Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 44 adds/41 deletes for the JPX Nikkei 400 Index to bring the number of index constituents back to 400. There are stocks with multiple days ADV to trade.</li>
<li>Based on the adds, deletes and capping changes, we estimate one way turnover of 7.9% and a round-trip trade of JPY 880bn (US$6bn).</li>
<li>The adds have outperformed the deletes over the last year though that has been faded over the last couple of months. Breaking with history, there could be outperformance near-term.</li>
</ul>


There are 44 adds/41 deletes for the JPX Nikkei 400 Index to bring the number of index constituents back to 400. There are stocks with multiple days ADV to trade.
Based on the adds, deletes and capping changes, we estimate one way turnover of 7.9% and a round-trip trade of JPY 880bn (US$6bn).
The adds have outperformed the deletes over the last year though that has been faded over the last couple of months. Breaking with history, there could be outperformance near-term.


JPX Nikkei 400 Index Rebalance: A Bunch of Chunky Adds & US$6bn Trade

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/medipal-holdings-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18394:1" rel="noopener">Medipal Holdings (7459 JP)</a> reported FY24 result, with revenue and net profit beating and operating profit missing guidance. FY24 revenue increased 6% YoY, driven by growth across all business segments.</li>
<li>The company is anticipating an upturn in revenue and operating profit in FY25. However, FY25 net profit is expected to fall due to the absence of extraordinary income.</li>
<li>The company has announced a share buy-back plan to purchase up to 2.5M shares for ¥5B from May 15, 2024 to August 30, 2024.  </li>
</ul>



Medipal Holdings (7459 JP) reported FY24 result, with revenue and net profit beating and operating profit missing guidance. FY24 revenue increased 6% YoY, driven by growth across all business segments.
The company is anticipating an upturn in revenue and operating profit in FY25. However, FY25 net profit is expected to fall due to the absence of extraordinary income.
The company has announced a share buy-back plan to purchase up to 2.5M shares for ¥5B from May 15, 2024 to August 30, 2024.  


Medipal Holdings (7459 JP): Mixed FY24 Result; Growth to Continue in FY25; Buyback Plan Announced

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alfresa-holdings-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10610:1" rel="noopener">Alfresa Holdings (2784 JP)</a>'s H1FY24 revenue, operating profit, and net profit are expected to exceed the previous expectations due to greater-than-expected growth in the ethical pharmaceuticals business.  </li>
<li>Encouraged by the growth in the pharmaceutical market and better-than-expected H1FY24 performance, the company has raised FY24 revenue, operating profit, and net profit guidance by 4%, 30%, and 36%, respectively.</li>
<li>New FY24 guidance implies, H2FY24 revenue run-rate will be similar to H1F24, while H2FY24 operating profit will accelerate to ¥20.1 billion from ¥15.9 billion in H1FY24.</li>
</ul>



Alfresa Holdings (2784 JP)'s H1FY24 revenue, operating profit, and net profit are expected to exceed the previous expectations due to greater-than-expected growth in the ethical pharmaceuticals business.  
Encouraged by the growth in the pharmaceutical market and better-than-expected H1FY24 performance, the company has raised FY24 revenue, operating profit, and net profit guidance by 4%, 30%, and 36%, respectively.
New FY24 guidance implies, H2FY24 revenue run-rate will be similar to H1F24, while H2FY24 operating profit will accelerate to ¥20.1 billion from ¥15.9 billion in H1FY24.


Alfresa Holdings (2784 JP): Better-Than-Expected H1FY24 Performance; FY24 Guidance Raised

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/suzuken-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14996:1" rel="noopener">Suzuken Co Ltd (9987 JP)</a> reported better-than-expected Q1FY24 result, due to an increase in specialty drug distribution contracts and a larger than expected contribution from products related to COVID-19.</li>
<li>In Q1FY24, revenue increased 4% to ¥573.6B, driven by 4% YoY growth in pharmaceutical distribution business, due to increased sales of new drugs such as specialty drugs and COVID-19 therapeutics.</li>
<li>The company guided for FY24 revenue of ¥2,231.9B, down 4% YoY. Operating profit is expected to decline 48% YoY to ¥17B. Net profit is guided at ¥13B, down 36% YoY.</li>
</ul>



Suzuken Co Ltd (9987 JP) reported better-than-expected Q1FY24 result, due to an increase in specialty drug distribution contracts and a larger than expected contribution from products related to COVID-19.
In Q1FY24, revenue increased 4% to ¥573.6B, driven by 4% YoY growth in pharmaceutical distribution business, due to increased sales of new drugs such as specialty drugs and COVID-19 therapeutics.
The company guided for FY24 revenue of ¥2,231.9B, down 4% YoY. Operating profit is expected to decline 48% YoY to ¥17B. Net profit is guided at ¥13B, down 36% YoY.


Suzuken Co Ltd (9987 JP): Better-Than-Expected Q1FY24 Result; Full Year Guidance Reiterated

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/medipal-holdings-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18394:1" rel="noopener">Medipal Holdings (7459 JP)</a> announced strong Q1FY24 result, with a 6% YoY revenue growth to ¥887B, driven by growth across all three business segments.</li>
<li>However, operating profit declined 8% YoY to ¥12B, mainly due to increase in SG&amp;A expenses. Driven by an extraordinary income of ¥3.3B, net profit jumped 35% YoY to ¥11B.</li>
<li>The company has reaffirmed FY24 guidance, which calls for a 4.5% YoY revenue growth, flat operating profit, and a 9.3% YoY decline in net profit.</li>
</ul>



Medipal Holdings (7459 JP) announced strong Q1FY24 result, with a 6% YoY revenue growth to ¥887B, driven by growth across all three business segments.
However, operating profit declined 8% YoY to ¥12B, mainly due to increase in SG&amp;A expenses. Driven by an extraordinary income of ¥3.3B, net profit jumped 35% YoY to ¥11B.
The company has reaffirmed FY24 guidance, which calls for a 4.5% YoY revenue growth, flat operating profit, and a 9.3% YoY decline in net profit.


Medipal Holdings (7459 JP): Started FY24 On a Strong Note with Accelerated Revenue

Japan

Alfresa Holdings Corporation is a holding company established through the merger of Azwell Inc. and Fukujin Co., Ltd.  The Company's subsidiaries mainly wholesale and manufacture medical related products including medicines, reagents, and medical tools and equipment.

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Alfresa Holdings (2784 JP)

JPX Nikkei 400 Index Rebalance: A Bunch of Chunky Adds & US$6bn Trade

There are 44 adds/41 deletes for the JPX Nikkei 400 Index resulting in a one-way turnover of 7.9% and a round-trip trade of JPY 880bn (US$6bn)....

Brian Freitas

Medipal Holdings (7459 JP): Mixed FY24 Result; Growth to Continue in FY25; Buyback Plan Announced

Medipal Holdings beat revenue and net profit expectations in FY24, but operating profit fell short. The company anticipates revenue and operating...

Tina Banerjee