Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

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<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ajanta-pharma-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10053:1" rel="noopener">Ajanta Pharma (AJP IN)</a> reported better-than-expected profitability in Q1FY24, due to softening of raw material prices and normalization of freight rates. EBITDA margin expanded 300bps YoY to 26%.</li>
<li>Revenue increased 7% YoY to INR10B, driven by superior execution in branded generics business and lesser price erosion in the U.S. 73% of the total sales came from branded generic.</li>
<li>Management maintained mid-teen revenue growth and EBITDA margin guidance of ~25% for FY24. Ajanta Pharma has a positive business outlook due to growing branded generic business and niche U.S. launches.</li>
</ul>



Ajanta Pharma (AJP IN) reported better-than-expected profitability in Q1FY24, due to softening of raw material prices and normalization of freight rates. EBITDA margin expanded 300bps YoY to 26%.
Revenue increased 7% YoY to INR10B, driven by superior execution in branded generics business and lesser price erosion in the U.S. 73% of the total sales came from branded generic.
Management maintained mid-teen revenue growth and EBITDA margin guidance of ~25% for FY24. Ajanta Pharma has a positive business outlook due to growing branded generic business and niche U.S. launches.


Ajanta Pharma (AJP IN): Starts FY24 With Healthy Branded Generics Growth and Improving Margins

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<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/piramal-enterprises-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14158:1" rel="noopener">Piramal Enterprises (PIEL IN)</a> obtained shareholders nod for demerging its pharma business and consolidated under Piramal Pharma Limited (PPL). Later, PPL will be listed on India stock exchange.</li>
<li>PPL has a differentiated pharmaceutical business model, with three business verticals. CDMO, the largest revenue contributor, has track record of consistent above-market growth due to its niche and complex capabilities.  </li>
<li>Listed as a separate entity, PPL will see multiple expansion and command premium valuation over other Indian generic drug makers, due to its niche and limited competition portfolio.</li>
</ul>



Piramal Enterprises (PIEL IN) obtained shareholders nod for demerging its pharma business and consolidated under Piramal Pharma Limited (PPL). Later, PPL will be listed on India stock exchange.
PPL has a differentiated pharmaceutical business model, with three business verticals. CDMO, the largest revenue contributor, has track record of consistent above-market growth due to its niche and complex capabilities.  
Listed as a separate entity, PPL will see multiple expansion and command premium valuation over other Indian generic drug makers, due to its niche and limited competition portfolio.


Piramal Enterprises (PIEL IN): Demerger to Create a Differentiated and Niche Pharmaceutical Business

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Nirmal Bang

Nirmal Bang

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

A Relationship Beyond Broking

Nirmal Bang, one of the leading stock broking companies in India, caters to retail and institutional clients by offering them a range of financial products and services, including equities, derivatives, commodities, currency derivatives, mutual funds, IPOs, insurance, depository services and PMS.

Nirmal Bang is drawn from a diversity of professional backgrounds, and blend of experience, skill and dedication is shared with its clients. Nirmal Bang emphasizes adequate, thorough research local and world-wide developments, balancing these with the astute discovery of intrinsic values, synergies and growth. The aim is simply to help the investors to maximize their returns.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>4QFY22 is expected to be a flattish quarter for most Pharma companies in our coverage universe.</li><li>We expect a few companies to benefit from the US market, including Sun Pharma, Natco Pharma, Biocon and Cipla.</li><li>Sun Pharma is expected to gain on Winlevi ramp-up and growth in key products, including Cequa and Ilumya Revlimid launch in March 2022 will see some favourable impact in 4QFY22.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

4QFY22 is expected to be a flattish quarter for most Pharma companies in our coverage universe.We expect a few companies to benefit from the US market, including Sun Pharma, Natco Pharma, Biocon and Cipla.Sun Pharma is expected to gain on Winlevi ramp-up and growth in key products, including Cequa and Ilumya Revlimid launch in March 2022 will see some favourable impact in 4QFY22.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Pharmaceutical Sector: Sequentially Flattish Quarter Expected

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<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aurobindo-pharma-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19974:1" rel="noopener">Aurobindo Pharma (ARBP IN)</a> shares have corrected more than 40% from peak and are trading at discount to peers. The company’s U.S. business is under pressure, resulting in deteriorating profitability.</li>
<li>We are not seeing any immediate respite in the U.S. formulation business. Hence, investors can avoid Aurobindo Pharma shares.  </li>
<li>However, value unlocking through stake sale in injectable business can be a near-term catalyst, resulting in relief rally in the stock.</li>
</ul>



Aurobindo Pharma (ARBP IN) shares have corrected more than 40% from peak and are trading at discount to peers. The company’s U.S. business is under pressure, resulting in deteriorating profitability.
We are not seeing any immediate respite in the U.S. formulation business. Hence, investors can avoid Aurobindo Pharma shares.  
However, value unlocking through stake sale in injectable business can be a near-term catalyst, resulting in relief rally in the stock.


Aurobindo Pharma (ARBP IN): Pain Continues in the U.S. Formulation Business

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited

Motilal Oswal Financial Services Limited is an Indian diversified financial services firm offering a range of financial products and services. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Alembic Pharmaceuticals / Equity Bottom-Up

<p>Alembic Pharma (ALPM) delivered in-line 2QFY22 earnings. Subdued performance in US/API was offset by a better-than-expected show in the Domestic Formulation (DF) segment. The YoY declining trend in the US business has reached a trough with the limited impact of price erosion and an increased pace of launches going forward. We lower our FY22E/FY23E EPS estimate by 7.5%/5.8%, factoring in a) a delay in successful compliance at injectables sites, b) gradual revival in US sales, and c) higher RM/logistics costs.</p><div class="content-highlight"><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></div>

Alembic Pharma (ALPM) delivered in-line 2QFY22 earnings. Subdued performance in US/API was offset by a better-than-expected show in the Domestic Formulation (DF) segment. The YoY declining trend in the US business has reached a trough with the limited impact of price erosion and an increased pace of launches going forward. We lower our FY22E/FY23E EPS estimate by 7.5%/5.8%, factoring in a) a delay in successful compliance at injectables sites, b) gradual revival in US sales, and c) higher RM/logistics costs.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Weakness in US outweighs strong performance in DF

India

Alembic Pharmaceuticals Ltd. manufactures pharmaceuticals.  The Company produces active pharmaceutical ingredients, bulk pharmaceutical chemicals, formulations, herbal nutraceuticals, and veterinary products.

Alembic Pharmaceuticals (ALPM IN)

Ajanta Pharma (AJP IN): Starts FY24 With Healthy Branded Generics Growth and Improving Margins

Ajanta Pharma has a positive business outlook due to accelerated revenue growth driven by India branded generics business, niche and complex...

Tina Banerjee

Piramal Enterprises (PIEL IN): Demerger to Create a Differentiated and Niche Pharmaceutical Business

Shareholders’ nod for the proposed demerger will create pharmaceutical-focused listed entity, which should pave the way for value unlocking due to...

Tina Banerjee

Pharmaceutical Sector: Sequentially Flattish Quarter Expected

4QFY22 is expected to be a flattish quarter for most Pharma companies in our coverage universe. We expect a few companies to benefit from the US...

Nirmal Bang

Aurobindo Pharma (ARBP IN): Pain Continues in the U.S. Formulation Business

Aurobindo’s U.S. formulation business is witnessing price erosion, which is impacting the revenue and margin. However, value unlocking in...

Tina Banerjee

Weakness in US outweighs strong performance in DF

Alembic Pharma (ALPM) delivered in-line 2QFY22 earnings. Subdued performance in US/API was offset by a better-than-expected show in the Domestic...

Motilal Oswal