Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Our most prominent theme over the last year has been to BUY HK/China markets. We are still very bullish on these SECULAR BULL markets.</li>
<li>We have been Bullish on gold and discussed the asymmetry of its price movements given the global tightening starting in 2021/22. Gold will continues to benefit from negative real rates.</li>
<li>We have been Bearish on Japan since publishing <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/technically-speaking-japan-meets-resistance-and-hong-kong-finally-breaks-downtrend" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:135575" rel="noopener">Technically Speaking: Japan Meets Resistance and Hong Kong Finally Breaks Downtrend</a> on April 2, 2024. We also remain bearish on India.</li>
</ul>


Our most prominent theme over the last year has been to BUY HK/China markets. We are still very bullish on these SECULAR BULL markets.
We have been Bullish on gold and discussed the asymmetry of its price movements given the global tightening starting in 2021/22. Gold will continues to benefit from negative real rates.
We have been Bearish on Japan since publishing Technically Speaking: Japan Meets Resistance and Hong Kong Finally Breaks Downtrend on April 2, 2024. We also remain bearish on India.


Over the Horizon: A Review of Thematic Trends

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Trip Com, Contemporary Amperex Technology and Xiaomi all hit fresh highs in EM fund ownership.</li>
<li>Rotation in all three was among the most positive across all China stocks, with all measures of fund ownership moving higher.</li>
<li>Conviction opens from GIB, Putnam and Aubrey we among the funds driving ownership higher.</li>
</ul>


Trip Com, Contemporary Amperex Technology and Xiaomi all hit fresh highs in EM fund ownership.
Rotation in all three was among the most positive across all China stocks, with all measures of fund ownership moving higher.
Conviction opens from GIB, Putnam and Aubrey we among the funds driving ownership higher.


Breaking New Ground: Xiaomi, Trip Com and CATL Hit Record Highs

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With the review cutoff done, there could be two changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-china-large-cap-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:766:1" rel="noopener">iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) (FXI US)</a> in March.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guotai-junan-securities-co-ltd-5dfaf2c5-76d3-4f34-a77d-118787fd7091" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23752:1" rel="noopener">Guotai Junan Securities (2611 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zte-corp-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6922:1" rel="noopener">ZTE Corp H (763 HK)</a> are expected to replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-tourism-group-duty-free" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36229:1" rel="noopener">China Tourism Group Duty Free (1880 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-coal-energy-co-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:383:1" rel="noopener">China Coal Energy Co H (1898 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zte-corp-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6922:1" rel="noopener">ZTE Corp H (763 HK)</a> has broken out to new highs (possibly on short covering) while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-coal-energy-co-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:383:1" rel="noopener">China Coal Energy Co H (1898 HK)</a> continues to sell off.</li>
</ul>


With the review cutoff done, there could be two changes for the iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) (FXI US) in March.

Guotai Junan Securities (2611 HK) and ZTE Corp H (763 HK) are expected to replace China Tourism Group Duty Free (1880 HK) and China Coal Energy Co H (1898 HK). 

ZTE Corp H (763 HK) has broken out to new highs (possibly on short covering) while China Coal Energy Co H (1898 HK) continues to sell off.


FXI Rebalance Preview: Two Sets of Changes as ZTE Breaks Out, China Coal Dumps

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>After JD.com announced it would insure catering riders with social security, Meituan followed suit. Then JD clarified its intension was only to insure a newly established rider force from scratch; </li>
<li>Trump announced American First Investment Policy. Frankly we don't see anything new. It will affect sentiment, maybe;</li>
<li>SASAC calls for SOE's to adopt AI. This is a real positive to Alibaba.</li>
</ul>


After JD.com announced it would insure catering riders with social security, Meituan followed suit. Then JD clarified its intension was only to insure a newly established rider force from scratch; 
Trump announced American First Investment Policy. Frankly we don't see anything new. It will affect sentiment, maybe;
SASAC calls for SOE's to adopt AI. This is a real positive to Alibaba.


[Blue Lotus Non-US Internet Weekly, 8/52]: Is JD's Entry to Catering Real or Just Posturing?

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

JX Advanced Metals / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mixue-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40623:1" rel="noopener">Mixue Group (MIX HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chifeng-jilong-gold-mining-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7782:1" rel="noopener">Chifeng Jilong Gold (600988 CH)</a> might go live in the coming week, with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jx-advanced-metals-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44346:1" rel="noopener">JX Advanced Metals (5016 JP)</a> following after.</li>
<li>On the placements front, there were a few mega deals this week.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.
On the IPO front, Mixue Group (MIX HK) and Chifeng Jilong Gold (600988 CH) might go live in the coming week, with JX Advanced Metals (5016 JP) following after.
On the placements front, there were a few mega deals this week.


ECM Weekly (24th Feb 2025) - JX Advance, Mixue, Hexaware, Geekplus, Trualt, Goodman, Xtalpi, Hyundai

China

Alibaba Group Holding Limited provides online sales services. The Company provides internet infrastructure, electronic commerce, online financial, and internet content services through its subsidiaries. Alibaba Group Holding offers its products and services worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Alibaba (BABA US)

Over the Horizon: A Review of Thematic Trends

Our thematic trends in Asia are going strong, namely: BUY HK/China markets, BUY Gold, Sell/Short Japan (Autos, Semis, Trading Co.s, and Steel),...

David Mudd

Breaking New Ground: Xiaomi, Trip Com and CATL Hit Record Highs

Strong rotation pushes Trip Com, Contemporary Amperex Technology and Xiaomi Corp to fresh highs in EM active fund ownership.

Steven Holden

FXI Rebalance Preview: Two Sets of Changes as ZTE Breaks Out, China Coal Dumps

GTJA and ZTE could replace CTG Duty Free and China Coal in the FXI ETF in March. Alibaba and Tencent will be sold on capping, Meituan bought. ZTE...

Brian Freitas

[Blue Lotus Non-US Internet Weekly, 8/52]: Is JD's Entry to Catering Real or Just Posturing?

JD and Meituan insure catering riders with social security, Trump's American First Investment Policy may affect sentiment, SASAC calls for SOEs to...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

ECM Weekly (24th Feb 2025) - JX Advance, Mixue, Hexaware, Geekplus, Trualt, Goodman, Xtalpi, Hyundai

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Over the Horizon: A Review of Thematic Trends

Our thematic trends in Asia are going strong, namely: BUY HK/China markets, BUY Gold, Sell/Short Japan (Autos, Semis, Trading Co.s, and Steel),...

David Mudd

Breaking New Ground: Xiaomi, Trip Com and CATL Hit Record Highs

Strong rotation pushes Trip Com, Contemporary Amperex Technology and Xiaomi Corp to fresh highs in EM active fund ownership.

Steven Holden

FXI Rebalance Preview: Two Sets of Changes as ZTE Breaks Out, China Coal Dumps

GTJA and ZTE could replace CTG Duty Free and China Coal in the FXI ETF in March. Alibaba and Tencent will be sold on capping, Meituan bought. ZTE...

Brian Freitas

[Blue Lotus Non-US Internet Weekly, 8/52]: Is JD's Entry to Catering Real or Just Posturing?

​JD and Meituan insure catering riders with social security, Trump's American First Investment Policy may affect sentiment, SASAC calls for SOEs to...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

ECM Weekly (24th Feb 2025) - JX Advance, Mixue, Hexaware, Geekplus, Trualt, Goodman, Xtalpi, Hyundai

Aequitas Research's weekly update on the IPOs, placements, lockup expiry and other ECM linked events that were covered by the team over the past week.

Sumeet Singh

JD and Meituan insure catering riders with social security, Trump's American First Investment Policy may affect sentiment, SASAC calls for SOEs to...