Asia and Global Semiconductor and Tech Research

Andrew Lu

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (2330 TT)

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>TSMC expects 2024 semi sector in recovery with 20-25% y/y growth itself, driven by AI customers. By controlling capex, more rooms to raise dividends but no growth for equipment vendors.</li>
<li>Faster ramp on N3, likely N3E, N3P than competitor's. TSMC expects 3nm from 6% of sales in 3Q23, 12.7% in 4Q23 to 15% in 2024, 3x y/y increase in 2024. </li>
<li>TSMC reports a nearly 30% q/q drop on IOT and consumer IC demand and sees weakness on 12" mature technology despite better demand 8" specialty technology. </li>
</ul>


TSMC expects 2024 semi sector in recovery with 20-25% y/y growth itself, driven by AI customers. By controlling capex, more rooms to raise dividends but no growth for equipment vendors.
Faster ramp on N3, likely N3E, N3P than competitor's. TSMC expects 3nm from 6% of sales in 3Q23, 12.7% in 4Q23 to 15% in 2024, 3x y/y increase in 2024. 
TSMC reports a nearly 30% q/q drop on IOT and consumer IC demand and sees weakness on 12" mature technology despite better demand 8" specialty technology. 


What Stories TSMC Investor Conference Telling Us About Customers, Supply Chains, and Competitors

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (TSM US)

<ul>
<li>U.S. expands China chip restrictions -- Implementing lower performance thresholds and further restricting sales via third party countries.</li>
<li>Intel and AMD chips likely also impacted, as well as equipment from ASML, Lam, Applied Materials, Tokyo Electron and others. We will learn more today from Lam and ASML results.</li>
<li>Taiwan AI Plays also to be impacted -- Shares of Wistron, Quanta, Gold Circuit, Asia Vital Gigabyte, Super Micro, Alchip appear precarious.</li>
</ul>


U.S. expands China chip restrictions -- Implementing lower performance thresholds and further restricting sales via third party countries.
Intel and AMD chips likely also impacted, as well as equipment from ASML, Lam, Applied Materials, Tokyo Electron and others. We will learn more today from Lam and ASML results.
Taiwan AI Plays also to be impacted -- Shares of Wistron, Quanta, Gold Circuit, Asia Vital Gigabyte, Super Micro, Alchip appear precarious.


U.S. Expands China Chip Restrictions: Taiwan AI Names Most at Risk of Pullback

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Alchip Technologies / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alchip-technologies-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20219:1" rel="noopener">Alchip Technologies (3661 TT)</a> is looking to raise around US$895m, selling 420m shares (28m GDRs) via a GDR offering.</li>
<li>Similar to previous GDR listings, the firm has undergone a long drawn out process prior to launching the deal, having to jump through a number of board/shareholder/regulatory approval loops.</li>
<li>In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Alchip Technologies (3661 TT) is looking to raise around US$895m, selling 420m shares (28m GDRs) via a GDR offering.
Similar to previous GDR listings, the firm has undergone a long drawn out process prior to launching the deal, having to jump through a number of board/shareholder/regulatory approval loops.
In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.


Aequitas: Alchip Technologies - Well Flagged US$515m GDR Offering; Shares Have Traded Down Recently

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alchip-technologies-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20219:1" rel="noopener">Alchip Technologies (3661 TT)</a> is looking to raise around US$1bn in its upcoming global depository receipts (GDRs) offering.</li>
<li>Alchip Technologies (AT) is a Taiwan-based fabless semiconductor company specializing in ASIC and SoC design services for high-performance computing, AI, networking, and data center applications.</li>
<li>Similar to previous GDR listings, the deal is a drawn out process with the firm required to jump through a number of board/shareholder/regulatory approval loops.</li>
</ul>



Alchip Technologies (3661 TT) is looking to raise around US$1bn in its upcoming global depository receipts (GDRs) offering.
Alchip Technologies (AT) is a Taiwan-based fabless semiconductor company specializing in ASIC and SoC design services for high-performance computing, AI, networking, and data center applications.
Similar to previous GDR listings, the deal is a drawn out process with the firm required to jump through a number of board/shareholder/regulatory approval loops.


Aequitas: Alchip Technologies GDR Early Look - Strong Stock Momentum Ahead of Upcoming GDR Issue

AP Memory Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ap-memory-technology-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35694:1" rel="noopener">AP Memory Technology (6531 TT)</a>  is raising around US$422m, selling 14.8m shares via a GDR offering. Proceeds will be used to procure raw materials overseas and fund working capital.</li>
<li>Similar to previous GDR listings, the firm has undergone a long drawn out process prior to launching the deal, having to jump through a number of board/shareholder/regulatory approval loops.</li>
<li>In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>



AP Memory Technology (6531 TT)  is raising around US$422m, selling 14.8m shares via a GDR offering. Proceeds will be used to procure raw materials overseas and fund working capital.
Similar to previous GDR listings, the firm has undergone a long drawn out process prior to launching the deal, having to jump through a number of board/shareholder/regulatory approval loops.
In this note, we run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on deal dynamics.


Aequitas: AP Memory Technology GDR Offering - Well Flagged US$422m GDR

Taiwan

Alchip Technologies Ltd. provides silicon design and manufacturing services. The Company offers a range of system on chip (SoC) design solutions for low power, high performance, and cost considerations. Alchip produces SoC solutions for products including consumer electronics, optical networking, and medical imaging equipment. Alchip serves customers worldwide.

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Alchip Technologies (3661 TT)

What Stories TSMC Investor Conference Telling Us About Customers, Supply Chains, and Competitors

What Stories TSMC Investor Conference Telling Us About Customers, Supply Chains, and Competitors; TSMC expects 2024 semi sector in recovery with 20...

Andrew Lu

U.S. Expands China Chip Restrictions: Taiwan AI Names Most at Risk of Pullback

Intel and AMD chips likely also impacted, as well as equipment from ASML, Lam, Applied Materials, Tokyo Electron and others. Rather than sell...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Aequitas: Alchip Technologies - Well Flagged US$515m GDR Offering; Shares Have Traded Down Recently

Alchip Technologies (3661 TT) Alchip is looking to raise up to US$515m, selling 4m shares (4m GDRs) via a GDR offering, with the proceeds to be...

Akshat Shah

Aequitas: Alchip Technologies GDR Early Look - Strong Stock Momentum Ahead of Upcoming GDR Issue

Alchip Technologies (3661.TT) is looking to raise around US$1bn in its upcoming GDR offering. On 6th Mar 2026, AT announced its board’s resolution...

Akshat Shah

Aequitas: AP Memory Technology GDR Offering - Well Flagged US$422m GDR

AP Memory Technology Corporation (6531 TT) is raising around US$422m, selling 14.8m shares via a GDR offering. In this note, we run the deal...

Akshat Shah

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