Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Since late-February (2/25/25 Compass and 2/27/25 Int'l Compass) we had been expecting an 8-10% pullback to provide a buying opportunity.</li>
<li>However, after getting the 10%+ pullback, we discussed in 4/1/25 and 4/3/25 reports how we no longer saw it as a buying opportunity, and we downgraded our outlook to bearish/cautious</li>
<li>While it is possible that the lows are in, we now are looking for the ACWI-US rally to fizzle, either here at $113.50-$115 or the 200-day MA (~$118).</li>
</ul>


Since late-February (2/25/25 Compass and 2/27/25 Int'l Compass) we had been expecting an 8-10% pullback to provide a buying opportunity.
However, after getting the 10%+ pullback, we discussed in 4/1/25 and 4/3/25 reports how we no longer saw it as a buying opportunity, and we downgraded our outlook to bearish/cautious
While it is possible that the lows are in, we now are looking for the ACWI-US rally to fizzle, either here at $113.50-$115 or the 200-day MA (~$118).


Still Bearish/Cautious; Stick With Defensives; Emerging Market Opportunities

Founder at Stock Spin-off Investing, Stock Spin-Off Investing

Richard Howe

Founder at Stock Spin-off Investing

Stock Spin-Off Investing

Generate attractive returns by taking advantage of inefficiencies in the stock spin-off market.

Stock Spin-offs

Event-Driven

<ul><li>This week, two charts caught my eye. First, investor sentiment continues to be very bad.</li><li>Second, non-US stocks are actually performing well.<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"></figure></li><li>Quietly, one of my recommendations, Airtel Africa (AAF) is at an all-time high. Airtel Africa is a good example of what you can find in international markets.</li></ul>

This week, two charts caught my eye. First, investor sentiment continues to be very bad.Second, non-US stocks are actually performing well.Quietly, one of my recommendations, Airtel Africa (AAF) is at an all-time high. Airtel Africa is a good example of what you can find in international markets.

<ul>
<li>
There were no new spin-off announcements this week, but I’ve done some more work on the Aptiv (APTV) spin-off announcement.
</li>
<li>
Aptiv PLC (APTV), an automotive technology supplier, announced on January 22, 2025, that it plans to split into two distinct companies.
</li>
<li>
Aptiv will spin-off its electrical systems business. The RemainCo will concentrate on technological components, including sensor-to-cloud solutions and autonomous driving software.
</li>
</ul>



There were no new spin-off announcements this week, but I’ve done some more work on the Aptiv (APTV) spin-off announcement.


Aptiv PLC (APTV), an automotive technology supplier, announced on January 22, 2025, that it plans to split into two distinct companies.


Aptiv will spin-off its electrical systems business. The RemainCo will concentrate on technological components, including sensor-to-cloud solutions and autonomous driving software.



Weekly Update (APTV, MRP, MEDXF, AAF, WDC)

External reports (aggregated public sources), Value Investors Club

Value Investors Club (VIC)

External reports (aggregated public sources)

Value Investors Club

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Airtel Africa is undervalued and has potential for upside growth</li><li>Company has shown strong performance in revenue and EBITDA growth despite challenges</li><li>Potential IPO of mobile money business could unlock more value for shareholders</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

Airtel Africa is undervalued and has potential for upside growthCompany has shown strong performance in revenue and EBITDA growth despite challengesPotential IPO of mobile money business could unlock more value for shareholdersThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

Airtel Africa Plc (AAFRF) - Wednesday, May 8, 2024

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>JLR to produce cars in India but for the first time</li>
<li>Reliance - Airtel may tussle on the African Markets after Indian Market</li>
<li>FII may show interest to Indian Markets to reap benefits of demographic dividends</li>
</ul>


JLR to produce cars in India but for the first time
Reliance - Airtel may tussle on the African Markets after Indian Market
FII may show interest to Indian Markets to reap benefits of demographic dividends


#1 India Insights : Tata Motors-JLR Strengthens Tie Ups, Reliance-Airtel Tussle and Macro Insights

United Kingdom

Airtel Africa PLC provides telecommunication services. The Company offers postpaid and prepaid plans, transfer of credit, conference call, mobile Internet, messaging, voicemail, and roaming facilities. Airtel Africa serves customers worldwide.

Price Gauge
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Airtel Africa PLC (AAF LN)

Still Bearish/Cautious; Stick With Defensives; Emerging Market Opportunities

Still Bearish/Cautious; Stick With Defensives; Emerging Market Opportunities. Looking for the $ACWI rally to fizzle, either here at $113.50-$115 or...

Vermilion Research

Weekly Update (ANGI, IAC, HOLN)

This week, two charts caught my eye. First, investor sentiment continues to be very bad. Second, non-US stocks are actually performing well.

Richard Howe

Weekly Update (APTV, MRP, MEDXF, AAF, WDC)

There were no new spin-off announcements this week, but I’ve done some more work on the Aptiv (APTV) spin-off announcement.

Richard Howe

Airtel Africa Plc (AAFRF) - Wednesday, May 8, 2024

Airtel Africa is undervalued and has potential for upside growth. Company has shown strong performance in revenue and EBITDA growth despite challenges

Value Investors Club (VIC)

#1 India Insights : Tata Motors-JLR Strengthens Tie Ups, Reliance-Airtel Tussle and Macro Insights

Big Insights on India : JLR to begin car production in India, Reliance and Airtel may compete in African markets, and FIIs eye Indian markets for...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Still Bearish/Cautious; Stick With Defensives; Emerging Market Opportunities

Still Bearish/Cautious; Stick With Defensives; Emerging Market Opportunities. Looking for the $ACWI rally to fizzle, either here at $113.50-$115 or...

Vermilion Research

Weekly Update (ANGI, IAC, HOLN)

This week, two charts caught my eye. First, investor sentiment continues to be very bad. Second, non-US stocks are actually performing well.

Richard Howe

Weekly Update (APTV, MRP, MEDXF, AAF, WDC)

There were no new spin-off announcements this week, but I’ve done some more work on the Aptiv (APTV) spin-off announcement.

Richard Howe

Airtel Africa Plc (AAFRF) - Wednesday, May 8, 2024

Airtel Africa is undervalued and has potential for upside growth. Company has shown strong performance in revenue and EBITDA growth despite challenges

Value Investors Club (VIC)

#1 India Insights : Tata Motors-JLR Strengthens Tie Ups, Reliance-Airtel Tussle and Macro Insights

​Big Insights on India : JLR to begin car production in India, Reliance and Airtel may compete in African markets, and FIIs eye Indian markets for...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Big Insights on India : JLR to begin car production in India, Reliance and Airtel may compete in African markets, and FIIs eye Indian markets for...