Founder and Strategist, Entext Economics & Strategy

Sean Maher

Founder and Strategist

Entext Economics & Strategy

Entext provides institutional investors with distinctive, actionable asset allocation and thematic research, which typically challenges the market consensus. Our clients range from credit, equity and multi-asset hedge and pension funds to family offices and sovereign funds. 
 
We focus on identifying key inflection points in macro data and relative asset performance amid the 'groupthink'  and confirmation bias that characterizes most investment bank analysis.

Macro Driven Investment Insight

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>US twin deficits have for the first time since 2004/5 become a focus for FX markets, fearing that a late cycle fiscal expansion will push combined funding requirements up by 2-3% of GDP.</li>
<li>However, the structure of the tax changes disproportionately benefit top quintile households with a high propensity to save, both directly and via the equity market buyback/dividend wealth effect.</li>
<li>Furthermore, the trade deficit numbers look 1-1.5% too high, due to now less attractive transfer pricing/profit…</li>
</ul>


US twin deficits have for the first time since 2004/5 become a focus for FX markets, fearing that a late cycle fiscal expansion will push combined funding requirements up by 2-3% of GDP.
However, the structure of the tax changes disproportionately benefit top quintile households with a high propensity to save, both directly and via the equity market buyback/dividend wealth effect.
Furthermore, the trade deficit numbers look 1-1.5% too high, due to now less attractive transfer pricing/profit…


Dollar Bears Focus on Twin Deficits, as China Fears Imply Software Led 5G Rollout

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Overwhelmingly, and to take a line from our U.S. Compass report, recent declines have corrected the excess. Where many charts appeared stretched and even parabolic in some cases, recent downward pressure on global equities has allowed many stocks to return to solid entry points near various areas of support. In today’s report we review every global sector, highlighting actionable stocks within each.

Overwhelmingly, and to take a line from our U.S. Compass report, recent declines have corrected the excess. Where many charts appeared stretched and even parabolic in some cases, recent downward pressure on global equities has allowed many stocks to return to solid entry points near various areas of support. In today’s report we review every global sector, highlighting actionable stocks within each.

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

In developed markets, Europe offers textbook pullback opportunities, with indices like the STOXX 600 and DAX (below) testing 200-day moving averages. Japan, too, exhibits a pullback opportunity, though much shallower in depth (a sign of strength).Now pan to emerging markets and you’ll find where leadership is concentrated, where the MSCI EM Index is breaking out to all-time highs, and where its relative strength trend is bottoming versus the U.S. and international markets.In short, the technical environment remains bullish, and so does our outlook.

In developed markets, Europe offers textbook pullback opportunities, with indices like the STOXX 600 and DAX (below) testing 200-day moving averages. Japan, too, exhibits a pullback opportunity, though much shallower in depth (a sign of strength).Now pan to emerging markets and you’ll find where leadership is concentrated, where the MSCI EM Index is breaking out to all-time highs, and where its relative strength trend is bottoming versus the U.S. and international markets.In short, the technical environment remains bullish, and so does our outlook.

EM Continues to Escort Int'l Markets Higher

Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector, Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Ankush Kathuria CFA, FRM

Equity Research Analyst, Maritime sector

Maritime Sector, Equity & Credit Research

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

With no ties to other players in the shipping, finance or banking world, we provide a uniquely impartial view of the markets and companies we cover. Our parent organization, Drewry is a leading independent provider of research services to the maritime and shipping industry, employing over 100 professionals across an international network of offices in London, Delhi, Singapore and Shanghai. Combining our market-leading resources with seasoned sector expertise DFRS offers a highly differentiated and comprehensive range of investment and financial research services to lenders and prospective investors in publicly listed maritime and shipping companies. The full service of reports, supporting resources and sector orientated webinars provides our clients with the most complete picture of the organisations under coverage as is possible. We have been charting and analysing the world’s maritime markets for more than 40 years. This unrivalled intelligence and understanding provides the foundation of our research service. Our analysts have access to one of the most up-to-date, comprehensive and reliable sources of market insight and research data available today. We look at globally listed companies within the following sectors: Port Operators, Container Shipping, Container Manufacturing & Leasing, LNG Shipping, Dry Bulk Shipping and Tanker Shipping. Combine in-depth sector expertise with financial analysis focusing on over 50 stocks globally.

Container Shipping - Asia Import Drive Will Boost Asia-Europe-Asia Box Profits for CarriersBackground - Space shortage has disrupted the Europe-Asia container trade in February and March and European exporters face highly unusual space crunch. This is highly unusual for a ‘back-haul’ route where ship utilization rarely reaches 70%. Carriers charged an ‘emergency minimum rate’ to accept bookings and some of them have put a stop to bookings until mid-April. Boxes already on the quay are getting…

Container Shipping - Asia Import Drive Will Boost Asia-Europe-Asia Box Profits for CarriersBackground - Space shortage has disrupted the Europe-Asia container trade in February and March and European exporters face highly unusual space crunch. This is highly unusual for a ‘back-haul’ route where ship utilization rarely reaches 70%. Carriers charged an ‘emergency minimum rate’ to accept bookings and some of them have put a stop to bookings until mid-April. Boxes already on the quay are getting…

Container Shipping - Asia Import Drive Will Boost Asia-Europe-Asia Box Profits for Carriers

Dry Bulk Shipping - Why It’s Time for Dry Bulk Stocks to Take a BreatherWe have been positive on the dry bulk sector since mid-2016 but the near term valuations seem undemanding to us and are at risk of running ahead of fundamentals. The bottoming out process in 2016 and subsequent run up in 2017 has been on the back of reversal in asset values, narrowing supply-demand imbalance and expectations of supportive commodity demand. We have earlier talked about the sector under ownership and…

Dry Bulk Shipping - Why It’s Time for Dry Bulk Stocks to Take a BreatherWe have been positive on the dry bulk sector since mid-2016 but the near term valuations seem undemanding to us and are at risk of running ahead of fundamentals. The bottoming out process in 2016 and subsequent run up in 2017 has been on the back of reversal in asset values, narrowing supply-demand imbalance and expectations of supportive commodity demand. We have earlier talked about the sector under ownership and…

Dry Bulk Shipping - Why It's Time for Dry Bulk Stocks to Take a Breather

France

Airbus Group SE manufactures airplanes and military equipment.  The Company produces commercial aircraft including the Airbus, military fighter aircraft, military and commercial helicopters, missiles, satellites, and telecommunications and defense systems, and offers military and commercial aircraft conversion and maintenance services.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Airbus Group SE (AIR FP)

Dollar Bears Focus on Twin Deficits, as China Fears Imply Software Led 5G Rollout

US twin deficits have for the first time since 2004/5 become a focus for FX markets, fearing that a late cycle fiscal expansion will push combined...

Sean Maher

Global Equity Strategy

Overwhelmingly, and to take a line from our U.S. Compass report, recent declines have corrected the excess. Where many charts appeared stretched...

Vermilion Research

EM Continues to Escort Int'l Markets Higher

In developed markets, Europe offers textbook pullback opportunities, with indices like the STOXX 600 and DAX (below) testing 200-day moving...

Vermilion Research

Container Shipping - Asia Import Drive Will Boost Asia-Europe-Asia Box Profits for Carriers

Container Shipping - Asia Import Drive Will Boost Asia-Europe-Asia Box Profits for CarriersBackground - Space shortage has disrupted the...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Dry Bulk Shipping - Why It's Time for Dry Bulk Stocks to Take a Breather

Dry Bulk Shipping - Why It’s Time for Dry Bulk Stocks to Take a BreatherWe have been positive on the dry bulk sector since mid-2016 but the near...

Drewry Maritime Financial Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)