IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Kansai Electric Power / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Since the US$3.5 billion primary/secondary offering announcement, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kansai-electric-power-co-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18907:1" rel="noopener">Kansai Electric Power (9503 JP)</a>’s shares have been down 20.6% from the undisturbed price of JPY2,397 per share (13 November).</li>
<li>Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive to understand the potential trading pattern. So far, KEPCO’s shares have followed the pattern of previous large placements.</li>
<li>The offering will likely be priced on 26 November. The average large Japanese placement tends to generate positive returns.</li>
</ul>


Since the US$3.5 billion primary/secondary offering announcement, Kansai Electric Power (9503 JP)’s shares have been down 20.6% from the undisturbed price of JPY2,397 per share (13 November).
Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive to understand the potential trading pattern. So far, KEPCO’s shares have followed the pattern of previous large placements.
The offering will likely be priced on 26 November. The average large Japanese placement tends to generate positive returns.


Kansai Electric Power (9503 JP): The Current Playbook

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kansai-electric-power-co-inc" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Kansai Electric Power (9503 JP)</a> has announced primary and secondary offerings of up to 223.1 million shares (including overallotment) and a third-party allotment of 29.1 million shares.</li>
<li>JPY239.9 billion of proceeds will be used to improve energy efficiency and decarbonisation, while other funds will be used for data centres, renewable energy and overseas investments.</li>
<li>Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive for understanding the potential offer price. The pricing date will fall between 26 and 29 November (likely 26 November).</li>
</ul>



Kansai Electric Power (9503 JP) has announced primary and secondary offerings of up to 223.1 million shares (including overallotment) and a third-party allotment of 29.1 million shares.
JPY239.9 billion of proceeds will be used to improve energy efficiency and decarbonisation, while other funds will be used for data centres, renewable energy and overseas investments.
Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive for understanding the potential offer price. The pricing date will fall between 26 and 29 November (likely 26 November).


Kansai Electric Power (9503 JP): A US$3.5 Billion Primary/Secondary Offering

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul><li>Arizona and Taiwan are deepening aerospace and defense partnerships to support local supply chains in response to increasing demand. #partnership #aerospace #defense</li><li>The drone market is seeing growth primarily driven by service applications, rather than hardware. India's Sahasra Semiconductor is recruiting expat experts and gearing up for a customer launch later this year.</li><li>Huawei is reportedly offering triple salaries to attract engineers from TSMC, while Toyota suppliers are revising their forecasts due to sluggish sales and reduced production. Apple is in talks with Indonesia for a manufacturing investment to address an iPhone ban, and Taiwan's Micro LED industry must innovate quickly to keep pace with OLED advancements.</li></ul>

Arizona and Taiwan are deepening aerospace and defense partnerships to support local supply chains in response to increasing demand. #partnership #aerospace #defenseThe drone market is seeing growth primarily driven by service applications, rather than hardware. India's Sahasra Semiconductor is recruiting expat experts and gearing up for a customer launch later this year.Huawei is reportedly offering triple salaries to attract engineers from TSMC, while Toyota suppliers are revising their forecasts due to sluggish sales and reduced production. Apple is in talks with Indonesia for a manufacturing investment to address an iPhone ban, and Taiwan's Micro LED industry must innovate quickly to keep pace with OLED advancements.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (08-Nov-2024): AZ & Taiwan strengthen aerospace, defense partnerships.

Japanese Turnaround Situations, Short-Ideas, Azabu Research

Michael Allen

Japanese Turnaround Situations, Short-Ideas

Azabu Research

Azabu Research is a publishing and consulting firm focused on distressed equities in the Japanese market. We specialize in turnaround strategies, corporate combinations, divestitures, and restructuring.

Publisher of the Tokyo Turnaround Letter, which conducts the most thorough research possible of publicly available information, including forensic tests for fraudulent overstatement of assets and understatement of liabilities, as well as rigorous market and industry analysis to assess the underlying strengths of the company’s products or services, the appropriateness of the company’s turnaround strategy, and the skill of its current management team. The average length of a report exceeds 25 pages of text and tables, excluding any disclosures or executive summaries.

We have more than 30 years of experience in applying this process to distressed equities in Japan. Additionally, subscribers have free access to detailed, yet easily navigated earnings models for the target company as well as the top five comparable companies, and unlimited access to the analyst for follow-up questions.

Azabu Research also conducts be-spoke research on a project basis, and provides consulting services to companies looking to restructure, divest, make acquisitions, go public, or improve investor sentiment toward their stock.

Independent Research and Consulting Firm

<ul>
<li>Panasonic blew out consensus forecasts in Q2 and trades at 60% of book value. </li>
<li>Jtekt missed but raised its dividend, which was already very high. </li>
<li>Aisin missed, but by a trivial amount, and the price/book value fell back to a level that marked support on multiple occasions since the Pandemic started.</li>
</ul>


Panasonic blew out consensus forecasts in Q2 and trades at 60% of book value. 
Jtekt missed but raised its dividend, which was already very high. 
Aisin missed, but by a trivial amount, and the price/book value fell back to a level that marked support on multiple occasions since the Pandemic started.


Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

<ul>
<li>Aisin’s first-half FY3/25 results highlight short-term challenges, with operating profit falling 38% to JPY 56.1 billion due to weak sales and worsening product mix. </li>
<li>Management cut its full year operating profit guidance from JPY 220 billion to 200 billion. We believe that street expectations had already factored in weaker Toyota volumes.</li>
<li>Aisin’s long-term outlook remains strong, centred on the transition to EVs. We still see over 100% upside if the transition is successful. </li>
</ul>


Aisin’s first-half FY3/25 results highlight short-term challenges, with operating profit falling 38% to JPY 56.1 billion due to weak sales and worsening product mix. 
Management cut its full year operating profit guidance from JPY 220 billion to 200 billion. We believe that street expectations had already factored in weaker Toyota volumes.
Aisin’s long-term outlook remains strong, centred on the transition to EVs. We still see over 100% upside if the transition is successful. 


Aisin (7259) | Short-Term Challenges Amid Strategic Shift to EVs

Japan

Aisin Corporation manufactures and distributes motor vehicle parts. The Company produces drive train, transmissions, clutches, disc brakes, anti-skid brake system, suspensions, oil pumps, power windows, power door locks, and more. Aisin operates sales and production subsidiaries worldwide.

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Aisin (7259 JP)

Kansai Electric Power (9503 JP): The Current Playbook

The offering will likely be priced on 26 November. KEPCO's share decline is the second-highest among recent large placements. The average large...

Arun George

Kansai Electric Power (9503 JP): A US$3.5 Billion Primary/Secondary Offering

Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive for understanding the potential offer price. The pricing date will fall between 26 and...

Arun George

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (08-Nov-2024): AZ & Taiwan strengthen aerospace, defense partnerships.

Arizona and Taiwan are enhancing aerospace and defense partnerships to meet growing demand for local supply chains, while India's Sahasra...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Panasonic (6752): Blows Past Consensus

Panasonic outperforms in Q2, trading at 60% of book value; Jtekt misses but raises dividend; Aisin misses slightly, price/book value falls to...

Michael Allen

Aisin (7259) | Short-Term Challenges Amid Strategic Shift to EVs

Aisin faces short-term challenges with operating profit falling 38%, but long-term outlook remains strong with potential for over 100% upside in...

Mark Chadwick

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Kansai Electric Power (9503 JP): The Current Playbook

The offering will likely be priced on 26 November. KEPCO's share decline is the second-highest among recent large placements. The average large...

Arun George

Kansai Electric Power (9503 JP): A US$3.5 Billion Primary/Secondary Offering

Looking at recent large Japanese placements is instructive for understanding the potential offer price. The pricing date will fall between 26 and...

Arun George

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (08-Nov-2024): AZ & Taiwan strengthen aerospace, defense partnerships.

Arizona and Taiwan are enhancing aerospace and defense partnerships to meet growing demand for local supply chains, while India's Sahasra...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Panasonic (6752): Blows Past Consensus

​Panasonic outperforms in Q2, trading at 60% of book value; Jtekt misses but raises dividend; Aisin misses slightly, price/book value falls to...

Michael Allen

Aisin (7259) | Short-Term Challenges Amid Strategic Shift to EVs

​Aisin faces short-term challenges with operating profit falling 38%, but long-term outlook remains strong with potential for over 100% upside in...

Mark Chadwick

Panasonic outperforms in Q2, trading at 60% of book value; Jtekt misses but raises dividend; Aisin misses slightly, price/book value falls to...

Aisin faces short-term challenges with operating profit falling 38%, but long-term outlook remains strong with potential for over 100% upside in...