Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We expect BABA to report CY4Q23 top-line, adjusted EBITA and non-GAAP net income (3.2%), (7.1%) and (3.0%) vs. consensus. </li>
<li>We estimate Taobao/Tmall GMV grew 2.4%, but was offset by lower take-rate, we expect;</li>
<li>BABA’s “Return to Taobao” strategy tilts traffic to low-priced Taobao products to fight PDD for low-priced mindset.</li>
</ul>


We expect BABA to report CY4Q23 top-line, adjusted EBITA and non-GAAP net income (3.2%), (7.1%) and (3.0%) vs. consensus. 
We estimate Taobao/Tmall GMV grew 2.4%, but was offset by lower take-rate, we expect;
BABA’s “Return to Taobao” strategy tilts traffic to low-priced Taobao products to fight PDD for low-priced mindset.


[Alibaba (BABA US, SELL, TP US$68) TP Change]: Return to Taobao Is a Return to Lower Take-Rate

Quantitative Equity Analyst, DMA

Charlotte van Tiddens, CFA

Quantitative Equity Analyst

Technology-First Company

DMA is a technology-first company that provides an end-to-end SaaS solution to institutional investors. DMA enables regulated entities like asset managers, wealth managers, investment managers and financial advisors to connect their front and back office, break silos and reduce headcount.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Regulatory risks back in the spotlight, dampening decent year for both counters.</li>
<li>At the end of last year, China’s regulator released a proposal to introduce spending and time limits on gaming (22 Dec).</li>
<li>Tencent was down 12% on the day, Naspers and Prosus followed suit with more aggressive selling, sending both stocks down 17% for the half day of trading. </li>
</ul>


Regulatory risks back in the spotlight, dampening decent year for both counters.
At the end of last year, China’s regulator released a proposal to introduce spending and time limits on gaming (22 Dec).
Tencent was down 12% on the day, Naspers and Prosus followed suit with more aggressive selling, sending both stocks down 17% for the half day of trading. 


Naspers (NPN) X Prosus (PRX): A Look Back at 2023, Regulatory Risk Back in Spotlight

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>In this note, we will take a look at the Asia Pacific IPO pipeline for 2024, starting with Hong Kong.</li>
<li>This list has been compiled on a best effort basis from tracking the company filings and through various other sources.</li>
<li>The deals you see in this note are only a part of our full IPO pipeline tracker. Feel free to drop us a message for additional information on these IPOs.</li>
</ul>


In this note, we will take a look at the Asia Pacific IPO pipeline for 2024, starting with Hong Kong.
This list has been compiled on a best effort basis from tracking the company filings and through various other sources.
The deals you see in this note are only a part of our full IPO pipeline tracker. Feel free to drop us a message for additional information on these IPOs.


Aequitas 2024 Asia IPO Pipeline - Hong Kong

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>BABA/ SE/ PDD: Lazada mass-layoffs also in China offices (+/+/-)</li>
<li>NTES: Local media published an article addressing the issue of underage top-up in NetEase's mobile game &lt;Eggy Party&gt; (/)</li>
<li>700 HK: The New Year event operation of &lt;CrossFire Mobile&gt; is a success.(+)</li>
</ul>


BABA/ SE/ PDD: Lazada mass-layoffs also in China offices (+/+/-)
NTES: Local media published an article addressing the issue of underage top-up in NetEase's mobile game &lt;Eggy Party&gt; (/)
700 HK: The New Year event operation of &lt;CrossFire Mobile&gt; is a success.(+)


[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]: BABA/SE/PDD/3690 HK/NTES/700 HK/AMZN/MELI/CPNG

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

<ul>
<li>In this note, we will take a look at broker performance for HK IPOs and placements in 2023. </li>
<li>The following dataset includes all HK IPOs and placements above US$100m, <strong>which amounted to a total of 27 deals.</strong>
</li>
<li>The deals you see in this note are based on our historical IPO and placement tracker. Feel free to drop us a message for additional information.</li>
</ul>


In this note, we will take a look at broker performance for HK IPOs and placements in 2023. 
The following dataset includes all HK IPOs and placements above US$100m, which amounted to a total of 27 deals.

The deals you see in this note are based on our historical IPO and placement tracker. Feel free to drop us a message for additional information.


Aequitas HK IPOs + Placements Broker Performance 2023

China

Alibaba Group Holding Limited provides online sales services. The Company provides internet infrastructure, electronic commerce, online financial, and internet content services through its subsidiaries. Alibaba Group Holding offers its products and services worldwide.

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Alibaba (BABA US)

[Alibaba (BABA US, SELL, TP US$68) TP Change]: Return to Taobao Is a Return to Lower Take-Rate

Alibaba's earnings report shows a decline in adjusted EBITA and non-GAAP net income, but a growth in Taobao/Tmall GMV due to a shift in strategy.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Naspers (NPN) X Prosus (PRX): A Look Back at 2023, Regulatory Risk Back in Spotlight

A look into how the discounts traded through the year. Naspers outperformed Prosus by a large margin highlighting the merits of the structure...

DMA

Aequitas 2024 Asia IPO Pipeline - Hong Kong

In this note, we will take a look at the Asia Pacific IPO pipeline for 2024, starting with Hong Kong including the filed, lapsed and future filings.

Sumeet Singh

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]: BABA/SE/PDD/3690 HK/NTES/700 HK/AMZN/MELI/CPNG

Lazada mass-layoffs also in China offices. NetEase faces criticism over underage top-ups in mobile game . The New Year event operation of is a...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Aequitas HK IPOs + Placements Broker Performance 2023

In this note, we will take a look at broker performance for HK IPOs and placements in 2023, which includes all HK IPOs and placements above...

Ethan Aw

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Alibaba (BABA US, SELL, TP US$68) TP Change]: Return to Taobao Is a Return to Lower Take-Rate

​Alibaba's earnings report shows a decline in adjusted EBITA and non-GAAP net income, but a growth in Taobao/Tmall GMV due to a shift in strategy.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Naspers (NPN) X Prosus (PRX): A Look Back at 2023, Regulatory Risk Back in Spotlight

A look into how the discounts traded through the year. Naspers outperformed Prosus by a large margin highlighting the merits of the structure...

DMA

Aequitas 2024 Asia IPO Pipeline - Hong Kong

In this note, we will take a look at the Asia Pacific IPO pipeline for 2024, starting with Hong Kong including the filed, lapsed and future filings.

Sumeet Singh

[Blue Lotus Daily - TMT Update]: BABA/SE/PDD/3690 HK/NTES/700 HK/AMZN/MELI/CPNG

Lazada mass-layoffs also in China offices. NetEase faces criticism over underage top-ups in mobile game . The New Year event operation of is a...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Aequitas HK IPOs + Placements Broker Performance 2023

In this note, we will take a look at broker performance for HK IPOs and placements in 2023, which includes all HK IPOs and placements above...

Ethan Aw

Alibaba's earnings report shows a decline in adjusted EBITA and non-GAAP net income, but a growth in Taobao/Tmall GMV due to a shift in strategy.