Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The Hang Seng Index is the benchmark index for Hong Kong stocks. It follows a highly-subjective selection process which makes it difficult to predict index changes.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at a group of names with reasonably high likelihood of being involved in index changes during the next review in March 2025.</li>
<li>The index changes for the March 2025 index rebal event will be announced after market close on 21st February 2025.</li>
</ul>


The Hang Seng Index is the benchmark index for Hong Kong stocks. It follows a highly-subjective selection process which makes it difficult to predict index changes.
In this insight, we take a look at a group of names with reasonably high likelihood of being involved in index changes during the next review in March 2025.
The index changes for the March 2025 index rebal event will be announced after market close on 21st February 2025.


Quiddity Leaderboard Hang Seng Index: Healthcare Is Still the Most Under-Represented Industry Group

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

Sunshine Lake Pharma / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Most revenue was contributed by Kewei, but kewei has been included in VBP.Together with increasing competition, the outlook is gloomy if Sunshine Lake Pharma continues to mainly rely on Kewei.</li>
<li>There’s a significant gap in Sunshine Lake Pharma's R&amp;D progress/clinical data compared to the products of peers.The pipeline has been “disconnected” from the level of domestic biotech in recent years</li>
<li>Sunshine Lake Pharma is inferior to other pharmaceutical companies in China.Even if CJ Pharma will be merged into Sunshine Lake Pharma, its market value should be lower than leading Biotech.</li>
</ul>


Most revenue was contributed by Kewei, but kewei has been included in VBP.Together with increasing competition, the outlook is gloomy if Sunshine Lake Pharma continues to mainly rely on Kewei.
There’s a significant gap in Sunshine Lake Pharma's R&amp;D progress/clinical data compared to the products of peers.The pipeline has been “disconnected” from the level of domestic biotech in recent years
Sunshine Lake Pharma is inferior to other pharmaceutical companies in China.Even if CJ Pharma will be merged into Sunshine Lake Pharma, its market value should be lower than leading Biotech.


Pre-IPO Sunshine Lake Pharma - “Outdated” Pipeline Is Difficult to Obtain Decent Valuation

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Relevant departments are discussing the promotion of drugs included in VBP scope to enter retail pharmacies. However, the new business model will be detrimental to valuation performance for retail pharmacies.</li>
<li>The gap in the distribution of funds among biotech companies is rapidly widening. We suggest investors focus on leading biotech rather than take risks in areas with higher uncertainties.</li>
<li>Vesync is a good company. Due to the low liquidity, the Proposal presents a good opportunity for shareholders to exit. Considering its future growth potential, Share Alternative can be considered.</li>
</ul>


Relevant departments are discussing the promotion of drugs included in VBP scope to enter retail pharmacies. However, the new business model will be detrimental to valuation performance for retail pharmacies.
The gap in the distribution of funds among biotech companies is rapidly widening. We suggest investors focus on leading biotech rather than take risks in areas with higher uncertainties.
Vesync is a good company. Due to the low liquidity, the Proposal presents a good opportunity for shareholders to exit. Considering its future growth potential, Share Alternative can be considered.


China Healthcare Weekly (Feb.9) - Vesync Is a High-Quality Company, VBP to Cover Retail Pharmacies

Shanghai Henlius Biotech / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>For Fosun, every major capital operation is the result of careful consideration after a long time. If it is a deal that Mr. Guo fully supports, there’s basically no problem.</li>
<li>For the privatization, the board of directors of Henlius has no special opposition. We think that this privatization would have no impact on the operation of Henlius in the future,</li>
<li>As the phenomenon of undervaluation of Henlius is difficult to fundamentally change, the Cancellation Price is attractive for most investors. There’re risks if choosing Share Alternative. Cash Alternative is preferred. </li>
</ul>


For Fosun, every major capital operation is the result of careful consideration after a long time. If it is a deal that Mr. Guo fully supports, there’s basically no problem.
For the privatization, the board of directors of Henlius has no special opposition. We think that this privatization would have no impact on the operation of Henlius in the future,
As the phenomenon of undervaluation of Henlius is difficult to fundamentally change, the Cancellation Price is attractive for most investors. There’re risks if choosing Share Alternative. Cash Alternative is preferred. 


Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696 HK) - Some Thoughts About the Privatization

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

<ul>
<li>Mainland China investors continued to increase their purchases of Hong Kong shares through the southbound connect platform after Trump's win. Mainland investors bought a record HK$800B of HK shares in 2024.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/weimob-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27394:1" rel="noopener">Weimob Inc. (2013 HK)</a> announced it is connecting its Weimob mini-programs to Tencent's (700 HK) WeChat mini-shop. This move further integrates the SaaS company into Tencent's ecosystem.
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-apptec" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23679:1" rel="noopener">Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK)</a> announced a license agreement with US-based <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aadi-bioscience-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:37488:1" rel="noopener">Aadi Bioscience (AADI US)</a>.  Also, Wuxi was not included in the Senate version of the BioSecure legislation improving investor sentiment.
</li>
</ul>


Mainland China investors continued to increase their purchases of Hong Kong shares through the southbound connect platform after Trump's win. Mainland investors bought a record HK$800B of HK shares in 2024.

Weimob Inc. (2013 HK) announced it is connecting its Weimob mini-programs to Tencent's (700 HK) WeChat mini-shop. This move further integrates the SaaS company into Tencent's ecosystem.


Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK) announced a license agreement with US-based Aadi Bioscience (AADI US).  Also, Wuxi was not included in the Senate version of the BioSecure legislation improving investor sentiment.



The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (December 26)

China

Akeso is a biopharmaceutical company focused on the research, development, manufacturing, and commercialization of innovative antibody drugs. It develops treatments for major diseases such as cancer, autoimmune diseases, inflammation, and metabolic diseases, with key products including cadonilimab, ivonescimab, and penpulimab. The company was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in Zhongshan, Guangdong, China.

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Akeso (9926 HK)

Quiddity Leaderboard Hang Seng Index: Healthcare Is Still the Most Under-Represented Industry Group

The Hang Seng Index February 2025 index review results will be confirmed on Friday this week (21st). This would be a good time to revisit this...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pre-IPO Sunshine Lake Pharma - “Outdated” Pipeline Is Difficult to Obtain Decent Valuation

Sunshine Lake Pharma is heavily relying on Kewei, leading to a gloomy outlook due to competition/VBP. Pipeline has been “disconnected” from the...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Feb.9) - Vesync Is a High-Quality Company, VBP to Cover Retail Pharmacies

Promoting VBP in retail pharmacy may harm valuation.Biotech funding gap widens, investors advised to focus on leading companies. Vesync is a good...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696 HK) - Some Thoughts About the Privatization

Lin Lijun/Mr.Guo both graduated from Fudan and may have known each other for a long time. The info circulating outside is Lin adds positions cus he...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (December 26)

Mainland investors are increasing their buying of HK shares after Trump's election win. Mainlanders bought a record HK$800B of shares this year and...

David Mudd

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Quiddity Leaderboard Hang Seng Index: Healthcare Is Still the Most Under-Represented Industry Group

The Hang Seng Index February 2025 index review results will be confirmed on Friday this week (21st). This would be a good time to revisit this...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pre-IPO Sunshine Lake Pharma - “Outdated” Pipeline Is Difficult to Obtain Decent Valuation

​Sunshine Lake Pharma is heavily relying on Kewei, leading to a gloomy outlook due to competition/VBP. Pipeline has been “disconnected” from the...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Feb.9) - Vesync Is a High-Quality Company, VBP to Cover Retail Pharmacies

Promoting VBP in retail pharmacy may harm valuation.Biotech funding gap widens, investors advised to focus on leading companies. Vesync is a good...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Shanghai Henlius Biotech (2696 HK) - Some Thoughts About the Privatization

Lin Lijun/Mr.Guo both graduated from Fudan and may have known each other for a long time. The info circulating outside is Lin adds positions cus he...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (December 26)

Mainland investors are increasing their buying of HK shares after Trump's election win. Mainlanders bought a record HK$800B of shares this year and...

David Mudd

Sunshine Lake Pharma is heavily relying on Kewei, leading to a gloomy outlook due to competition/VBP. Pipeline has been “disconnected” from the...