Independent Investment Research, The IDEA!

The IDEA!

Independent Investment Research

The Idea-Driven Equities Analyses company (the IDEA!) is an employee-owned boutique providing independent investment research and financial consultancy services with a clear focus on the Benelux countries. The company was founded in the summer of 2007 by Henk Slotboom and Maarten Verbeek, both with more than 35 years of professional experience in the financial sector. The IDEA! differentiates itself by focusing on adding value through self-initiated in-depth, idea-driven investment research, as well as by bespoke research assignments for institutional investors, hedge funds and private equity. In addition, we provide market intelligence, strategic research and – together with our business partners – consultancy services to businesses. In case you are interested in receiving more information, a sample of our products or an introductory meeting, please send a message to info@theidea.nl.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Ahold Delhaize’s results came in a bit better than expected, whereby especially the margin development in the US was the main (positive) surprise.</li>
<li>The margin in Europe was flat. Also impressive was the growth in online sales, both in Europe and the US.</li>
<li>The company reiterated its guidance for FY25 and announced a new EUR 1bn share buyback for 2026.</li>
</ul>


Ahold Delhaize’s results came in a bit better than expected, whereby especially the margin development in the US was the main (positive) surprise.
The margin in Europe was flat. Also impressive was the growth in online sales, both in Europe and the US.
The company reiterated its guidance for FY25 and announced a new EUR 1bn share buyback for 2026.


<ul>
<li>In yesterday’s initial comment, we already zoomed in on the bank’s 4Q24 and FY24 results. On an overall, basis, we were pleased with the results and with NII in particular.</li>
<li>We feel that the FY25 NII guidance has been adequately substantiated in the FY25 results presentation slides.</li>
<li>We were also pleased wit the development in costs on an underlying basis. We feel that management’s guidance of flattish costs (excl. one-offs) is based on a clear foundation. </li>
</ul>


In yesterday’s initial comment, we already zoomed in on the bank’s 4Q24 and FY24 results. On an overall, basis, we were pleased with the results and with NII in particular.
We feel that the FY25 NII guidance has been adequately substantiated in the FY25 results presentation slides.
We were also pleased wit the development in costs on an underlying basis. We feel that management’s guidance of flattish costs (excl. one-offs) is based on a clear foundation. 


Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We are seeing signs that suggest this pullback may have run its course, as several global market indexes and Sectors appear to be making a higher low near logical support.</li>
<li>This includes the S&amp;P 500, Russell 2000, MSCI ACWI (local currency), TOPIX/TOPIX Small/Nikkei 225, MSCI ACWI Technology (IXN-US), Consumer Discretionary (RXI-US), Financials (IXG-US), Industrials and (EXI-US) -- add exposure.</li>
<li>While our overall outlook remains neutral, we continue to see a plethora of attractive buying opportunities in the new leaders.</li>
</ul>


We are seeing signs that suggest this pullback may have run its course, as several global market indexes and Sectors appear to be making a higher low near logical support.
This includes the S&amp;P 500, Russell 2000, MSCI ACWI (local currency), TOPIX/TOPIX Small/Nikkei 225, MSCI ACWI Technology (IXN-US), Consumer Discretionary (RXI-US), Financials (IXG-US), Industrials and (EXI-US) -- add exposure.
While our overall outlook remains neutral, we continue to see a plethora of attractive buying opportunities in the new leaders.


Pullback Complete?; Commodities Heading Lower; Buying Growth/Cyclicals & A Few Utilities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>In this edition: • Aegon | starts new EUR 200m share buyback today • AkzoNobel | Axalta EGM scheduled for 5 August • InPost / CTT Correos | Colis Privé intends to buy the Iberian and French operations of Paack • Shell | LNG market outlook: resilience amid ST shocks; strong LT fundamentals • Shell | divests Gulf of America assets for USD 1.7bn • Basic-Fit | intends to acquire wellyou • Alfen | appoints Bart Meussen as interim CFO • Dutch retail sales | up 2.9% YoY in value; up 2.3% YoY in volume terms in May • E-commerce & Logistics | France to introduce progressive surcharge on ultrafast fashion</li></ul>

In this edition: • Aegon | starts new EUR 200m share buyback today • AkzoNobel | Axalta EGM scheduled for 5 August • InPost / CTT Correos | Colis Privé intends to buy the Iberian and French operations of Paack • Shell | LNG market outlook: resilience amid ST shocks; strong LT fundamentals • Shell | divests Gulf of America assets for USD 1.7bn • Basic-Fit | intends to acquire wellyou • Alfen | appoints Bart Meussen as interim CFO • Dutch retail sales | up 2.9% YoY in value; up 2.3% YoY in volume terms in May • E-commerce & Logistics | France to introduce progressive surcharge on ultrafast fashion

Sligro Food Group NV - What's News in Amsterdam

<ul><li>In this edition: • Unilever | rumored to bid for supplement maker Thorne • IMCD | to acquire Merit Solution • Arcadis | enters into a strategic partnership with Stok • SBM Offshore | completes USD 465m financing of FSO Chalchi • Alfen | CFO Onno Krap to step down per 1 July</li></ul>

In this edition: • Unilever | rumored to bid for supplement maker Thorne • IMCD | to acquire Merit Solution • Arcadis | enters into a strategic partnership with Stok • SBM Offshore | completes USD 465m financing of FSO Chalchi • Alfen | CFO Onno Krap to step down per 1 July

What's New(s) in Amsterdam - 29 June (Unilever | IMCD | Arcadis | SBM Offshore | Alfen)

Netherlands

Alfen Beheer B.V. provides energy equipment and solutions. The Company offers transformer substations, energy storage systems, and charging stations for electric vehicles, as well as specializes in grid automation, management and maintenance, and energy solutions. Alfen Beheer serves greenhouse horticulture, grid operators, and energy markets in Europe.

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Alfen (ALFEN NA)

What's New(s) in Amsterdam

Ahold Delhaize’s results came in a bit better than expected, whereby especially the margin development in the US was the main (positive) surprise.

The IDEA!

What's New(s) in Amsterdam

In yesterday’s initial comment, we already zoomed in on the bank’s 4Q24 and FY24 results. On an overall, basis, we were pleased with the results...

The IDEA!

Pullback Complete?; Commodities Heading Lower; Buying Growth/Cyclicals & A Few Utilities

Signs suggest this pullback may have run its course, as several global market indexes & Sectors appear to be making a higher low near logical...

Vermilion Research

Sligro Food Group NV - What's News in Amsterdam

In this edition: • Aegon | starts new EUR 200m share buyback today • AkzoNobel | Axalta EGM scheduled for 5 August • InPost / CTT Correos | Colis...

The IDEA!

What's New(s) in Amsterdam - 29 June (Unilever | IMCD | Arcadis | SBM Offshore | Alfen)

In this edition: • Unilever | rumored to bid for supplement maker Thorne • IMCD | to acquire Merit Solution • Arcadis | enters into a strategic...

The IDEA!

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