Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the support at 1,520/1,515 points and the resistance at 1,540/1,545 points.</li><li>We expect the rebound of the US PPI to push up US inflation again in the remainder of the year.</li><li>We have a negative outlook on the Thai economy in the remainder of the year, and there is risk that the BoT will revise down its 2023E GDP growth projection from 3.6% currently.</li></ul>

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the support at 1,520/1,515 points and the resistance at 1,540/1,545 points.We expect the rebound of the US PPI to push up US inflation again in the remainder of the year.We have a negative outlook on the Thai economy in the remainder of the year, and there is risk that the BoT will revise down its 2023E GDP growth projection from 3.6% currently.

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>Alibaba announced (10 Aug) its 1QFY24 (March year-end) results: total revenue was RMB234.2bn, up 13.9% YoY, 4/5% ahead of our forecast/Bloomberg consensus estimates, mainly driven by better-than-expected revenue growth in customer management revenue (CMR) and Cainiao.</li><li>Fueled by operating efficiency improvement across business lines and a beat in relatively highmargin CMR, non-GAAP net income grew 48% YoY to RMB44.9bn, 13/17% ahead of our estimates/consensus.</li><li>The results, in our view, demonstrated BAB’s early-stage success in Taobao and Tmall business transformation to focus on quality user growth and better user retention through product supply and merchants ROI enhancement, which in turn improved number of daily active paying merchants for CMR business. Maintain BUY.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Alibaba announced (10 Aug) its 1QFY24 (March year-end) results: total revenue was RMB234.2bn, up 13.9% YoY, 4/5% ahead of our forecast/Bloomberg consensus estimates, mainly driven by better-than-expected revenue growth in customer management revenue (CMR) and Cainiao.Fueled by operating efficiency improvement across business lines and a beat in relatively highmargin CMR, non-GAAP net income grew 48% YoY to RMB44.9bn, 13/17% ahead of our estimates/consensus.The results, in our view, demonstrated BAB’s early-stage success in Taobao and Tmall business transformation to focus on quality user growth and better user retention through product supply and merchants ROI enhancement, which in turn improved number of daily active paying merchants for CMR business. Maintain BUY.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Alibaba (BABA US) – User First Strategy Delivered Early-Stage Results

<ul><li>Technically, the SET Index is expected to weaken, with the resistance at 1,540 points (75-day EMA) and the support at 1,515/1,505 points (the previous support).</li><li>We have a negative view on the SET Index's trend and recommend that investors reduce their portfolios (sell first and buy back on weakness) (see our KTX Ahead report yesterday).</li><li>Meanwhile, there is a possibility that the vote for the prime minister will not happen on Thursday as scheduled after the ombudsman asked the Constitutional Court to order Parliament to postpone the vote and deliver a ruling on the rejected renomination of the Move Forward Party leader.</li></ul>

Technically, the SET Index is expected to weaken, with the resistance at 1,540 points (75-day EMA) and the support at 1,515/1,505 points (the previous support).We have a negative view on the SET Index's trend and recommend that investors reduce their portfolios (sell first and buy back on weakness) (see our KTX Ahead report yesterday).Meanwhile, there is a possibility that the vote for the prime minister will not happen on Thursday as scheduled after the ombudsman asked the Constitutional Court to order Parliament to postpone the vote and deliver a ruling on the rejected renomination of the Move Forward Party leader.

Krungthai XSpring Zoom Eng. July 25, 2023

<ul><li>Alibaba’s core China marketplace GMV is on a stable recovery track which is likely to be better than consensus in 1QFY24 (March year-end), aided by discretionary consumption recovery and a low base.</li><li>Also, Alibaba’s strategic move to enhance merchant ROI and customer experience should gradually bear fruit.</li><li>Recovery in YoY revenue growth for cloud business is likely in a mild pace, since demand recovery takes time. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Alibaba’s core China marketplace GMV is on a stable recovery track which is likely to be better than consensus in 1QFY24 (March year-end), aided by discretionary consumption recovery and a low base.Also, Alibaba’s strategic move to enhance merchant ROI and customer experience should gradually bear fruit.Recovery in YoY revenue growth for cloud business is likely in a mild pace, since demand recovery takes time. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Alibaba (BABA US) – Fundamentals on Constant Recovery Track

<ul><li>Alibaba announced (18 May) its 4QFY23 (March year-end) results: total revenue was RMB208.2bn, up 2% YoY, in line with our forecast and Bloomberg consensus.</li><li>Driven by sustained operating efficiency improvement across business lines, non-GAAP net income grew 30% YoY to RMB28.0bn, 9/14% ahead of our estimate/consensus.</li><li>For FY23, total revenue grew 2% YoY to RMB868.7bn, and non-GAAP net profit reached RMB143.9bn, flat YoY.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Alibaba announced (18 May) its 4QFY23 (March year-end) results: total revenue was RMB208.2bn, up 2% YoY, in line with our forecast and Bloomberg consensus.Driven by sustained operating efficiency improvement across business lines, non-GAAP net income grew 30% YoY to RMB28.0bn, 9/14% ahead of our estimate/consensus.For FY23, total revenue grew 2% YoY to RMB868.7bn, and non-GAAP net profit reached RMB143.9bn, flat YoY.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Alibaba (BABA US) – In Progress to Enhance Shareholder Value

China

Alibaba Group Holding Limited is a Chinese multinational technology company specializing in e-commerce, retail, internet, and technology, offering C2C, B2C, and B2B sales services through various marketplaces. It also provides digital media and entertainment, logistics, and cloud computing services. The company was founded in Hangzhou, China, in 1999.

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Alibaba (9988 HK)

Today's Dominant Ideas

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways, with the support at 1,520/1,515 points and the resistance at 1,540/1,545 points. We...

Krungthai XSpring

Alibaba (BABA US) – User First Strategy Delivered Early-Stage Results

Alibaba announced (10 Aug) its 1QFY24 (March year-end) results: total revenue was RMB234.2bn, up 13.9% YoY, 4/5% ahead of our forecast/Bloomberg...

CMB International

Krungthai XSpring Zoom Eng. July 25, 2023

Technically, the SET Index is expected to weaken, with the resistance at 1,540 points (75-day EMA) and the support at 1,515/1,505 points (the...

Krungthai XSpring

Alibaba (BABA US) – Fundamentals on Constant Recovery Track

Alibaba’s core China marketplace GMV is on a stable recovery track which is likely to be better than consensus in 1QFY24 (March year-end)

CMB International

Alibaba (BABA US) – In Progress to Enhance Shareholder Value

Alibaba announced (18 May) its 4QFY23 (March year-end) results: total revenue was RMB208.2bn, up 2% YoY, in line with our forecast and Bloomberg...

CMB International

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