP)</a> is looking to raise approximately US$218m in its upcoming Japan IPO.  </li>
<li>Skymark Airlines (SA) is a Japanese low-cost airline, being the third largest domestic airline  according to the company. Unlike major airlines and other low-cost carriers, Skymark operates only domestic flights.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the company's past performance.</li>
</ul>



Skymark Airlines (9204 JP) is looking to raise approximately US$218m in its upcoming Japan IPO.  
Skymark Airlines (SA) is a Japanese low-cost airline, being the third largest domestic airline  according to the company. Unlike major airlines and other low-cost carriers, Skymark operates only domestic flights.
In this note, we talk about the company's past performance.


Skymark Airlines Pre-IPO - Highly Leveraged with a History of Bankruptcy

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/interglobe-aviation-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24877:1" rel="noopener">InterGlobe Aviation Ltd (INDIGO IN)</a>’s co-founder Rakesh Gangwal aims to raise around US$250m via selling 2.8% of the company.</li>
<li>He had earlier stated his intention to pare down his stake after a long drawn, and very public battle, with the other co-founder Rahul Bhatia. </li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



InterGlobe Aviation Ltd (INDIGO IN)’s co-founder Rakesh Gangwal aims to raise around US$250m via selling 2.8% of the company.
He had earlier stated his intention to pare down his stake after a long drawn, and very public battle, with the other co-founder Rahul Bhatia. 
In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Interglobe Aviation (Indigo) Placement - The Beginning of the End of the Overhang

Founder of Antler Capital

Stanley Tsai, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

BOC Aviation | BOCAVI <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/boc-aviation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22689:1" rel="noopener">(2588 HK)</a> 
As a follow-up on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/david-blennerhassett" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:840" rel="noopener">David Blennerhassett</a>'s Smartkarma Original <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/asia-pac-airports-ups-but-mostly-downs" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:51855" rel="noopener">Asia-Pac Airports: Ups, But Mostly Downs</a>, we take a look at BOCAVI, which, in our view, is a compelling alternative to APAC airport operators and airlines as a post-Covid trade.
BOCAVI is a highly geared play on the resumption of air travel. The stock has gone through periods of significant out/underperformance against the APAC airports and airlines and may continue to give investors high beta in either direction. The geographical exposure is broad, but there is a heavy skew towards short-haul flights, which will see the earliest acceleration in passenger traffic.
Management's countercyclical capex expansion increasingly looks like a shrewd bet. At its core, BOCAVI is in the capital management business. Strong liquidity and BOC's explicit backing have allowed the lessor to grow its purchase-and-leaseback portfolio through the depths of the pandemic. While airlines are still hemorrhaging cash, over 99% of BOCAVI's aircraft remain cash-generating.  
We expect the firm's undiscounted committed revenues to top USD20bn in 2021. By year-end, the value of the portfolio will have doubled since 2014. We estimate the present value of this cashflow stream to be HKD72.80/share. We are essentially getting free growth optionality. 
We are buyers at book value. The stock is trading at 8x P/E and 1.1x P/B on a 12M forward basis. BOCAVI is reasonably liquid, with a market cap of USD6bn and average daily turnover of USD3.5mn. Besides the obvious risk of protracted lockdowns globally, a well-functioning USD bond market and BOC's funding support are critical to our investment case.
Attachment: BOCAVI Financial Summary

BOC Aviation | BOCAVI (2588 HK) 
As a follow-up on David Blennerhassett's Smartkarma Original Asia-Pac Airports: Ups, But Mostly Downs, we take a look at BOCAVI, which, in our view, is a compelling alternative to APAC airport operators and airlines as a post-Covid trade.
BOCAVI is a highly geared play on the resumption of air travel. The stock has gone through periods of significant out/underperformance against the APAC airports and airlines and may continue to give investors high beta in either direction. The geographical exposure is broad, but there is a heavy skew towards short-haul flights, which will see the earliest acceleration in passenger traffic.
Management's countercyclical capex expansion increasingly looks like a shrewd bet. At its core, BOCAVI is in the capital management business. Strong liquidity and BOC's explicit backing have allowed the lessor to grow its purchase-and-leaseback portfolio through the depths of the pandemic. While airlines are still hemorrhaging cash, over 99% of BOCAVI's aircraft remain cash-generating.  
We expect the firm's undiscounted committed revenues to top USD20bn in 2021. By year-end, the value of the portfolio will have doubled since 2014. We estimate the present value of this cashflow stream to be HKD72.80/share. We are essentially getting free growth optionality. 
We are buyers at book value. The stock is trading at 8x P/E and 1.1x P/B on a 12M forward basis. BOCAVI is reasonably liquid, with a market cap of USD6bn and average daily turnover of USD3.5mn. Besides the obvious risk of protracted lockdowns globally, a well-functioning USD bond market and BOC's funding support are critical to our investment case.
Attachment: BOCAVI Financial Summary

BOC Aviation (2588 HK): The Stars Don't Look Bigger, but They Do Look Brighter

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>As a part of “Smartkarma Originals” initiative, we developed separate screening systems - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/fragility-and-resilience-screening-system" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Fragility and Resilience Screening System</a> in May 2020, to identify the potential bankruptcy candidates and the most resilient companies.</li>
<li>2020 was a year like no other. As the year 2020 draws to a close, we test the effectiveness of our screening system and update the bankruptcy screening files to identify new bankruptcy targets of 2021.</li>
</ul>


As a part of “Smartkarma Originals” initiative, we developed separate screening systems - Fragility and Resilience Screening System in May 2020, to identify the potential bankruptcy candidates and the most resilient companies.
2020 was a year like no other. As the year 2020 draws to a close, we test the effectiveness of our screening system and update the bankruptcy screening files to identify new bankruptcy targets of 2021.


Bankruptcy Monitor: May-December 2020 Update

France

Airbus Group SE manufactures airplanes and military equipment.  The Company produces commercial aircraft including the Airbus, military fighter aircraft, military and commercial helicopters, missiles, satellites, and telecommunications and defense systems, and offers military and commercial aircraft conversion and maintenance services.

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Airbus Group SE (AIR FP)

Skymark Airlines IPO - Peer Comparison & Valuation - Asking Too Much for Clipped Wings

Skymark Airlines (9204 JP) is looking to raise approximately US$235m in its Japan IPO. In this note, we talk about peer comparison and valuations.

Ethan Aw

Skymark Airlines Pre-IPO - Highly Leveraged with a History of Bankruptcy

Skymark Airlines (9204 JP) is looking to raise approximately US$218m in its upcoming Japan IPO. In this note, we talk about the company's past...

Ethan Aw

Interglobe Aviation (Indigo) Placement - The Beginning of the End of the Overhang

InterGlobe Aviation Ltd (INDIGO IN)’s co-founder Rakesh Gangwal aims to raise around US$250m via selling 2.8% of the company.

Sumeet Singh

BOC Aviation (2588 HK): The Stars Don't Look Bigger, but They Do Look Brighter

As downstream players continue to hemorrhage cash, over 99% of BOCAVI’s aircraft are still cash-generating. Valuation is undemanding for a high...

Stanley Tsai, CFA

Bankruptcy Monitor: May-December 2020 Update

This is an analysis of the effectiveness and an update to a screening system, we developed as a part of the Smartkarma Originals initiative in May...

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

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