Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>US President-elect Trump has proposed new tariffs on China (and others) by January</li>
<li>Higher tariffs on Chinese goods could make Chinese imports more expensive in the US</li>
<li>For SHEIN &amp; Temu, larger threat still comes from potential reform of de minimis rules</li>
</ul>


US President-elect Trump has proposed new tariffs on China (and others) by January
Higher tariffs on Chinese goods could make Chinese imports more expensive in the US
For SHEIN &amp; Temu, larger threat still comes from potential reform of de minimis rules


SHEIN and Temu: Higher Tariffs Under 2nd Trump Admin an Additional Threat Beyond "De Minimis" Reform

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong Alpha portfolio lost 2.9% in November, but has outperformed its benchmark by 4.9% since inception on October 1st.  It has outperformed HSI, HSCI and HSCEI by 9%.</li>
<li>Hong Kong Alpha has generated idiosyncratic returns during the market correction.  The portfolio has no exposure to energy, healthcare and property sectors. </li>
<li>We exit 4 positions at the end of the month and add positions in software, tech components, travel and restaurant sectors.</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong Alpha portfolio lost 2.9% in November, but has outperformed its benchmark by 4.9% since inception on October 1st.  It has outperformed HSI, HSCI and HSCEI by 9%.
Hong Kong Alpha has generated idiosyncratic returns during the market correction.  The portfolio has no exposure to energy, healthcare and property sectors. 
We exit 4 positions at the end of the month and add positions in software, tech components, travel and restaurant sectors.


HONG KONG ALPHA PORTFOLIO (November 2024)

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 29th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Alibaba, Ping An Insurance, China Mobile, Meituan.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 29th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Alibaba, Ping An Insurance, China Mobile, Meituan.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Nov 29th): Alibaba, Ping An Insurance, China Mobile, Meituan

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 22nd.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Kuaishou Technology, Jd.com, Xpeng, CMB.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 22nd.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Kuaishou Technology, Jd.com, Xpeng, CMB.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Kuaishou, Jd, Xpeng, CMB

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The December rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kraneshares-csi-china-internet-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28208:1" rel="noopener">KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF (KWEB US)</a> will take place at the close of trading on 13 December.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cloud-village-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33412:1" rel="noopener">Cloud Village (9899 HK)</a> is an add while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lufax-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29690:1" rel="noopener">Lufax Holding (LU US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-healthcare-and-technology-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27008:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Healthcare and Technology (1833 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zx-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36624:1" rel="noopener">ZX (9890 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ysb-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35982:1" rel="noopener">YSB (9885 HK)</a> are deletes.</li>
<li>The deletions of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-healthcare-and-technology-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27008:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Healthcare (1833 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zx-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36624:1" rel="noopener">ZX (9890 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ysb-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35982:1" rel="noopener">YSB (9885 HK)</a> were forecast and there will be positioning in the stocks. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lufax-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29690:1" rel="noopener">Lufax</a> was a close delete.</li>
</ul>


The December rebalance of the KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF (KWEB US) will take place at the close of trading on 13 December.

Cloud Village (9899 HK) is an add while Lufax Holding (LU US), Ping An Healthcare and Technology (1833 HK), ZX (9890 HK) and YSB (9885 HK) are deletes.
The deletions of Ping An Healthcare (1833 HK), ZX (9890 HK) and YSB (9885 HK) were forecast and there will be positioning in the stocks. Lufax was a close delete.


KWEB Index Rebalance: 1 Add & 4 Deletes in December

China

Alibaba Group Holding Limited provides online sales services. The Company provides internet infrastructure, electronic commerce, online financial, and internet content services through its subsidiaries. Alibaba Group Holding offers its products and services worldwide.

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Alibaba (9988 HK)

SHEIN and Temu: Higher Tariffs Under 2nd Trump Admin an Additional Threat Beyond "De Minimis" Reform

Despite noise from the new US administration regarding additional tariffs on imported Chinese goods, the bigger threat to SHEIN and Temu remains...

Tracking Traffic

HONG KONG ALPHA PORTFOLIO (November 2024)

Hong Kong Alpha portfolio continues to outperform during the market correction in HK/China stocks. We continue to like the consumer discretionary...

David Mudd

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Nov 29th): Alibaba, Ping An Insurance, China Mobile, Meituan

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, Ping An Insurance, China Mobile, Meituan.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: Kuaishou, Jd, Xpeng, CMB

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 22nd and highlight short interest changes in Kuaishou, Jd, Xpeng, CMB.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

KWEB Index Rebalance: 1 Add & 4 Deletes in December

Cloud Village is an add while Lufax, Ping An Health, ZX and YSB are deletes. There will be capping flow for the large caps. Couple of surprises...

Brian Freitas

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